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Tech giants collectively pull back: Why did these stocks all fall today? Looking at the market today, a glaring red color was a stark display—Micron Technology (MU) plunged over 7%, Intel (INTC) plunged 12%, SanDisk (SNDK) fell nearly 11%, Tesla (TSLA) also fell 2.2%, and even Nvidia (NVDA) couldn't stay unscathed, slipping nearly 1%. Both the semiconductor and new energy vehicle sectors have cooled off. In my view, this adjustment is an inevitable profit-taking + sector rotation. Since the beginning of this year, AI concept stocks have surged dramatically, with chip giants like Nvidia already exhausting some of their optimistic expectations. Recently, the market has begun to worry that AI capital expenditure growth may slow down, with Micron and Intel, as representatives of memory and traditional chips, naturally bearing the brunt. Intel's biggest drop may reflect not only industry pressure but also ongoing market doubts about its competitiveness and transformation progress. Tesla, on the other hand, was dragged down by overall weakness in its new energy vehicle sector, with delivery data and Robotaxi narratives temporarily struggling to boost confidence. Looking deeper, this is the normal breath of a high-valuation sector. Tech stocks have risen so fiercely that capital needs a breather, and shifting to other undervalued sectors is also reasonable. On the macro front, interest rate expectations, inflation data, or geopolitical factors may also exacerbate the decline in short-term risk appetite. Personal view: Short-term pullbacks shouldn't be overly pessimistic, especially for NVIDIA, whose fundamentals remain strong and long-term AI demand remains. What truly needs to be watched out are Intel and some follower stocks; if there is no substantial improvement, the correction could be even deeper. But for high-quality stocks, this is often a "shakeout" rather than a "trend reversal."Changxin hasn't officially opened yet, but long and short positions on X are already fighting. Some are preparing to go all-in on 300,000 yuan in flash loans, while public addresses have held over 13 million USD in short positions; In the Chinese-speaking region, discussions about how much profit can be made from winning the lottery, while in the English-speaking region, the pre-market contract for Hyperliquid has already priced Changxin's valuation close to 3 trillion yuan. I compiled 31 tweets in both Chinese and English, checking issuance data, financial performance, industry news, pre-market prices, and market rumors one by one. I'm not going to guess a simple answer to a rise or fall first. What really needs to be answered is: How much is Changxin really worth? How was the 3 trillion yuan expectation formed? Which high-traffic news can be trusted? After the market opens, which data should we keep an eye on? 1. 31 tweets, but the most discussed topic isn't Changxin's technology. These 31 tweets are not a market-wide poll. I filter content with high pre-IPO views or those that represent a certain type of viewpoint. Among them, 20 tweets were in Chinese, and 11 were in English or other languages; 22 views exceeded 50,000, 14 views exceeded 100,000, and 9 exceeded 200,000. Categorizing them, the results are straightforward: - 10 discusses trading plans and retail sentiment; - 9 discusses valuation and pre-market prices; - 7 discussing companies and industries; - 5 are rumors or commercial promotions. Nearly two-thirds of the content discusses price, position, and "how much can be made?" What the company truly achieves is not the traffic center. The most viewed account is the English account [@zephyr_z9]. The problem is, the latter ones🛰 金十雷达 | 21:49 主题:霍尔木兹 据金十快讯,【沙特媒体:伊朗方面称并未退出谈判,愿在日内瓦多地与美国继续谈判】金十数据7月26日讯,综合阿拉伯卫星电视台与沙特媒体哈达斯报道,伊朗已告知巴基斯坦官员,伊朗并未退出谈判,而是暂时中止了。伊朗重申了在停滞阶段恢复谈判的必要性、表示拒绝在霍尔木兹海峡开辟新航道。此外,伊朗已向巴基斯坦确认,愿意在日内瓦、卡塔尔多哈或伊斯兰堡继续(与美国)进行谈判;并要求恢复关于… 观察视角:这类消息先看是否影响油价、美元或美股风险偏好,再观察BTC/ETH跟随强弱。 验证点:若后续没有价格、成交量或避险资产确认,就按背景变量处理,不把标题当交易信号。 仅作市场观察,不构成投资建议。$BASED — RECOVERY STRUCTURE FORMING BASED is trading near $0.08386 after a moderate intraday pullback. The present price area could become a short-term recovery zone if buyers defend support and begin producing stronger volume. TRADE SETUP EP: $0.0831 – $0.0843 TP1: $0.0864 TP2: $0.0889 TP3: $0.0922 SL: $0.0804 Holding above the entry range could allow BASED to challenge TP1. A confirmed breakout above $0.0864 may attract additional momentum and open the way toward $0.0889 and $DOGE $BASED .On July 26th, at five o'clock in the morning, the light had not yet fully shone through the window, The numbers on the screen hovered between 64,590.5 and 63,806.4, as if gripped by the city's sticky summer night, moving up and down by less than a percentage. The 24-hour trading volume is about 168 million USDT, which is neither too large nor too small—just enough for the candlestick to draw a few lazy shadows. No one cried out, nor did anyone panic. Amid this nearly frozen market, a statistic was quietly broken: ten listed companies collectively hold over one million bitcoins. A whole number threshold arrived silently. Strategy still holds the top spot—843,775 tokens, equivalent to about $58 billion at current prices. This figure itself carries a distant echo, reminiscent of the market turmoil when MicroStrategy first bought Bitcoin in the summer of 2020. In the years that followed, from El Salvador to pension funds, from spot ETF approvals to now SpaceX quietly holding over 18,000 shares and listing on Nasdaq just over a month ago. Bitcoin's institutionalized narrative is so thick that it's almost impossible to remember it was once just a white paper attachment in a cypherpunk mailbox. But on the other side of the screen, the stock price curve tells a completely different story. Since 2026, Riot Platforms has risen 73%, Cleanspark 39%, and Mara Holdings 31%; Strategy, on the other hand, fell 40%, Metaplanet fell 49%, Twenty One Capital fell 48%, and Coinbase Global fell 31%. The largest positions saw the stock price drop the heaviest; The mining companies' rally also seems to be a response to a repricing of infrastructure value. The logic in between is unclear and should not be simplified to a single cause and effect. Maybe it's just leverage structure, cash flow pressure, market sentiment rotation, or just a long and ordinary revaluation in the summer. Fragmented news from the outskirts flowed in. Bitcoin ETF weekly trading volume has fallen to its lowest level since October 2024, while Ethereum ETFs have just ended a five-day streak of inflows, but weekly net inflows are still extending—capital seems more willing to chase the latecomer momentum. On the other side, some addresses went long with 38.55 million USDT held for eighteen hours, but eventually closed their positions at the 1% stop-loss line, losing $368,000—clean and decisive, like a nap without a dream. There's no tragic sadness of heavy positions or the drama of shorting in reverse—it's just a string of numbers that automatically disappears after being touched at a certain threshold. The entire market seems to have entered a subtle period of silence. Bitcoin's DeFi value locked edged up 0.72% near $4.394 billion, like the water level slowly rising after a rainy season, but showing no signs of surging. And that "one million coins" integer is itself just a statistical trick under some surface—no one really knows exactly how much Bitcoin these companies hold is long-term chips in cold wallets, how much is the underlying asset of derivatives, and how many could be reduced at any time due to financial report pressure. The last such dull summer was in 2023, and the last was in 2019. In every cycle, summer always feels especially long. The list of holders changes, the cost of holding positions changes, and the relative strength of stock prices also changes. The only things that are less likely to change are Bitcoins themselves, which quietly lie on the chain, confirm every ten minutes, and occasionally trigger a temporary alarm in blockchain explorers due to a large transfer. They don't speak, nor do they care whether they are in the vault of a listed company or the wallet of an anonymous whale. When the summer heat finally fades and autumn's volatility returns to the market, this holding list will likely feature new names and new numbers. Any structure that seems unshakable in the present is only temporary in the face of time. For those staring at the screen, the only thing to remember: the story isn't over yet, your position isn't settled, and history never guarantees.Trump's $1.4 billion crypto income is killing the CLARITY Act The bill can't pass, and the culprit is Trump himself The CLARITY Act most likely won't make it before the August recess. It's not a technical issue, nor a vote count issue; it's Trump's own $1.4 billion crypto income stuck in the way. Bloomberg reported today: Trump earned about $1.4 billion from meme coins and token businesses, which has now become the biggest obstacle to passing the bill. The Democrats are demanding stricter ethics rules—the president can't issue tokens while legislating under his own government's regulation. The Republicans only have 53 seats in the Senate, so to reach 60 votes, they need to bring at least 7 Democrats on board. But the Democrats are holding onto Trump's crypto income, causing a deadlock. On Polymarket, the probability of passage has dropped from 74% in May to about 33%. The market is voting with money. The irony is that the TRUMP coin issued by Trump himself has now become the stumbling block preventing him from pushing the crypto bill forward. The coin you issued is blocking your own bill. This drama is still unfolding. But one thing is certain: the bill most likely won't pass before the August recess. Discuss in the comments: do you think Trump will sell his coins for the bill, or would he rather keep them even if the bill fails? $BTC $ETH July 26 | BTC Data Evening Report BTC market BTC is quoted near $64,450, with an intraday high of about $64,566 and a low of about $64,028, up about 0.8% in 24 hours. The price continues to fluctuate around $64,000–$65,000, yet to break out of the recent consolidation range. ETF funds On July 24, the US spot BTC ETF saw a total net outflow of about $240.1 million, marking the second consecutive trading day of net outflows; From July 23 to 24, the cumulative net outflow was approximately $465.2 million. The previous seven consecutive trading days of capital inflows have been interrupted, and institutional funds have shifted from continuous inflows to continuous withdrawals in the short term. On-chain Tokens (Address Calibration) Based on the consecutive snapshots from July 25 to 26: Less than 10 BTC: net decrease of about 65 BTC, latest total holdings about 3.4722 million BTC 10–100 BTC: Net increase of about 182 BTC, latest total holdings about 4.2324 million BTC Above 100 BTC: net increase of about 108 BTC, latest total holdings about 12.3542 million BTC Internal changes above 100 BTC: 100–1,000 BTC: Net decrease of about 1,904 BTC 1,000–10,000 BTC: net increase of about 1,878 BTC 10,000–100,000 BTC: Net increase of about 134 BTC Over 100,000 BTC: Basically unchanged Total holdings above 100 BTC increased by only 108 BTC, but internal migration was obvious, mainly reflected in a decrease in the 100–1,000 BTC range, while the above 1,000 BTC level increased. BTC exchange The latest public snapshot shows that the total BTC balance across all exchanges is about 2.7032 million, with a net outflow of approximately 3,075 BTC. Exchange balances remain in net outflows, diverging from ETFs for two consecutive days of net outflows: on-chain tradable tokens have decreased, but traditional funding channels have weakened in the short term. Contract data BTC contract open interest is about $48.53 billion, 24-hour contract turnover is about $19.696 billion, spot trading is about $1.124 billion, and BTC contract liquidation is about $6.366 million. Open interest remains at a relatively high level, but weekend trading volume and liquidations are not large, so there is currently no obvious concentrated deleveraging in the market. Important news today Next week, the Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, and Bank of England will successively announce interest rate decisions. Meanwhile, Middle East developments pushed oil prices up to around $100 per barrel, energy prices renewed inflation expectations, and the market began to bet more on further rate hikes. High oil prices and expectations of high interest rates remain the most important external pressures for BTC in the near term. BitMart announced the end of nine years of operations, with all trading halted on August 26 and officially shutting down on January 31, 2027; This is the second trading platform to announce its exit within a week, following BitMEX. BitMart previously reported a 24-hour turnover of about $1.6 billion, with consecutive exchange closures that may continue to affect market trust and capital concentration trends among small and medium-sized platforms. Russia's largest bank, Sberbank, plans to establish crypto trading and custody infrastructure by December. Russia's new crypto trading, custody, and settlement rules will take effect in September, indicating that large traditional banks continue to enter the regulated crypto asset services sector, but the short-term direct impact on BTC liquidity is limited. Next, let's focus on the main focus Can BTC regain the $65,000 level and break through the recent resistance near $66,000? Can