$SPCX 🚨 The SPCX lock-up timeline is here! August could bring the biggest test! Many people are only focused on the Starship launch, but they overlook an important factor affecting the stock price — the share lock-up release. 📅 Key lock-up dates 🔥 Early August (after Q2 earnings report) * The first and largest wave of lock-up release * About 20% of shares become tradable, up to about 30% if conditions are met * ⚠️ This is the most important event of the year to watch 📌 Around August 20 * Second batch of about 7% shares unlocked 📌 Around September 9 * Third batch of about 7% shares unlocked 📌 Around October 9 * Fourth batch of about 7% shares unlocked 📌 Around October 24 * Fifth batch of about 7% shares unlocked 📌 After Q3 earnings report * Another approximately 28% of shares unlocked * Another wave of significant potential selling pressure 📌 Around December 8 (end of 180-day lock-up) * Most of the remaining locked shares released * Lock-up period basically ends ⸻ Will the lock-up release definitely cause a big drop? ❌ Not necessarily. Historically, there are usually three patterns: ① Price drops in advance (most common) Funds worry about the lock-up release and sell early; on the actual release day, the negative impact may already be priced in. ② Big drop on the lock-up release day If many shareholders choose to sell, the stock price may quickly pull back. ③ Price rises after lock-up release If earnings, Starship launch, or other positive news exceed expectations, or if the market has already priced in the lock-up release, a rebound after the negative event is possible. ⸻ I believe the three most important SPCX dates this year are: 🚀 Starship test flight results 📊 Early August Q2 earnings report 🔓 Early August first large-scale lock-up release These three events combined will likely determine SPCX’s direction in the coming months. What do you think? Will SPCX drop in advance, or start a new rally after the lock-up release? Feel free to discuss.

📈 Some insights on resisting losses I used to think that as long as I held on, I could recover my losses when the market rebounded. Later, I learned an approach from the comments: ✅ When the price rebounds to a position with smaller losses, first close part of the position; ✅ When the price falls back to a lower level, buy back the position; ✅ By trading back and forth, reduce the holding cost instead of passively holding on. A simple example: 📉 Opening price: 1.00 📈 Rebound to: 0.95 (loss reduced) ➡️ Close part of the position 📉 Then drop to: 0.90 ➡️ Buy back the same position This way, the average holding price will be lower than before, making it easier to break even with the same rebound later. Resisting losses doesn’t mean stubbornly holding on; doing T trades to reduce costs is also a form of risk management. Unfortunately, I only learned this today, after having liquidated several times and lost 1700U already 😭 I hope this experience can help friends struggling with contracts: The market won’t rise because of your cost price; learning to manage positions and reduce costs is more important than blindly holding on.

$KAITO Is there any ratio more resistant than mine? This is after adding to the position twice; without adding, it probably would have gone to -5000% and zeroed out! It hasn't dropped much in the last few days, which is pretty good!

$ETH is tricky, is it going to crash again! It's really skyrocketing, no signs of turning back, breaking through hundreds of points every day!

$BEAT is about to hit zero, only 70% left to lose, getting less and less worried! A rebound now means a win, the loss is almost at the bottom!

$ETH is quickly bouncing back bullishly, I really am the industry's dark horse, Many comments say that being my opponent can win, I really have to admit, $ETH and $BTC had another big surge today, now firmly above 2300, yesterday it held above 2200, and it looks like it's heading for 2400 next! I've been wondering if I should just run away!

$DOGE just got a little bit of Dogecoin a moment ago, let's see if it can reach 0.08! If it does, it might surge even higher to above 0.1!

Just took a closer look at the daily chart of $KAITO, and it has actually been rising for three consecutive days today. Although it's slow, it's still slowly recovering. Lost more than half, so any recovery counts! Let's see how long it takes to pull back! It's been at a low for way too long!

$SNDK short positions have been gradually stopped out, this SanDisk short position lost nearly 300U, now the long position is losing 135U, I really don't understand my own operations, why do I resist the short positions but then get hit on the opposite side during pullbacks. Recently, I've really been beaten senseless! It seems like the last few times have been like this, losing even more during the pullback recovery!

$ETH Ethereum, please don't follow the rise, last night Bitcoin rose much less than Ethereum, and today $BTC just surged crazily again, stabilizing above 71000. Ethereum also followed the rise, now almost 2300 again. Don't break through, it's too hard, I'm losing badly again!

$TRUMP just made a little profit on this coin, but now it's lost it all back and even more. There's really no way to make money at all. Haven't made any profit on coins recently, feeling unsettled, need to make some adjustments!

$KAITO heirloom seems to have risen a bit every day, but it also seems to have little change. This is also a coin that falls all the way down and can't rise! But since it has already lost so much, there's no feeling anymore. The ones that really hit hard were yesterday's Sandisk $SNDK and last night's $ETH, both of which are struggling to recover!