ETFs resume net inflows after Monday's opening, or will continuous outflows expand further? Will BTC exchanges continue to see net outflows, and whether addresses with 100–1,000 BTC will stop decreasing? If oil prices remain near $100 and push U.S. Treasury yields higher, macro pressure on BTC is unlikely to ease significantly. $BTC #星球日报 Bitcoin liquidity concentration: The altcoin season has not yet arrived; funds are circulating among a few coins Has the current market formed a sustainable bullish structure, or is it driven solely by local leverage? Core Fact: The original post clearly stated that the current market is not in an upward trend across the market, but rather liquidity circulating among limited coins. Funds are concentrated in a few tokens such as BTC, JELLYJELLY, OPG, SLX, LAB, BSB, ALLO, and CHIP, while a large number of altcoins like BEAT, EDGE, COAI, TRUMP, and RAVE are losing momentum. ETH, SOL, TAO, WLD, HYPE, DOGE, and ZEC are regarded as structural pillars, corresponding respectively to institutional capital, high beta risk appetite, AI narrative, risk appetite indicators, and retail investor rally pursuit. Market structure changes: The core contradiction in current pricing is that BTC maintains liquidity anchoring at high levels, but the altcoins as a whole have not formed a synchronized rise. This has led to divergence in funding rates: BTC perpetual contract funding rates remain positive, but most altcoins have funding rates close to zero or even turned negative, indicating that leverage is more concentrated on BTC, with little sustained long position accumulation on the altcoin side. On the basis side, the BTC futures premium structure (Contango) still exists, but the margin has narrowed, suggesting the market is becoming more conservative in its outlook for forward gains. Pricing transmission path: If BTC continues to consolidate sideways at the current level, it will be difficult for funds to spread outward to altcoins, because once liquidity is absorbed by BTC, altcoins will need to rely on lower valuations or stronger narratives to attract incremental capital. Conversely, if BTC experiences a significant pullback, it could trigger a bullish stamp, leading to concentrated leveraged liquidations and dragging down mainstream coins like ETH and SOL, resulting in a systemic correction. Among altcoins, highly liquid assets like JELLYJELLY and OPG may remain relatively strong during BTC consolidation, but stalled coins like BEAT and EDGE are likely to continue falling if they fail to receive new capital injections. Biased bullish path and conditions: If the BTC funding rate remains positive and the basis widens again, it indicates that leveraged long positions continue to increase positions, and the market may be entering a localized trend continuation. At this point, it is important to observe whether JELLYJELLY, OPG, and others are experiencing sustained rallies after increased trading volume, and whether the stagnant coins are bottoming out with increased volume and stabilizing the decline. Bearish path and conditions: If BTC's funding rate quickly turns negative or the basis narrows below parity, it suggests that bull confidence is breaking down and may trigger chain liquidations. At the same time, be wary of the accelerated decline of stagnant coins, which could lead to a collapse in overall risk appetite on the counterfeit side. Risk warning: The current market structure heavily relies on BTC liquidity anchorage. If BTC loses key support levels, it could trigger market-wide deleveraging. If stagnant coins continue to shrink in volume, it will be difficult to form an effective rebound. $BTC $ETH $SOL $HYPE $DOGE #流动性集中 #杠杆结构 #山寨币分化📊 $LIT 爆仓速览 爆仓规模 · 1小时:$50.73 · 4小时:$2,484.51 · 12小时:$5,236.94 · 24小时:$2.76万 多空分布 周期 多头爆仓 空头爆仓 多头占比 1h $0 $50.73 0% 4h $2,428.02 $56.50 97.7% 12h $5,022.43 $214.50 95.9% 24h $1.36万 $1.40万 49.3% 多空解读 1小时空头爆仓$50.73、多头为0,规模极小;4小时和12小时多头爆仓持续碾压空头(占比95.9%~97.7%),价格持续下跌;但24小时空头爆仓$1.40万以微弱优势反超(占50.7%),方向在12-24小时间发生逆转,转为逼空上涨行情。最终胜出方:多头——呈现“前段杀多→尾盘逼空逆转”格局。 时间分布 · 1小时占24小时的 0.18% · 4小时占24小时的 9.0% · 12小时占24小时的 18.97% 爆仓分布后置明显:前12小时合计仅占18.97%,而24小时总量是12小时的5.27倍,说明逼空行情在12-24小时间猛烈爆发(后12小时爆仓约$2.24万,占全天的81.0%)。当前处于逼空行情爆发阶段,空头尾盘遭集中清算,需关注持续性。 一句话解读 $LIT 24小时空头爆仓$1.40万占总量50.7%,方向逆转,多头最终胜出。 🔥 市场风向标 | 7月24日 今日三条热点,指向同一主题:AI的代价、监管的搁浅,以及地缘悬崖边的喘息。 📊 谷歌与特斯拉:AI盛宴的“账单”来了 两份财报揭开了AI叙事的残酷真相。 谷歌超预期但代价沉重:总营收1198亿美元,同比增长24%;谷歌云收入247.7亿美元,同比暴涨82%。然而,资本开支高达449亿美元,自由现金流首次转负至-59亿美元。盘后一度跌近5%。 特斯拉增收不增利:营收282.4亿美元,同比增长26%;但营业利润仅3.98亿美元,同比暴跌57%,运营利润率只剩1.4%。自由现金流两年多来首次转负。盘后跌超4%。 信号:谷歌的AI已在云业务中形成收入闭环;而特斯拉的Robotaxi和Optimus仍停留在“故事”阶段。市场正在惩罚只有概念、没有现金流的AI叙事。 📜 CLARITY法案搁浅:14亿美元的伦理困局 加密行业的监管希望正在消散。参议院共和党虽释放更新文本并加入道德条款,但7名民主党参议员集体否决。参议院多数党领袖图恩明确表示,法案大概率无法在8月7日休会前通过。 根本障碍:特朗普通过加密业务获得的约14亿美元收益成为最大阻力。民主党要求更严格的伦理条款,防止总统在其政府监管下继续从加密行业获利。 Polymarket预测市场显示,年内通过概率已从80%以上骤降至37%。错过8月窗口,拖入秋季选举,2026年通过可能性将大幅下降。 🚢 美军暂停空袭:地缘悬崖边的喘息 当地时间7月25日,特朗普下令美军当天不要对伊朗发动新空袭,结束了此前连续13天的每日打击行动。 暂停空袭前数小时,阿曼代表团已抵达德黑兰,就重启霍尔木兹海峡通航展开谈判,据称已取得进展。布伦特原油此前已突破100美元/桶,若谈判取得突破,油价有望回落。 信号:这是一次战术性暂停——为外交留空间,但美军恢复打击的预案仍在准备中。 💎 总结 三件事勾勒出当下市场的核心矛盾:AI的账单正在到来——谷歌和特斯拉用史上首次负现金流告诉市场,AI烧得比想象中更快;监管的窗口正在关闭——14亿美元的伦理困局让CLARITY法案年内通过希望渺茫;而地缘的喘息能持续多久,取决于阿曼斡旋的成败。#财报观察员:谁能看懂谷歌和特斯拉这次的真实答卷? #多数党领袖称CLARITY休会前难通过 #美军暂停对伊空袭,海峡通航谈判获进展 ━━━ Night Review · 2026-07-26 ━━━ Shadow Shaman · Hunters on the chain At the end of the day, logic remains. 🧭 Today's panorama → BTC $64,554 24h: +0.86% · ETH $1,888 24h: +1.71% · SOL $74.92 → Today's Volatility: BTC 0.64K ($63,996-$64,637) → Trading volume: BTC $1.87B · Funding rate: BTC 0.001% / ETH 0.001% 📊 Structural changes • OI: $2.035B (31,524 BTC), no significant increase or decrease throughout the day • Funding rate: Both currencies have rates at <0.0011%, at an absolute low with no directional pressure • BTC Premium: -0.055% (slight discount), bears slightly taking the initiative but showing no aggressive intent 🔥 Today's highlights • #1 DCA (BSC) +9.11% — 24-hour gain over 4000%, but MCap only $184K, 42% of shares share the same source, showing obvious signs of manipulation • #2 PONS (XLayer) +5.59% — MCap $54.6 million, one of the largest memes in the XLayer ecosystem, saw a slight rise today • TRUMP2028 (Solana) +1.29% — 5,306 token-holding addresses, maintaining popularity but with modest gains • BullPad (Solana) -27.47% — Previously surging memes experienced a deep pullback today, a typical "catch knife scene" ⚡ Smart money flows • Smart money on Solana today mainly focused on SalaryCat (bought at $1,487), but has already sold 70%, showing a clear pattern of fast in and out of stock • Justice For Sara Gilson (Sara) was chased by 10 smart money addresses, with 82% having sold out • Overall, Smart Money was doing short-term harvesting in the Solana meme layer with a "grab a hand, then exit" strategy, with no intention to hold overnight 💡 Shadows recoil BTC followed a standard contracting sideways movement today—$64K spent the day within 40 points. OI remains unchanged, rates are flat, and premiums are discounted but only slightly increased, indicating that both bulls and bears are controlling their positions. Guessing the direction at this position is no different from guessing a coin; the bulls haven't exerted momentum, and the bears haven't broken through. Memes on the hot topic side are lively, but the DCA market with 42% of the same source is clearly a trap—whoever chases the most here is caught by a flying knife. Smart money showed no intention of staying overnight at the Solana meme level today; after the rally, it left. This sentiment transmitted to the main board signaled "no incremental funds entering the market." Tonight, I chose to continue observing. If BTC can shrink above $64K and grind for another day, the structure would actually be healthier. No matter how sharp or down, I won't take it. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📡 Shadow Shaman · Hunters on the chain #暗影萨满🔥 From 46 to 142, then back to 79! $OKB This wave isn't a pullback; it's like rubbing the chives down and handing over a cigarette! Guys, who wouldn't be confused by this $OKB script from July? 📉 At the beginning of the month (that needle in early July): still lying flat at 46 cuts, playing dead. 🔥 Then OKX set off a fire: burning 278.9 million $OKB, permanently welding the total at 21 million. 🚀 The price rocketed straight in: soaring to $142.88, a 193% massive syllable sold out all the bears. 💀 And then? : Fell back to around 79, and has been grinding for almost three weeks. With 24-hour trading volume shrinking to just over 50 million, retail investors are all asking, "Is this over?" ” #OKX.ai: One person is a world-class company --- 🧬 Let me tell you, this trend is wild, and behind it are three hard logics clashing: 1. Supply side: OKX has fully transcribed Bitcoin's scarcity scenario The total supply of 21 million was locked, and the smart contract completely blocked both the additional issuance and manual burning. X Layer's gas is still burning in small amounts. What does this mean? OKB won't be reborn; it will only become fewer. How many exchanges have you seen in history with fixed total supply tokens? 2. Demand Side: Bet on the entire ecosystem, fail or die OKX cut OKT Chain and bet all on X Layer (Polygon CDK's zkEVM). OKB becomes the only fuel in the entire ecosystem + fee discounts + Jumpstart tickets. ICE (NYSE's real father) even came in to take a stand. This isn't just empty promises; it's just putting on a stage. 3. Market Volume: A typical shakeout after a surge, waiting for the big players to speak The 50-day moving average at $79 is holding down, the 200-day moving average at $88 is holding down, and the RSI at 56 is lukewarm. This is the kind of being repeatedly rubbed in the middle, washing away those who are uncertain. #OKX星球话题来啦 --- 🗣️ My rough summary of the summary: If you shout "reset to zero," wake up. An exchange token with a total supply of 21 million + full ecosystem gas is unprecedented in history. If you're shouting "Breaking 200 soon," don't even dream about it. Before BTC doesn't cooperate and X Layer doesn't have daily active users, the grueling 79-82 range will have to stay for a while. What stage is it now? The Fear and Greed Index once dropped to 23 (extreme fear), retail investors are cutting losses, and large players are hesitating. A typical "no chase when prices rise, no buying when prices fall" — a twisted phase. OKB is no longer a junk platform coin; it is a monster forcibly transformed by OKX into an "exchange-style BTC." In the short term, it will be dragged by the broader market; in the medium term, it depends on whether X Layer has real users; in the long term, it depends on whether the 21 million figure is enough to tell a story. 👇 Now the question arises: Do you think OKB really dropped completely this round and is preparing for a second firing, or will they fake a fall and continue sawing wood at 78-82? #交易之声: Your experience deserves to be heard Chart analysis: 1. Long-term trend: Previously completed a deep bear market decline from a high of 104.63, with a maximum drawdown exceeding 30%. 2. Short-term structure: After bottoming out at 70, a recovery rebound began, and the current price has broken above all short-term moving averages, indicating a recovery in short-term bullish momentum 3. Resistance and support: First resistance above at 85, support below at 81-82 (MA5/MA10 moving averages)📊 JUST IN: Saylor Hints At More Bitcoin, But The Reality Is Sharper Now "We're gonna need another color." Classic Saylor confidence, posted with a dashboard of Strategy's 843,775 BTC. But the numbers behind that swagger tell a harder story than the meme suggests. 📉 Where it stands: Holdings: 843,775 BTC Average cost: $75,653 Unrealized loss: about 14.8%, roughly $9.5 billion Q2 digital asset loss: $8.32 billion, mostly unrealized Here's what actually changed, and it matters. The "never sell" narrative is over. Strategy sold 3,588 BTC in early July for about $216 million, using the proceeds to fund preferred stock dividends and rebuild its dollar reserve. This followed a formal Bitcoin monetization program launched June 29 that lets the company sell up to $1.25 billion of BTC to cover obligations. A company built on the promise of relentless accumulation is now selling to pay its bills. That is a real shift, not a headline. None of this means the long-term thesis is broken, and that's the honest takeaway. These losses are unrealized, the CFO says the reserve could cover net debt even if BTC fell 91%, and Strategy has still added coins across the cycle. The lesson worth borrowing is conviction and dollar-cost averaging over years, using capital you won't need tomorrow. The lesson to avoid is the leverage, the forced sales, and treating one confident tweet as a buy signal. What to watch: Whether Strategy keeps selling under the monetization program or resumes buying. The health of its preferred stock and any pressure on MSTR shares, down 77% from the high. A confident post from the biggest holder is not a catalyst. Respect the conviction, watch the balance sheet, because structure decides who survives a bear market. Conviction that pays off, or a model meeting its limits? Not financial advice. $BTC $ETH $SOL The list of bankruptcies continues to grow! On July 23, @BitMEX announced that its operations would be closed starting from 04:00:00 UTC on September 23, 2026. On July 24, @odosprotocol announced that the app would switch to read-only mode on July 27, and all Odos services would be permanently shut down on July 30, 2026. July 25 @dango announced the termination of the project. On Wednesday, August 13, at 12:00 UTC, the Dango L1 blockchain will cease operations. On July 25, Poolin @officialpoolin, once the world's largest Bitcoin mining pool, filed for bankruptcy. July 26 @BitMartExchange Announced that all trading services will cease on August 26, 2026, 01:00 UTC. On January 31, 2027, 15:59 UTC: Platform operations will officially cease. Looking at these death lists, there are basically two types of deaths: 1⃣ Fake demand is exposed; in a bull market, just start financing with infrastructure or aggregators, but in a bear market, it's clear there is no commercial closed loop. 2⃣ Leverage backfired, and Coinyin, which seemed stable as a leveraged method, was also wiped out. It could have jumped on this AI wave and sold at a good price, but unfortunately, it died before dawn. In the second half of a bear market, if you can hold your capital and avoid pitfalls, you've already outperformed 90% of people.📊 $ZEC Quick Overview of Liquidation Scale of liquidations · 1 hour: $3,530.82 · 4 hours: $49,000 · 12 hours: $191,600 · 24 hours: $574,100 Mostly and bearish distribution Cycle: Bull liquidation, short liquidation, long position 1h $3,530.82 $0 100% 4h $4,686.80 $44,300 9.6% 12h $11,400 $180,200 5.9% 24h $93,900 $480,200 16.4% Duokong interpretation 100% of the 1-hour long liquidations ($3,530.82) were made, but the scale was so small that it could be ignored; From the 4-hour onward, short liquidation suddenly crushed the bulls (accounting for 90.4%), initiating a short squeeze rally; The 12-hour short position ratio reached as high as 94.1%, the most intense short squeeze of the day; Within 24 hours, short positions were liquidated at $480,200 (83.7%), with short squeezes continuing into the later stages. Ultimate winner: Bulls—showing a pattern of "short-term disturbances → persistent extreme short squeezes," with bears suffering devastating liquidation. Time distribution · 1 hour accounts for 0.62% of 24 hours · 4 hours accounts for 8.54% of 24 hours · 12 hours accounts for 33.38% of 24 hours Liquidations are concentrated in the 12-hour cycle (about one-third), but the total 24-hour volume is 3.00 times that of the 12-hour period, indicating a sharp escalation of short squeezes in the 12-24 hours (about $382,500 in the last 12 hours, accounting for 66.6% of the day). Currently, the market is at the peak of a short squeeze, with bears suffering heavy losses, but after extreme gains, caution is needed to be aware of the risk of sharp pullbacks. A one-sentence explanation $ZEC 24-hour short liquidation at $480,200, accounting for 83.7% of the total, with short squeezes dominating and upgrades in the later stages, the bulls winning decisively. 🔥 Market Barometer | July 24th Today's three hot topics point to the same theme: the cost of AI, regulatory stalls, and the breathing on the edge of the geopolitical cliff. 📊 Google and Tesla: The "bill" for the AI feast has arrived Two financial reports have revealed the harsh truth behind AI narratives. Google beats expectations but comes at a heavy cost: total revenue of $119.8 billion, up 24% year-on-year; Google Cloud revenue was $24.77 billion, an 82% year-on-year increase. However, capital expenditures reached $44.9 billion, and free cash flow turned negative for the first time to -$5.9 billion. After hours, it once fell nearly 5%. Tesla's revenue growth without profit growth: revenue of $28.24 billion, up 26% year-on-year; However, operating profit was only $398 million, a year-on-year plunge of 57%, with an operating margin of just 1.4%. Free cash flow turned negative for the first time in over two years. It fell more than 4% in after-hours trading. Signal: Google's AI has formed a closed revenue loop in its cloud business; Meanwhile, Tesla's Robotaxi and Optimus remain at the "story" stage. The market is punishing AI narratives that are concept-heavy but lack cash flow. 📜 CLARITY Act Stalled: A $1.4 Billion Ethical Dilemma Regulatory hopes for the crypto industry are fading. Although Senate Republicans released updated text and added a morality clause, seven Democratic senators collectively vetoed it. Senate Majority Leader Toon Toon made it clear that the bill is unlikely to pass before the August 7 recess. Fundamental obstacle: The roughly $1.4 billion gains Trump gained from crypto business became the biggest obstacle. The Democrats are demanding stricter ethical clauses to prevent the president from continuing to profit from the crypto industry under government oversight. Polymarket forecasts show that the probability of passing within the year has plummeted from over 80% to 37%. Missing the August window and dragging into the autumn elections will greatly reduce the chances of passing in 2026. 🚢 U.S. military pauses airstrikes: a breather on the edge of a geopolitical cliff On July 25 local time, Trump ordered the U.S. military not to launch new airstrikes on Iran that day, ending a 13-day continuous daily strike campaign. A few hours before the airstrike pause, the Omani delegation had already arrived in Tehran to begin negotiations to resume navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, reportedly making progress. Brent crude had previously surpassed $100 per barrel, and if negotiations break through, oil prices are expected to retreat. Signal: This is a tactical pause—to leave room for diplomacy, but the U.S. military is still preparing contingency plans for resuming strikes. 💎 Summary Three events outline the core contradictions in the current market: The bill for AI is approaching—Google and Tesla are telling the market that, for the first time ever, negative cash flow is heating up faster than expected; The regulatory window is closing—the $1.4 billion ethical dilemma makes it hard for the CLARITY Act to pass within the year; How long the pause in the geography lasts depends on the success or failure of Oman's mediation. #财报观察员: Who can truly understand the real answer sheet from Google and Tesla this time? #多数党领袖称CLARITY休会前难通过 #美军暂停对伊空袭, negotiations on the opening of the strait made progress Trump reported $1.4B+ in crypto income for 2025. Breakdown from his financial disclosure: $635M — $TRUMP meme coin sales $770M— World Liberty Financial $520M from token sales $250M from selling business interests That’s a 9x jump from last year. Crypto is now his largest source of income. Meanwhile the Senate can’t move the CLARITY Act. Democrats argue you can’t have a president regulating crypto while making $1B+ from it. Republicans argue the bill shouldn’t be written around one person. The current draft would ban sitting officials from issuing or sponsoring new digital assets. But it doesn’t fully address family-run projects. Conflict or not — this is why ethics is holding up the biggest crypto bill in years. NFA. DYOR. Watch the disclosures, not just the charts. #EarningsRealityCheck #CLARITYActStalled #USIranStrikePause #EarningsRealityCheck #CLARITYActStalled #USIranStrikePause Is the crypto world really tough? Or did the US stock market show its weakness first? In the short term, it's exciting to watch, but don't rush to catch up on the signal—whoever acts impulsively in this market will suffer. Look at the numbers $BTC 64,440 +0.57% $ETH 1,885 +1.24% $QQQ -1.12% $SPY +0.10% $IBIT -0.82% $DXY +0.03% $GLD +0.10% Crude oil and Hormuz have been shivering, and inflation expectations have never been honest. The crypto world and ETFs are still competing over risk appetite, but once the old scripts of AI and semiconductors flip the page, $QQQ's mood switch can instantly split the entire market. Qian clearly shifted toward defense, $QQQ that bit of energy couldn't hold the court at all. $ETH Today is more elastic than $BTC, and risk appetite is still struggling to push upward, but $IBIT is a bit weaker than spot trading. ETF funds entering the market have narrowed down, indicating spot stocks aren't as aggressive. $DXY Heads are stubbornly suppressed by risk assets, $GLD still in the red, haven't even escaped all the hedging funds, just keeping a backup plan. A barrage of analysis is fierce as a tiger, but whether the market rises or falls, Trump is still watched. Don't rush to bet; wait for clearer signals. Whoever shows weakness first will set the direction first. Let's wait and see. #以太坊验证者退出队列已降至零Recently, market sentiment has warmed up, and $SHIB has seen a strong rebound. In just two trading days, the price started around $0.0000042, reaching a high of $0.0000058, with a maximum increase of nearly 36% during the range. Its market capitalization rose by about $1 billion simultaneously, reassembling it among the top 30 crypto assets by market cap. Many people simply attribute this round of rally to MEME sector rotational speculation, but considering on-chain, tokenomics, and capital flow data, the market-driven logic is far more complex than surface sentiment. First, let's review SHIB's underlying token framework, which is the foundation for understanding all market trends. The initial total supply of SHIB was 1,000 trillion, with 500 trillion transferred to the Vitalik burn address during launch, laying the foundation for the project's deflationary nature. As of the latest Shibburn on-chain statistics, the total amount burned has reached 410.84 trillion, accounting for 41.08% of the original supply, permanently deprived of the circulating market; Currently, the circulating market supply remains at 589.16 trillion coins. Many market participants tend to misunderstand that continuous burning will quickly cause supply shortages. Objective data clearly shows that early burns exceeding 400 trillion were concentrated in 2021, a one-time large-scale burn, with daily community burns relatively limited in the past year. On the eve of this rally, the daily regular burn volume mostly stayed in the millions of tokens, but during the market kickoff, the 24-hour burn rate surged by up to 1400%, with 6.75 million tokens burned in a single day, and the burning frenzy rapidly heating up.Many players are used to speculating on MEME and AI hot coins, so switching to $OKB easily leads to pitfalls. They often wonder: why does the hot market keep surging, but OKB often remains lukewarm? Today, let's break down and talk about the underlying gameplay of this platform coin. Let's start with the underlying background: OKB is the native token of the OKX exchange, and has long been more than just a simple exchange points. In the early days, its main functions were fee deductions and participation in new token subscriptions on platforms; A major upgrade followed, with a permanent lock of 21 million tokens, completely closing the new minting channel, and making it the native gas token of the X Layer 2 network. Simply put, OKB has a dual value foundation: on one hand, it relies on centralized exchange transaction fee buyback and burning; on the other, it undertakes the development needs of the second-layer public chain ecosystem. Compared to altcoins that tell stories out of thin air, they have real and continuous business cash flow as a foundation, which is the fundamental reason for their stronger resilience during bear markets. Let's clarify the core logic of the current market: hot small coins rely on speculative funds for short-term rallying, causing sentiment to surge continuously; But OKB's price is tightly tied to two things: the exchange's overall trading volume and the large-scale ecosystem event launched by the official team. During market frenzy, funds favor highly elastic theme coins and look down on platform coins with slow paces; But once the market falls into volatility and market risks rise, funds start clustering together with platform coins to hedge risks. This creates its unique trending feature: it's hard to surge in prices, and big drops often lag behind the knockoffs. It's hard to see a single-day main upward wave of 20 to 30 points; more of it is a volatile upward movement and repeated pull-up cycles. A few that can be tracked in the future⚠️🏅 $YGG /USDT Market Alert 📊 YGG is holding around $0.0186 with improving sentiment. Support lies near $0.0180, while resistance is around $0.0195 and $0.0205. 🎯 Target: $0.0195 → $0.0205 → $0.0220. 🎯 Stop Loss: $0.0177. 🛑 Next Move: A breakout above $0.0195 could spark fresh bullish momentum, while losing support may trigger a short-term pullback. 💯#EarningsRealityCheck #CLARITYActStalled #KoreaAIChipPush 📊 $OKB Quick Overview of Liquidation Scale of liquidations · 1 hour: $153.74 · 4 hours: $158.06 · 12 hours: $158.06 · 24 hours: $37,600 Mostly and bearish distribution Cycle: Bull liquidation, short liquidation, long position 1h $0 $153.74 0% 4h $0 $158.06 0% 12h $0 $158.06 0% 24h $0 $37,600 0% Duokong interpretation Short liquidations account for 100% of the cycles, while long liquidations account for zero, indicating an extreme unilateral short squeeze upward trend. In the first 12 hours, liquidation was extremely small (about $154~$158), with mild short squeezes initiating; 24-hour liquidation surged to $37,600, with short squeeze conditions exploding in 12-24 hours. Ultimate winner: Bulls—Bearish and late trading face concentrated and devastating liquidation. Time distribution · 1 hour accounts for 0.41% of 24 hours · 4 hours accounts for 0.42% of 24 hours · 12 hours accounts for 0.42% of 24 hours Liquidation distribution is extremely late: the first 12 hours accounted for only 0.42%, while the total 24-hour volume is about 238 times that of the 12-hour period, indicating that the short squeeze market exploded in the latter half. Currently, the market is at the peak of a short squeeze, with concentrated liquidations on short positions at the close, but after extreme gains, caution is needed regarding the risk of sharp corrections. A one-sentence explanation $OKB 24-hour short liquidation at $37,600, accounting for 100%, followed by explosive upgrades in the following 12 hours, with bulls winning decisively. 🔥 Market Barometer | July 24th Today's three hot topics point to the same theme: the cost of AI, regulatory stalls, and the breathing on the edge of the geopolitical cliff. 📊 Google and Tesla: The "bill" for the AI feast has arrived Two financial reports have revealed the harsh truth behind AI narratives. Google beats expectations but comes at a heavy cost: total revenue of $119.8 billion, up 24% year-on-year; Google Cloud revenue was $24.77 billion, an 82% year-on-year increase. However, capital expenditures reached $44.9 billion, and free cash flow turned negative for the first time to -$5.9 billion. After hours, it once fell nearly 5%. Tesla's revenue growth without profit growth: revenue of $28.24 billion, up 26% year-on-year; However, operating profit was only $398 million, a year-on-year plunge of 57%, with an operating margin of just 1.4%. Free cash flow turned negative for the first time in over two years. It fell more than 4% in after-hours trading. Signal: Google's AI has formed a closed revenue loop in its cloud business; Meanwhile, Tesla's Robotaxi and Optimus remain at the "story" stage. The market is punishing AI narratives that are concept-heavy but lack cash flow. 📜 CLARITY Act Stalled: A $1.4 Billion Ethical Dilemma Regulatory hopes for the crypto industry are fading. Although Senate Republicans released updated text and added a morality clause, seven Democratic senators collectively vetoed it. Senate Majority Leader Toon Toon made it clear that the bill is unlikely to pass before the August 7 recess. Fundamental obstacle: The roughly $1.4 billion gains Trump gained from crypto business became the biggest obstacle. The Democrats are demanding stricter ethical clauses to prevent the president from continuing to profit from the crypto industry under government oversight. Polymarket forecasts show that the probability of passing within the year has plummeted from over 80% to 37%. Missing the August window and dragging into the autumn elections will greatly reduce the chances of passing in 2026. 🚢 U.S. military pauses airstrikes: a breather on the edge of a geopolitical cliff On July 25 local time, Trump ordered the U.S. military not to launch new airstrikes on Iran that day, ending a 13-day continuous daily strike campaign. A few hours before the airstrike pause, the Omani delegation had already arrived in Tehran to begin negotiations to resume navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, reportedly making progress. Brent crude had previously surpassed $100 per barrel, and if negotiations break through, oil prices are expected to retreat. Signal: This is a tactical pause—to leave room for diplomacy, but the U.S. military is still preparing contingency plans for resuming strikes. 💎 Summary Three events outline the core contradictions in the current market: The bill for AI is approaching—Google and Tesla are telling the market that, for the first time ever, negative cash flow is heating up faster than expected; The regulatory window is closing—the $1.4 billion ethical dilemma makes it hard for the CLARITY Act to pass within the year; How long the pause in the geography lasts depends on the success or failure of Oman's mediation. #财报观察员: Who can truly understand the real answer sheet from Google and Tesla this time? #多数党领袖称CLARITY休会前难通过 #美军暂停对伊空袭, negotiations on the opening of the strait made progress $BTC futures demand is increasing further. The positive value of futures demand indicates that real demand is emerging. However, spot demand remains negative. Total demand is negative because the negative value of spot demand is larger. A real rally must be accompanied by real demand. Currently, real demand is occurring in the futures market but futures market is still negative demand. A real rally will begin when real demand emerges in the spot market.Is this really the true "Altcoin Season," or just another emotional pump "noise"?👀 On the surface, the green boards turning red and localized surges have sharply heated up the market's FOMO (fear of missing out) sentiment. However, the true hallmark of altcoin season is **a broad market rally with liquidity spreading comprehensively**. What we are experiencing now is merely a **brutal rotation** of existing funds among a very limited number of tokens, rather than an overall expansion of incremental capital. Main funds are highly concentrated in a few top assets, while the vast majority of tokens cannot sustain continuous buying support. ### 📊 Liquidity camp division and chip structure * **Strong capital absorption zone (stock focus)**: $BTC, $JELLYJELLY, $OPG, $SLX, $LAB, $BSB, $ALLO, $CHIP * **Momentum maintenance zone (localized heat)**: $MEME, $EDEN, $HUMA, $ZKP, $METIS * **Momentum decline/stagnation zone (lack of buying)**: $BEAT, $EDGE, $COAI, $TRUMP, $RAVE, $SPACE, $SOPH, $IP, $AVNT, $ZAMA, $OFC, $PIEVERSE, $VIRTUAL, $ACU, $H, $MEGA ### 🏛️ Core asset anchors and value reassessment | Asset | Market Role and Positioning | Latest Status / Reference Benchmark | |---|---|---| | **$BTC** | **King of Liquidity 👑** | Currently at **$64,530** (up 0.92% intraday), total crypto market cap remains at **$2.18 trillion**, still the absolute anchor of the market. | | **$ETH** | **Institutional Application Playground** | Currently near **$1,880**, increasing staking locks continue to reduce spot selling pressure. | | **$SOL** | **High Beta Elastic Bet** | Ecosystem activity remains high, still the primary battlefield for seeking excess returns beyond the broader market. | | **$TAO / $WLD** | **AI Narrative Dual Leaders** | Deeply tied to OpenAI and the latest dynamics in the global semiconductor supply chain. | | **$HYPE** | **Risk Appetite Barometer** | Core indicator measuring the flow of high-leverage and high-risk appetite capital. | | **$DOGE / $ZEC** | **Retail Sentiment and Privacy Battle** | Reflects the fluctuations of retail risk appetite and privacy avoidance sentiment like a mirror. | ### 📰 Macro drivers and news catalysts 1. **Regulatory bill delay (#CLARITYActStalled):** The U.S. Congress's "CLARITY Act" (H.R. 3633) on crypto market structure has been postponed in the Senate agenda until after the August recess due to conflicts of interest and strict ethics review clauses. This policy uncertainty makes large compliant institutions more cautious about fully deploying altcoins. 2. **Temporary easing of geopolitical tensions (#USIranStrikePause):** The U.S. has paused strikes on specific Middle East facilities with no new military escalations, easing macro risk-off sentiment. The oil price decline provides breathing room for the crypto market. > **The harsh truth:** True altcoin season only arrives when liquidity spreads fully and market participation explodes synchronously across all sectors, not when just 5 tokens dominate the headlines. > Until then: **Strictly control risk, follow capital flows, and decisively reject FOMO chasing.** 📈 #EarningsRealityCheck #CLARITYActStalled #USIranStrikePause It's been four years since it was this quiet, guys. The ancient whales who entered in 2017 finally stopped selling their stocks. It's not that they won't smash, it's just that they can't move anymore. Those who should have run have already left. Just seeing the data, dormant $BTC activity has dropped to its lowest point since Q3 2022. What does that mean? Back in 2022, it had just crashed from 69,000, and everyone played dead together. Here it comes again. To be honest, this is more true than any technical indicator. Think about it: when $BTC surged to over 100,000 at the end of last year, OGs were selling like crazy, and all the coins that had been sitting in their wallets for seven or eight years were revived. After cashing in that wave of profits, they either have no stock left or only zero-cost positions left. With zero-cost $BTC, why are people in such a hurry? No rush to sell. This is the tacit understanding of the market. Large funds remain stagnant, while small funds run wild. While the altcoin season is having fun, mainstream coins are actually quite stable. I checked on-chain data, and in the past month, the number of old coins moving was pitifully low. Last time it was this quiet, what happened afterward? After four months of sideways movement, a major bullish candlestick broke through the sky. Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying this time will be the same. But one thing is clear: selling pressure is really exhausting. When $BTC dropped a few months ago, I told them not to panic, and now I still say the same thing. If the big game really collapses, the OGs won't be this calm. They are the most sensitive and run faster than anyone. What does the collective pretend to be dead now mean? It means the real panic has not yet arrived. Brothers who are short sellers, think carefully—right in front of you is the most reluctant group of holders in the world. If they don't sell, where can you borrow coins to throw them away? Of course, a bull market doesn't come overnightWell-known trader Kla tweeted that Bitcoin's cycle is accelerating. In the previous cycle, it took only 476 days to go from bottom to record high, much faster than the previous two rounds. He expects this round to break the previous high ahead of the next halving. To be honest, the trend of shortening cycles is already quite obvious. The reasons behind this are not hard to guess—institutional funds, ETFs, and macro liquidity are flowing in, causing the market to react much faster than before. Combined with social media and leverage tools, the speed of sentiment and price transmission is simply not on the same level. The old stereotype of "every four years a bull and bear" might really need to be changed now. However, acceleration has two sides. On one hand, if you're still waiting for some "standard right-side signal," you might miss out on a significant rally in the blink of an eye; On the other hand, acceleration means a stronger pullback, and the probability of getting stuck after chasing highs rises sharply. So instead of getting caught up in left and right sides, it's better to manage your positions well, build positions in batches, set stop-losses, and don't let emotions run wild. As for his mention of "new highs before the halving," I think it's quite likely, but that doesn't mean a big pit won't be hit first. In short, focusing on macro data and capital flows is far more reliable than stubbornly stubbornly obsessing over historical patterns. 😂 📊 $XAUT Quick Overview of Liquidation Scale of liquidations · 1 hour: $194.64 · 4 hours: $194.64 · 12 hours: $5,107.83 · 24 hours: $36,000 Mostly and bearish distribution Cycle: Bull liquidation, short liquidation, long position 1h $0 $194.64 0% 4h $0 $194.64 0% 12h $60.82 $5,047.01 1.2% 24h $30,800 $5,176.69 85.6% Duokong interpretation In the first 12 hours, short liquidation crushed long positions (short positions accounted for 98.8%~100%), and prices continued to rise; Within 24 hours, long positions were liquidated at $30,800, strongly overtaking (accounting for 85.6%), with a sharp reversal occurring within 12-24 hours, turning into a one-sided downtrend. Ultimate winner: Bears—showing a pattern of "short squeeze upward→ surge and pullback, extreme long selling." Time distribution · 1 hour accounts for 0.54% of 24 hours · 4 hours accounts for 0.54% of 24 hours · 12 hours account for 14.2% of 24 hours Liquidation distribution is extremely late: the first 12 hours accounted for only 14.2%, while the 24-hour total is 7.05 times the 12-hour volume, indicating a strong burst in the 12-24 hours (about $30,900 in the last 12 hours, accounting for 85.8% of the day). Currently, the market is in a bear-led sustained sharp decline, and in the short term, attention should be paid to technical recovery signals after oversold conditions. A one-sentence explanation $XAUT 24-hour long liquidation at $30,800, accounting for 85.6% of the total, with an early short squeeze followed by extreme bullish selling at the close, with bears winning decisively. 🔥 Market Barometer | July 24th Today's three hot topics point to the same theme: the cost of AI, regulatory stalls, and the breathing on the edge of the geopolitical cliff. 📊 Google and Tesla: The "bill" for the AI feast has arrived Two financial reports have revealed the harsh truth behind AI narratives. Google beats expectations but comes at a heavy cost: total revenue of $119.8 billion, up 24% year-on-year; Google Cloud revenue was $24.77 billion, an 82% year-on-year increase. However, capital expenditures reached $44.9 billion, and free cash flow turned negative for the first time to -$5.9 billion. After hours, it once fell nearly 5%. Tesla's revenue growth without profit growth: revenue of $28.24 billion, up 26% year-on-year; However, operating profit was only $398 million, a year-on-year plunge of 57%, with an operating margin of just 1.4%. Free cash flow turned negative for the first time in over two years. It fell more than 4% in after-hours trading. Signal: Google's AI has formed a closed revenue loop in its cloud business; Meanwhile, Tesla's Robotaxi and Optimus remain at the "story" stage. The market is punishing AI narratives that are concept-heavy but lack cash flow. 📜 CLARITY Act Stalled: A $1.4 Billion Ethical Dilemma Regulatory hopes for the crypto industry are fading. Although Senate Republicans released updated text and added a morality clause, seven Democratic senators collectively vetoed it. Senate Majority Leader Toon Toon made it clear that the bill is unlikely to pass before the August 7 recess. Fundamental obstacle: The roughly $1.4 billion gains Trump gained from crypto business became the biggest obstacle. The Democrats are demanding stricter ethical clauses to prevent the president from continuing to profit from the crypto industry under government oversight. Polymarket forecasts show that the probability of passing within the year has plummeted from over 80% to 37%. Missing the August window and dragging into the autumn elections will greatly reduce the chances of passing in 2026. 🚢 U.S. military pauses airstrikes: a breather on the edge of a geopolitical cliff On July 25 local time, Trump ordered the U.S. military not to launch new airstrikes on Iran that day, ending a 13-day continuous daily strike campaign. A few hours before the airstrike pause, the Omani delegation had already arrived in Tehran to begin negotiations to resume navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, reportedly making progress. Brent crude had previously surpassed $100 per barrel, and if negotiations break through, oil prices are expected to retreat. Signal: This is a tactical pause—to leave room for diplomacy, but the U.S. military is still preparing contingency plans for resuming strikes. 💎 Summary Three events outline the core contradictions in the current market: The bill for AI is approaching—Google and Tesla are telling the market that, for the first time ever, negative cash flow is heating up faster than expected; The regulatory window is closing—the $1.4 billion ethical dilemma makes it hard for the CLARITY Act to pass within the year; How long the pause in the geography lasts depends on the success or failure of Oman's mediation. #财报观察员: Who can truly understand the real answer sheet from Google and Tesla this time? #多数党领袖称CLARITY休会前难通过 #美军暂停对伊空袭, negotiations on the opening of the strait made progress SK Hynix SK Hynix's stock price has fluctuated sharply, but the AI server has not been equipped with a single HBM block as a result. SK Hynix is sending samples of 12-layer HBM4E to major customers and collaborating with NVIDIA on next-generation AI memory, expanding its growth strategy from HBM to AI DRAM, NAND, and enterprise-grade SSDs. AI computing power development remains a long-term tailwind, but the market is beginning to worry: whether current storage prices and profit margins are close to cycle highs, and whether price competition will resume after Samsung and Micron's expansions. US ADRs have recently fluctuated sharply around $156, showing a clear premium over Korean common stocks, indicating investors are not only betting on companies but also paying for scarcity. Technically, focus on support at $150 to $153; if it falls below it, target $145; The main resistance above is $164 to $170. SK Hynix's long-term logic hasn't disappeared, but the most dangerous short-term thing may be "good news everyone knows." Do you think this is a golden pit for AI memory, or a reminder before the storage cycle shifts? $SKHY #SK海力士 #HBM #AIThe early rally of $ORDI truly ignited the first wave of BRC20 inscription booms, and during that rally, market liquidity was basically dominated by domestic players. The scale is no longer what it used to be. Today, ORDI is no longer just a target for Chinese players; global Bitcoin ecosystem participants are closely watching its rise and fall. Especially now, with Rune $DOG continuing to weaken and narratives lacking, overseas funds will further solidify ORDI's position as the leading Bitcoin native asset. But don't expect the market to start immediately; ORDI will continue to fluctuate and shake out, and another half year of grinding is a reasonable scenario. Even if a major bull market has not yet arrived, local hotspots within the sector will continue to emerge: emerging protocols and underlying platforms such as Alkanes, Subfrost, Tap-Nat, Radfi, and Bound will continue to generate phased opportunities. The narrative of the track keeps iterating, with hot topics alternating between old and new, but ORDI, as the emotional anchor of the Bitcoin ecosystem, holds an unshakable position in the short term.Is the P/E ratio of Changxin Storage's IPO as high as 300? Is it still playable? ┈➤ Static P/E ratio for 2025 ◆ #ChangxinStorage opens tomorrow, issue price 8.66, ◆ New shares 668,808.8608 million (accounting for 10% of total shares), ◆ Net profit attributable to the parent company at the end of 2015 was 1,874,859,400 yuan. ◆ According to A-share IPO standards, calculate the static P/E ratio for 2025: PE = 8.66 * 668,808.8608 * 10 / 187,485.94 = 308.92 But this is static data at the end of 2025; the market may and should calculate and value based on dynamic data. ┈➤ Rolling P/E ratio from Q2 2025 to Q1 2026 ◆ Net profit attributable to the parent company from 25Q2 to 26Q1 = Full year 2025 + Q1 2026 - Q1 2025 = 187,485.94 + 2,476,203.15 - (-155,902.79) = 2,819,591.88 ◆ Calculate the rolling P/E ratio based on IPO price PE-TTM【25Q2~26Q1】 = 8.66 * 668,808.8608 * 10 / 2,819,591.88 = 20.54 ┈➤ Rolling P/E ratio from Q3 2025 to Q2 2026 (conservative estimate) Net profit attributable to the parent company for the first half of 2026 is between 5,000,000 and 5,700,000; applying the principle of prudence, take the lower limit. ◆ Net profit attributable to the parent company from 25Q3 to 26Q2 = Full year 2025 + first half of 2026 - first half of 2025 = 187,485.94 + 5,000,000 - (-233,205.82) = 5,420,691.76 ◆ Calculate the rolling P/E ratio based on IPO price PE-TTM【25Q3~26Q2】 = 8.66 * 668,808.8608 * 10 / 5,420,691.76 = 10.68 ┈➤ Final notes Cambricon's current P/E is 285, highest 371, Hygon Information's current P/E is 267, highest 315, First, some friends compare Changxin Storage with Hynix, but they are actually not comparable. Because there are differences between markets, Hynix as the leading storage company has a P/E lower than Micron $MU and even SanDisk $SNDK. This is due to differences in environment and sentiment between the Korean and US stock markets. Therefore, Changxin Storage should not be compared with Hynix. Instead, it can be referenced against AI stocks in the A-share market, Cambricon's current P/E is 285, highest 371, Hygon Information's current P/E is 267, highest 315. Second, calculating Changxin Storage's P/E based on 2025 year-end profits yields 308.9. However, the market may value it based on updated data. Based on 25Q2~26Q1, the rolling P/E is 20.54. Based on a conservative estimate for 25Q3~26Q2, the rolling P/E is 10.68. So theoretically, Changxin Storage still has some room to rise after opening. Third, the overall trend of the storage sector is currently uncertain whether it has bottomed out. Fourth, Changxin Storage's main product is DRAM, which may have weaker rigid demand from AI compared to HBM. Fifth, Changxin Storage was still in a loss state in the first half of 2025, with a sharp profit surge in 2026; whether this rapid growth can be sustained requires time to prove. I haven't played big A-shares, so I don't have much say, but theoretically Changxin Storage should be fine up to 17 (PE-TTM【25Q3~26Q2】about 20). Optimistically, it might reach around 40 (PE-TTM【25Q3~26Q2】about 50). Extremely optimistically, it might exceed 70 or even reach 80 (PE-TTM【25Q3~26Q2】close to 100). The large valuation difference is caused by the huge profit gap between 2025 and 2026 for Changxin Storage; whether this growth trend is a short-term burst or will continue long-term is still uncertain.Guys, YGG rose 4.21% today, currently priced at $0.01854. Behind this bullish candlestick, the core catalyst comes from expectations of a strategic restructuring of the project: on July 7, YGG officially announced the closure of its game publishing division YGG Play, laying off 35 employees, and games like LOL Land will officially delaunch on July 31. This move is not a project crisis, but rather a shift in focus to AI game behavior data services, with player behavior datasets usable for AI model training, and the market speculating on its long-term potential to enter the AI data track. Technical Aspects: Support at 0.0185-0.0187; resistance above is seen at 0.0192/0.0200/0.0210, with the previous high at 0.0212 forming strong resistance; Below is a key defensive position at 0.0175. Core risk: Trading volume heavily depends on the futures market, with contract size significantly higher than spot trading. Leverage funds dominate the market, making the structure fragile and causing amplified volatility. With only a few days left until YGG Play officially shuts down on July 31, the market is weighing the narrative expectations of transformation, and caution is needed to watch out for selling pressure that may materialize after the event materializes. Key point: Currently, the AI data business is still in the strategic planning stage and has no revenue from implementation; At the same time, YGG tokens do not have the capability to capture business revenue. These are event-driven, high-volatility short-term targets, with the bottom line of the game being fast in and out. Do not mistake short-term thematic rebounds for trend reversals; strictly manage positions and risks. Personal market viewsToday, seeing BitMex and BitMart both cease operations one after another is somewhat disappointing. During the year-long slow bear market, many Web3 projects have disappeared or reskinned, and hot money in the market is gradually flowing into the AI field I think the reason these two exchanges shut down in the same week despite such a coincidence is another reason: 1. Liquidity is concentrated in leading exchanges, so most retail investors and whales usually choose platforms with the deepest orders, lowest slippage, and the most counterparties. The worse the liquidity, the fewer users there are; the fewer users, the further the number of users drops, and then you step on the right foot and enter a death spiral. 2. Hyperliquid, an on-chain trading platform, is eating into CEX's market share. Traders can self-custody assets on these DEXs, and platform rules and reserves are more transparent. This makes it even harder for established contract exchanges without a spot ecosystem or institutional custody business to survive 3. Rising compliance costs. The old Cayman registration and global service approach no longer works. Web3 ecosystems in Europe, North America, Singapore, and Hong Kong are all becoming more standardized, inevitably leading to companies like Bitmex, which lag behind and have to stop operations in Europe due to compliance issues 4. The platform token begins to backlash, another death spiral: when the exchange faces operational difficulties, the price of the platform token falls, then the decline leads users to reduce holdings, collateral and financial reserves are compiled, the market doubts the platform's solvency, and then it stamps on the right again until it hits rock bottom It is unclear whether the halts of these two exchanges have reached the bottom of the bear market or have only just begun. But no matter what, I still hope the industry keeps getting better, that everyone can make money and have something to eat#新手必看: Everything you need is here Today, according to the latest statistics released by RootData, by the end of 2026, 99 crypto projects have announced shutdowns, bankruptcy, or complete website shutdowns. The list includes many well-known names: from established contract derivatives platforms like BitMEX, BitMart, and AscendEX, to highly useful on-chain Kanban and wallet tools like Zapper, Parsec, Leap, Ctrl, and even DeFi protocols like Stream Finance and Altura. After seeing these 99 death lists, to be honest, I don't feel pessimistic; on the contrary, I think this is a bloody yet very healthy "dehydration reshuffle" in a high-interest industry environment. A careful breakdown of these dead projects reveals a harsh iron rule: the era of surviving by storytelling and token money subsidies is over. The deaths in these 99 items mainly target three major causes of death: The first cause of death is the "value capture black hole" of pure front-end tool protocols. Kanban and wallets like Zapper, Parsec, and Leap have good product experiences, but pure front-end platforms lack native token profit capture mechanisms and no commercial closed loop. During bear markets and periods of stock competition, the high costs of nodes and server operations have directly drained the team's cash flow. The second cause of death was the complete failure of inflation and Ponzi mining. Protocols like Stream Finance used to print their own governance tokens to attract liquidity with high APYs. But under the pressure of the 10-year US Treasury risk-free rate of 4.7%, smart money would rather hold onto Treasuries than play the game of air token inflation. Once subsidies stop, Chizi immediately became a dead city. The third cause of death is liquidity loss and compliance backlash among second-tier CEXs. As Solana's on-chain DEX trading volume surpasses that of traditional compliant CEXs, coupled with soaring regulatory compliance costs such as BitMEX lawsuits, the survival space of small and medium-sized CEXs is being squeezed by both on-chain DEXs and leading compliance giants, forcing them to go bankrupt and exit after liquidity runs dry. My conclusion: The collective death of these 99 projects is the market helping you clean and cut out. Those who will survive in the future will either be leading public blockchains/DEXs with strong underlying network effects, or real yield blue-chip companies that continuously generate real fiat revenue and protocol dividends. Among these 99 deadly items, have you ever used or fallen into a pitfall? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments section.TSLA暴跌的实质是:市场不是否定特斯拉的未来, 而是在要求这些未来业务更快、更清楚地体现在财务报表上。 特斯拉上涨的必要条件是:FSD v15顺利推送、Robotaxi规模化运营、 Optimus量产爬坡——三者至少有两个取得实质性突破。 上涨的充分条件是:在上述突破发生的同时,汽车毛利率企稳、自由现金流改善,让市场相信"烧钱阶段"即将过去。 当前特斯拉正处于从"卖车故事"切换到"AI故事"的阵痛期。 市场愿意等,但不会无限期地等。接下来的每一份季报,都是对"故事能否变成现实"的一次大考。#财报观察员:谁能看懂谷歌和特斯拉这次的真实答卷? $TSLA STRC's paper losses blew up a group yesterday. Treasury's book numbers forcibly pushed preferred stock discounts into an industry-wide credit test. To be honest, the moment I saw the Strive holdings exposed, I felt this wasn't that simple. It's not just one company's pressure, but everyone's problem. When $BTC broke below support, those telling stories about paper profits suddenly realized their preferred shares had become hot potatoes. The discount rate was much faster than expected, and liquidity drained the entire Bitcoin market The treasury valuation model is shaking. Sisters, stay calm. It's not that I'm trying to create anxiety, but this contagion is really fast. A book loss from a treasury can make an entire institution reprice the risk of Bitcoin holdings. The balance sheet management that was hyped up last year has become a tightening curse this year. The key isn't whether you have $MSTR, but treasuries with similar patterns Everyone is being re-evaluated. STRC is just the first domino to fall. Behind it are a bunch of people using the same logic to snowball. I'm not chasing highs or in a hurry to sell. Let's first see how the US stock market reacts tonight. If no one even accepts the discount on preferred stocks, that would be the real big problem. Is there still hope for treasury? Which side are you on on this topic? #芯片股反弹, short positions in U.S. stocks hit a record high #加密行情回暖, Bitcoin rose #美股全线走高, and crypto stocks led the gains This time, there was no new name that made me willing to raise my attention; instead, two old observation items gave completely different signals. HBULL is currently about $0.00157, with a market capitalization of about $1.5 million, liquidity of about $125,000, and a 24-hour trading volume of about $872,000. Real transactions still exist, but RugCheck has a new tip that one address holds 25.83%. The project team stated that the large tokens are in the staking vault, but I have not yet been able to independently confirm the correspondence between this address and the publicly available staking procedure. About 97.97% of the main pool liquidity certificates are locked, and the rights for additional issuance and freezing have been revoked; Before the use of large addresses is proven, I just treat it as a routine observation. Contract: 7V6Sk63y8Rr1MvcN5mYNp61wgFhy4EeQg5gUASk9pump https://dexscreener.com/solana/edx18gjcdijqslaja2pp5c2vma3btrrx4utxkejufrtq BUB is earlier and more dangerous. Within about four hours, the number of holding addresses increased from 1,027 to 2,292, with about 3,537 independent traders and approximately $1.2 million in transactions; However, during the same period, the price pulled back about 30%, liquidity dropped to around $27,000–$29,000, and the turnover was more than forty times the liquidity. Tokens are temporarily dispersed, the main pool is nearly 100% locked, the proportion of bots is unknown, and the project has no verifiable official relationship with Lil BUB's original IP. Contract: 4FaSuBUp15t9Qiar9MdpaspkZJU5RK6A3QLnybNCpump https://dexscreener.com/solana/J1GuZspgz3kxJqgngTGsR5QyJioSLAoZnApFd2yvtVsR Next, I will verify three things: whether the HBULL large address can prove it is a bound vault; Whether buyback and reward transactions can be aligned consecutively; After BUB's hype cools down, can its holdings and liquidity remain? Large addresses concentrating into the pool, HBULL main pool lock-up continues to drop significantly, or BUB liquidity continues to rapidly drain away, all of which make me stop watching. High-risk research records, not trade advice.On July 26, $SHIB emerged in an independent super rally without any fundamental improvements, project announcements, or ecosystem updates. The intraday peak surged 36%, with the price hitting $0.0000057, and the market capitalization surged by $1 billion in a single day, pushing the total market cap past $3.4 billion. 1. The Real Core of This Round of Rallies — Korean Kimchi Funds Dominate the Market This rally is not a consensus among all online funds but rather concentrated speculation in a single region: South Korea's leading exchange Upbit's $SHIB/KRW trading pair recorded a single-day trading volume of $62 million, accounting for over 10% of global trading volume. Moreover, the Korean session continues to perform at a slight premium over the mainstream US dollar market, which proves that this round of $SHIB's surge was entirely driven unilaterally by Korean retail funds. 2. Severe sector fragmentation, capital tightly clusters $SHIB This round of meme coin rally is not a broad rally but an extreme structural rally: - $DOGE Only rose 6% during the same period - Other dog-type imitation stocks generally rose less than 10% Capital is highly concentrated and solely focused on $SHIB, with very weak follow-up within the sector and no overall sector resonance support. 3. Contract liquidation data clarification: Short closing is not the driving force behind the rally. During this rally, a total of 2,300 users liquidated $SHIB positions across the network, with a total liquidation amount of $6 million. Of this, short positions were liquidated about $5 million. Key Core Conclusion: Short liquidation is merely a passive result after price increases, and is by no means the driving force behind this rally📊 $BCH Quick Overview of Liquidation Scale of liquidations · 1 hour: $96.06 · 4 hours: $293.63 · 12 hours: $48,400 · 24 hours: $58,300 Mostly and bearish distribution Cycle: Bull liquidation, short liquidation, long position 1h $96.06 $0 100% 4h $189.26 $104.37 64.5% 12h $32,000 $16,300 66.1% 24h $36,200 $22,100 62.1% Duokong interpretation Forced liquidations dominated all periods (24-hour bulls accounted for 62.1%), indicating a sustained one-sided downward trend. 1-12 hour long positions account for 64.5%~100%, with almost no resistance on the bears; Although there was a 24-hour short liquidation at $22,100 (accounting for 37.9%), bulls still dominated. Ultimate winner: Bears—The price shows a continuous one-sided downward trend, while the bulls have cleared out consecutive stop-losses. Time distribution · 1 hour accounts for 0.16% of 24 hours · 4 hours accounts for 0.50% of 24 hours · 12 hours accounts for 83.0% of 24 hours Extreme liquidations are concentrated in the 12-hour cycle (over 80%), indicating that the main downward wave has erupted within 12 hours; The total 24-hour volume is 1.20 times that of the 12-hour period, and in the following 12 hours, the bullish continues, but its intensity weakens. Currently, the market is at the end of a bear-led sustained decline, with the bullish forces basically cleared out. In the short term, we need to wait for signals of shrinking volume. A one-sentence explanation $BCH 24-hour long liquidations at $36,200, accounting for 62% of total volume; 12-hour concentrated breakout mainly triggered a decline, with bears winning decisively. 🔥 Market Barometer | July 24th Today's three hot topics point to the same theme: the cost of AI, regulatory stalls, and the breathing on the edge of the geopolitical cliff. 📊 Google and Tesla: The "bill" for the AI feast has arrived Two financial reports have revealed the harsh truth behind AI narratives. Google beats expectations but comes at a heavy cost: total revenue of $119.8 billion, up 24% year-on-year; Google Cloud revenue was $24.77 billion, an 82% year-on-year increase. However, capital expenditures reached $44.9 billion, and free cash flow turned negative for the first time to -$5.9 billion. After hours, it once fell nearly 5%. Tesla's revenue growth without profit growth: revenue of $28.24 billion, up 26% year-on-year; However, operating profit was only $398 million, a year-on-year plunge of 57%, with an operating margin of just 1.4%. Free cash flow turned negative for the first time in over two years. It fell more than 4% in after-hours trading. Signal: Google's AI has formed a closed revenue loop in its cloud business; Meanwhile, Tesla's Robotaxi and Optimus remain at the "story" stage. The market is punishing AI narratives that are concept-heavy but lack cash flow. 📜 CLARITY Act Stalled: A $1.4 Billion Ethical Dilemma Regulatory hopes for the crypto industry are fading. Although Senate Republicans released updated text and added a morality clause, seven Democratic senators collectively vetoed it. Senate Majority Leader Toon Toon made it clear that the bill is unlikely to pass before the August 7 recess. Fundamental obstacle: The roughly $1.4 billion gains Trump gained from crypto business became the biggest obstacle. The Democrats are demanding stricter ethical clauses to prevent the president from continuing to profit from the crypto industry under government oversight. Polymarket forecasts show that the probability of passing within the year has plummeted from over 80% to 37%. Missing the August window and dragging into the autumn elections will greatly reduce the chances of passing in 2026. 🚢 U.S. military pauses airstrikes: a breather on the edge of a geopolitical cliff On July 25 local time, Trump ordered the U.S. military not to launch new airstrikes on Iran that day, ending a 13-day continuous daily strike campaign. A few hours before the airstrike pause, the Omani delegation had already arrived in Tehran to begin negotiations to resume navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, reportedly making progress. Brent crude had previously surpassed $100 per barrel, and if negotiations break through, oil prices are expected to retreat. Signal: This is a tactical pause—to leave room for diplomacy, but the U.S. military is still preparing contingency plans for resuming strikes. 💎 Summary Three events outline the core contradictions in the current market: The bill for AI is approaching—Google and Tesla are telling the market that, for the first time ever, negative cash flow is heating up faster than expected; The regulatory window is closing—the $1.4 billion ethical dilemma makes it hard for the CLARITY Act to pass within the year; How long the pause in the geography lasts depends on the success or failure of Oman's mediation. #财报观察员: Who can truly understand the real answer sheet from Google and Tesla this time? #多数党领袖称CLARITY休会前难通过 #美军暂停对伊空袭, negotiations on the opening of the strait made progress The European crypto scene is undergoing a silent reshuffle! Don't focus on the candlestick for now—look for deeper changes. In Europe, the MiCA regulation is fully implemented, and the UK FCA is also nearing finalizing the framework. But the key is no longer just about getting a license. The real threshold is the cost of compliance, which directly determines who survives. To get straight to my point: The survival space of crypto-native small businesses is being squeezed, while traditional banks, relying on their existing compliance foundations, are preparing to enter and harvest the profits. The UK is even more aggressive, refusing to establish an independent crypto regime and directly bringing crypto activities into traditional financial regulation, aligning standards with those of investment banks. This means that the previously wild growth path basically no longer works in Europe. Here are a few points that ordinary people can take: 1. If you are an industry practitioner, don't just settle for obtaining a license; quickly assess the long-term compliance costs, as this is more critical than the license itself. 2. For crypto companies looking to break through, proactively seeking cooperation talks with traditional financial institutions with compliant infrastructure, or even accepting mergers and acquisitions, may be a clear path. 3. As investors, pay attention to crypto assets and related targets that already have compliance advantages or can be integrated into the traditional financial system at low cost. Of course, the risk boundaries need to be clearly defined. The scale and speed of this wave of acquisitions will depend on market conditions and the specific enforcement of regulations. Moreover, overly strict regulation may push innovation to other regions, which would actually be a long-term loss for Europe itself. This article is only a trend analysis and does not constitute any investment advice. Market changes always happen faster than expected. Disclaimer: Information is only for information organization and logical review, and does not constitute any investment advice. The market carries risks; please conduct your own research. $BTC$ETH$BNB#European regulation$PEPE Breaking through 0.00000304 was mainly driven by SHIB overflow and a decrease in exchange withdrawal stock, but the RSI6 reached 82.32, indicating that short-term liquidity has been overdrawn, making chasing highs very cost-effective. The decline in exchange stock combined with the surge in Upbit trading volume formed the core buying interest. Compared to the long-term narrative of the second-half roadmap, the direct pull of SHIB sector capital spillover on spot liquidity is more obvious. If spot buying remains strong and holds above the 0.00000304 to 0.00000305 resistance zone, the short-term liquidity push target will point to the 0.0000032 to 0.0000033 range. The scenario is effective if the 0.00000300 level is pushed back without breaking below and Upbit overflow funds show no sign of decline. Once the 0.00000305 resistance level triggers intense selling pressure, profit-taking will push the price back to the first support band between 0.0000027 and 0.0000028. If it breaks further below the 0.0000025 to 0.0000024 support line, the 35% gains accumulated from the July 10 low of 0.0000022 will trigger a chain liquidation. When the price smoothly breaks through 0.0000033 and the RSI6 falls back to the healthy range below 70, the short-term overbought correction prediction is declared invalid. In the next 24 hours, focus on changes in Upbit's trading volume and the capital support at the 0.0000027 support level. #美军暂停对伊空袭, progress in negotiations on the opening of the strait #以太坊验证者退出队列已降至零Changxin Technology will open tomorrow for its IPO, and overseas AI giants face a "major test" in their earnings reports. Next week is the last trading week of the month, and the market is about to experience two major key market moments: First, Changxin Technology, the top IPO of the year in the A-share market, officially debuted on the STAR Market, directly reshaping the domestic memory sector landscape; Second, the global storage giants + US AI weights collectively disclosed their earnings reports, resonating in both domestic and international markets, directly finalizing the mid-term trends of the chip and technology sectors. Insider funds have mostly been watching and gathering strength this week, with the market accelerating completely starting tomorrow. ▶️ Changxin's IPO revenue gradient Changxin issue price at 8.66 yuan per share, with a fixed 500 shares per STAR Market contract, a participation capital of 4,330 yuan, and an initial market capitalization of 579.2 billion yuan. Based on the multi-dimensional valuation model of brokers, below are the range aligned with institutional expectations, with different price increases corresponding to stock prices, total market capitalization, and single contract net profit gradients, and ranges aligned with institutional expectations: ✅ 100% increase | Market value 1.16 trillion yuan | Stock price 17.32 yuan | Net profit of 4,330 yuan per single sign ✅ Up 200% | Market value 1.74 trillion | Stock price 25.98 yuan | Net profit of 8,660 yuan per single contract ✅ Up 300% | Market cap 2.32 trillion yuan | Stock price 34.64 yuan | Net profit of 12,990 yuan per sign ✅ 400% increase | Market value 2.90 trillion yuan | Stock price 43.30 yuan | Net profit of 17,320 yuan per sign ✅ Up 500% | Market value 3.48 trillion yuan | Stock price 51.96 yuan | Net profit of 21,650 yuan per sign ✅ Up 600% | Market value 4.05 trillion yuan | Stock price 60.62 yuan | Net profit of 25,980 yuan per sign Objectively speaking, considering conservative to ultra-optimistic valuations, the reasonable first-day fluctuation range is 70%-600%, corresponding to winning profits of 3,000-26,000 yuan. A rise of over 600% is purely market sentiment speculation, lacking fundamental support, and chasing the price with minimal cost-effectiveness. ▶️ The core logic of Changxin's valuation There is significant market disagreement over Changxin's valuation, but the core logic is actually very clear. The initial market value of 579.2 billion yuan comes from genuine institutional inquiry pricing, providing a solid safety cushion rather than a sentiment-driven valuation. The company's performance has surged this year, with a full annual profit forecast of 100 billion yuan. Compared to overseas storage giants, its current forward valuation is within a reasonable range. At the same time, as a rare domestic DRAM mass production target in A-shares, benefiting from expectations of domestic substitution and technological breakthroughs, it carries a valuation premium, with a reasonable valuation center of 1.5-2 trillion yuan. A rational view of the market is needed. The storage industry has strong cyclical attributes, and current high performance relies on short-term AI dividends. Coupled with the company's ongoing technological gap with leading overseas firms, the high valuation driven by short-term sentiment creates pressure to absorb the gains, so blind chasing is not recommended. ▶️ A-share market forecast for tomorrow Changxin's listing will directly affect the capital flow of the A-share technology sector. Tomorrow, the market will show obvious structural differentiation, with core changes concentrated in three points: 1. Capital Divergence: Large transactions in the secondary market will divert existing funds from tech tracks like AI hardware and semiconductor design. Without market growth, small tech stocks are likely to come under pressure. 2. Stock switching: With the establishment of leading storage manufacturing companies, funds will shift from marginal stocks like modules and controllers to Changxin's core leaders, clearly showing a trend of de-weak while keeping strong. 3. Industry Chain Benefits: The company's funds raised for capacity expansion and equipment procurement directly benefit upstream semiconductor equipment and materials supporting sectors, providing sustained catalysts. ▶️ Overseas Storage Financial Report Outlook Next Wednesday, major overseas storage leaders will release their earnings reports in concentrated numbers, which will be key to verifying the current AI storage boom and will also influence the mid-term market outlook for A-share semiconductors: ▪️ SK Hynix (7.29): Predicts the industry shortage will continue into 2030, focusing on chip price increases as they take effect ▪️ Samsung (7.30): Early positive factors have been overwhelmed, focusing on HBM shipments and order guidance ▪️ Kioxia (7.31): Market value fluctuates sharply; earnings reports will verify the authenticity of industry prosperity Institutions generally believe that the HBM capacity shortage will persist until 2027, and as long as the current financial data remains solid, the mid-term rally in the storage sector is likely to continue. ▶️ Reference for U.S. AI earnings sentiment Next week, US AI tech giants will concentrate on earnings disclosures, and the market will show clear style divergence this year: heavy-asset semiconductors are strengthening, while tech companies that have made significant investments in AI are showing weakness, which can serve as a reference for the peripheral sentiment of the A-share tech sector. The core suppression is that the market does not recognize the sustained capital investment of AI companies without returns; previously, Alphabet plunged due to excessive spending. This sentiment may slightly transmit to A-shares but will not change the independent market trend of domestic storage. Overall, tomorrow it is advisable to focus on seizing the structural opportunity presented by Changxin's IPO and cautiously participate in secondary market chasing gains. Next week, focus on tracking the performance of overseas storage earnings reports, avoid short-term sentiment fluctuations caused by US AI earnings, and pay attention to trading rhythm.Uni Short-term: All the good news has been exhausted, so early profit-taking is normal. Voting on fee proposals (v4 protocol fees + Robinhood Chain scaling) ended on July 25, with extremely high support and entering queued mode, about to be executed. All new protocol fees will continue to flow into the existing UNI burn mechanism (TokenJar). Short-term traders treat "proposal approval" as event-driven and realize profits early, which is completely reasonable. But from a long-term perspective, the significance of this matter goes far beyond "burning a bit more coins." 1. Significant increase in buyback/burn efforts After the proposal passes, protocol fee coverage will be greatly expanded (v4 selected pools + Robinhood Chain v2/v3), and the burn pace will accelerate noticeably. Hayden himself has clearly stated that, based on current transaction volume, especially Robinhood Chain, the impact on UNI burn will be "substantial." You can wait about a month for actual on-chain data to come out, then conduct a horizontal backtest against $HYPE's annual buyback ratio—the numbers will be more convincing. 2. Uniswap's innovation genes remain leading v1/v2: Simplifying and popularizing AMM as the underlying standard for DeFi. v3: Pioneered Hyundai CLAMM, allowing each LP to customize its price range within the same pool. v4: Pioneered and centered on the Pool Lifecycle Hook, standardizing permissionless AMM extension architecture. As the pioneer of DEXs, almost every major upgrade has redefined the industry's gameplay. 3. Default liquidity entry in reality Currently, for most EVM chain launch platforms, Uniswap remains the preferred pool. v4's Hook gives launch platforms huge customization space (custom fees, dynamic logic, auction mechanisms, etc.). Of course, alpha launches on BSC are still dominated by Pancake, but Uniswap's position as a first-mover and standard remains solid in the overall landscape. 4. Scalability is far from the ceiling New mechanisms like CCA auction issuance have already proven strong product expansion potential, though currently they are relatively restrained. This "capable but not overly aggressive" pace is actually more beneficial for long-term ecosystem health. Previously, $UNI was criticized for being "unempowered," but now, through UNIfication + protocol fees, continuous burning, the value capture path has become clearer. First-mover advantage + continuous product innovation + almost leading the evolution of on-chain DEXs allows for bolder possibilities—the true on-chain Nasdaq is not just empty talk. Proposal Details: vote.uniswapfoundation.org/proposals What do you all think? #新手必看: Everything you need is here #RWA永续月交易量4700亿美元 #交易之声: Your experience deserves to be heard Key Rules for Trading New OKX Listings ​Avoid Buying the First 15-Minute Candle: Initial spikes are often driven by pre-listing token holders taking profit. ​Wait for Base Formation: Let the price establish a 1H/4H support level before opening positions. ​Use Strict Stop-Losses: Liquidity depth can be thin in early days, leading to wider slippage during market-wide moves. #EarningsRealityCheck #CLARITYActStalled #KoreaAIChipPush 📅 2026-07-26 (Sunday) Night Market and Macro Review 💾 1. Changxin Memory: Listed on the STAR Market tomorrow Changxin Memory (CXMT) will go public on Monday and is one of the most watched IPOs in Asia this year. Currently, HYPE has listed the CXMT Pre-IPO perpetual market, and the market heat in the storage sector continues to rise. This IPO will not only affect the A-share semiconductor sector, but may also drive a revaluation of the global storage industry chain, with a focus on: Micron(MU) SK Hynix Samsung SanDisk If Changxin Memory's performance on its first day of listing clearly exceeds expectations, capital may further spread into memory chips and related supply chains, which is one of the most noteworthy events this week. 📈 2. US Stocks and Technology Stocks: Entering the Earnings Super Week This week, tech stock earnings reports will be released intensively, with highlights including: Microsoft Meta Apple Amazon The market no longer debates "does AI have a future?" but instead asks a more realistic question: When will massive AI capital expenditures translate into revenue and profit? Microsoft and Amazon need to demonstrate the monetization capabilities of their cloud business and AI services; Meta needs to demonstrate AI's improvements in advertising efficiency; Apple will have to answer whether AI can truly drive a new round of hardware replacement cycles. This week's earnings report is likely to determine the next phase direction for tech stocks and AI main lines. 🪙 3. BTC and ETH: The waiting mode before major events BTC and ETH showed little volatility today, typical of a wait-and-see approach before major events. The main short-term scenario still depends on the Fed: If the Fed issues a dovish signal and liquidity expectations improve, BTC and ETH are likely to continue strengthening; If the stance leans hawkish and US Treasury yields and the dollar rise again, it will be necessary to guard against risk assets pulling back in tandem. The current position is not suitable for frequent direction changes due to minor weekend fluctuations; more importantly, it is better to wait for confirmation from this week's macro events. 🔥 4. HYPE: The focus remains on ecosystem expansion HYPE's focus today is not on price, but on the ongoing improvement of its ecosystem and the increasing coverage of traditional assets and pre-IPO targets. This is also one of the core reasons I have been following HYPE for a long time. If on-chain DEXs can continue to compete for market share among centralized exchanges in the future, HYPE will remain a top-tier project worth monitoring. 🟡 5. Gold and Crude Oil: Currently lacking new catalysts Gold The market was closed over the weekend, and there were no significant changes in the market. In the short term, attention remains on the US dollar and US Treasury yields. This week, the Fed's statement will be the most important directional variable for gold. Crude oil Crude oil continues to trade around geopolitics and supply risks, with no particularly new catalysts emerging so far, awaiting capital feedback after Monday's open. 🗓️ 6. This week's key events calendar ⭐ Monday Changxin Memory went public ⭐ Wednesday Federal Reserve interest rate decision Microsoft earnings report Meta's earnings report ⭐ Thursday Apple earnings report Amazon financial report U.S. GDP data ⭐ Friday U.S. PCE data China PMI data 💡 Today's trading reflections A real major market often doesn't start the moment the news is released. Before major events occur, funds usually adjust their positions and allocation in advance. Many people are still watching whether BTC rose or fell 0.5% today, but what truly determines the market trend for the next month may be: The Federal Reserve's policy stance Tech giants' earnings performance The actual returns of AI CapEx Market feedback after Changxin Memory's IPO So, rather than obsessing over whether there will be fluctuations over the weekend, I prefer to focus on one issue: In the next phase, which assets will become the most willing directions for continued purchases? The market has entered a super week; patiently wait for key events to unfold, then adjust direction based on the results. The above is solely a personal market observation and does not constitute any investment advice.#多数党领袖称CLARITY休会前难通过 Majority leader says the CLARITY bill is difficult to pass before the recess—is this really bearish? When the market sees "difficulty passing before the recess," the market's first reaction is usually a slowdown in regulatory progress, which is bearish for the crypto market. But what I focus on more is another question: is market trading about "time" or "direction"? If the legislative timeline is only delayed rather than a policy direction reversed, then it is more like a shift in the pace of expected fulfillment, rather than logic being overturned. A common phenomenon in the capital market is that everyone knows a favorable trend will come, but what truly affects prices is not "whether it will come," but "when it will come" or "how much the market has traded in advance." From a trading perspective, I prefer to understand this kind of news as: * Short-term trading may affect market sentiment, and risk appetite for funds may cool; * In the medium to long term, continue to observe whether the U.S. regulatory framework continues to move in a clearer direction. Many people like to simply divide news into positive or negative news, but the real complexity of the market lies in the fact that the same message can mean completely different outcomes at different stages. If the market has already priced in advance and quickly passed, then the extension is bearish; If market expectations were already low, the extension may not necessarily change the trend. This is also the trading approach I've always adhered to: Don't rush to judge the news itself, but rather assess the discrepancy between the news and market expectations. What really drives prices is often not events, but disappointing expectations. In the future, I will continue to monitor legislative progress, but more focused on whether funds are reallocating risk assets due to changes in regulatory expectations, rather than changing their trading logic based on a single piece of news. Do you think the extension of the CLARITY Act is just a matter of time, or will it affect the overall direction of U.S. crypto regulation? Feel free to share your thoughts. $ETH After watching the market in the evening, I was about to shut down my computer, but then I came across the new continuous announcements from Jensen Huang over the past two days. My first reaction was not to look at Nvidia, but to wonder: will the Korean stock AI industry chain become the market focus tomorrow? Recently, compared to short-term price fluctuations, I have been paying more attention to changes in the industry chain because, often, large capital looks beyond one or two days to the supply and demand pattern over the coming years. What is particularly noteworthy this time is that Jensen Huang not only announced that Nvidia's future cooperation scale with SK Group will exceed $500 billion, but also stated that they will lock in the purchase of SK Hynix's HBM for many consecutive years. Meanwhile, Anthropic has also reached long-term cooperation agreements with Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. Putting these pieces of news together, I feel the signals released are even more important than many companies' quarterly financial reports. Several leading global AI companies are almost simultaneously integrating the Korean memory industry into their core supply chains, indicating that market competition is no longer just between models but is beginning to extend to underlying hardware and supply chains. My own understanding is that such cooperation may not immediately reflect in stock prices in the short term, but it will indeed impact the long-term expectations of the entire industry chain. Jensen Huang also mentioned that the global semiconductor industry scale could expand to 10 times its current size over the next decade. His core point is very clear: future computing power demand will not only come from humans but also from an increasing number of AI Agents, robots, and other intelligent terminals. If this direction continues to materialize, the real beneficiaries will not be limited to GPUs. Components like HBM, high-bandwidth memory, advanced packaging, data centers, and power infrastructure may all face long-term supply tightness and sustained demand growth. This is why I have been focusing on the AI industry chain recently, rather than just watching a few model companies. Of course, I also think the current market valuation of AI is already high, and short-term overheating or even valuation bubbles are normal phenomena. But I have always believed that bubbles will eventually be digested by the market, and what truly remains are technology and productivity. When AI in the future not only serves humans but also begins to serve billions of AI Agents and robots, the entire society's production methods, business models, and even industry divisions may undergo significant changes. Therefore, I will not dismiss the entire AI logic because of a few days of short-term fluctuations, nor will I blindly chase highs just because of some positive news. I prefer to continuously monitor industry trends and then decide my position based on valuation and timing. If this round of AI truly becomes an important driving force for the next wave of productivity transformation, then what is really worth seizing is not just a single day's rise but the opportunities brought by long-term industry evolution. Of course, the greater the opportunity, the greater the volatility, so trading still requires good control of rhythm and risk. $SKHY 📊 $LTC Quick Overview of Liquidation Scale of liquidations · 1 hour: $1,155.41 · 4 hours: $11,800 · 12 hours: $34,400 · 24 hours: $43,200 Mostly and bearish distribution Cycle: Bull liquidation, short liquidation, long position 1h $213.75 $941.66 18.5% 4h $591.75 $11,200 5.0% 12h $1,620.84 $32,800 4.7% 24h $6,525.97 $36,600 15.1% Duokong interpretation Across cycles, short blowouts crushed the bulls (24-hour short positions accounted for 84.9%), indicating a sustained short-squeeze rally. Short positions account for 81.5%~95.3% of the 1-12 hours, with bears continuously being liquidated; The 24-hour bullish counterattack has slightly strengthened, but bears still dominate the market. Ultimate winner: Bulls—prices continue to rise strongly. Time distribution · 1 hour accounts for 2.67% of 24 hours · 4 hours accounts for 27.3% of 24 hours · 12 hours accounts for 79.6% of 24 hours Extreme liquidations are concentrated on the 12-hour cycle (nearly 80%), indicating that the main short squeeze rally erupted in concentrated within 12 hours; The total 24-hour volume is 1.26 times that of the 12-hour period, with limited incremental growth in the following 12 hours, signaling the end of the short squeeze. Currently, the market is at the end of the high level of the short squeeze phase, with bears suffering heavy losses, but caution is needed regarding profit-taking pressure. A one-sentence explanation $LTC 24-hour short liquidations at $36,600, accounting for 84.9% of total volume; 12-hour concentrated burst forced the main rally, with bulls winning decisively. 🔥 Market Barometer | July 24th Today's three hot topics point to the same theme: the cost of AI, regulatory stalls, and the breathing on the edge of the geopolitical cliff. 📊 Google and Tesla: The "bill" for the AI feast has arrived Two financial reports have revealed the harsh truth behind AI narratives. Google beats expectations but comes at a heavy cost: total revenue of $119.8 billion, up 24% year-on-year; Google Cloud revenue was $24.77 billion, an 82% year-on-year increase. However, capital expenditures reached $44.9 billion, and free cash flow turned negative for the first time to -$5.9 billion. After hours, it once fell nearly 5%. Tesla's revenue growth without profit growth: revenue of $28.24 billion, up 26% year-on-year; However, operating profit was only $398 million, a year-on-year plunge of 57%, with an operating margin of just 1.4%. Free cash flow turned negative for the first time in over two years. It fell more than 4% in after-hours trading. Signal: Google's AI has formed a closed revenue loop in its cloud business; Meanwhile, Tesla's Robotaxi and Optimus remain at the "story" stage. The market is punishing AI narratives that are concept-heavy but lack cash flow. 📜 CLARITY Act Stalled: A $1.4 Billion Ethical Dilemma Regulatory hopes for the crypto industry are fading. Although Senate Republicans released updated text and added a morality clause, seven Democratic senators collectively vetoed it. Senate Majority Leader Toon Toon made it clear that the bill is unlikely to pass before the August 7 recess. Fundamental obstacle: The roughly $1.4 billion gains Trump gained from crypto business became the biggest obstacle. The Democrats are demanding stricter ethical clauses to prevent the president from continuing to profit from the crypto industry under government oversight. Polymarket forecasts show that the probability of passing within the year has plummeted from over 80% to 37%. Missing the August window and dragging into the autumn elections will greatly reduce the chances of passing in 2026. 🚢 U.S. military pauses airstrikes: a breather on the edge of a geopolitical cliff On July 25 local time, Trump ordered the U.S. military not to launch new airstrikes on Iran that day, ending a 13-day continuous daily strike campaign. A few hours before the airstrike pause, the Omani delegation had already arrived in Tehran to begin negotiations to resume navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, reportedly making progress. Brent crude had previously surpassed $100 per barrel, and if negotiations break through, oil prices are expected to retreat. Signal: This is a tactical pause—to leave room for diplomacy, but the U.S. military is still preparing contingency plans for resuming strikes. 💎 Summary Three events outline the core contradictions in the current market: The bill for AI is approaching—Google and Tesla are telling the market that, for the first time ever, negative cash flow is heating up faster than expected; The regulatory window is closing—the $1.4 billion ethical dilemma makes it hard for the CLARITY Act to pass within the year; How long the pause in the geography lasts depends on the success or failure of Oman's mediation. #财报观察员: Who can truly understand the real answer sheet from Google and Tesla this time? #多数党领袖称CLARITY休会前难通过 #美军暂停对伊空袭, negotiations on the opening of the strait made progress $ORDI ORDIUSDT Perp 3.826 +7.53% USDT has climbed +7.90%, currently trading at 3.837 USDT. The bullish structure remains intact, with strong buying interest supporting the move. A break above resistance may trigger fresh momentum. Entry: 3.80–3.85 TP: 3.95 | 4.08 | 4.20 SL: 3.68Review of ultra-short-term trading Many people think making money from contracts depends on predicting market trends and betting on direction. Let me be honest with real account reports: to survive in ultra-short-term trading, it's never about getting rich by grabbing a big market rally. It's about making small gains you can understand and controlling big losses you don't understand. First, let's share the actual trading results: the initial principal was just over 150, reaching 419.73U, with an overall return doubling to 104.32%. The process was not a continuous success; the maximum drawdown was close to 10%, with pitfalls and floating losses. After enduring pullbacks, it steadily reached new highs.$BTC $ETH $DOGE Because the weekend volatility is relatively small, I usually only update one article. Now I'll summarize this week and forecast next week's market. This week, I kept watching a rally to surpass the previous high of 72,300, but the big players got worse. Everyone is looking for a fake breakout and won't let you break out. I just tested it and exited, planning to go long to a new high and then make the final mid- to long-term short move. Unexpectedly, I tried to steal a chicken but ended up losing money. Prices are still in a bottom-of-fluctuation zone with no clear breakout signals, as tensions in the Middle East are heating up and oil prices are soaring, making US inflation even more severe and possibly raising expectations for next week's rate hike. If this outlook continues, short-term rallies won't be significant, and without macro conditions, the likelihood of a direct bull run is very low. That's why I keep expecting a second bottom, or even breaking below previous lows The daily chart dropped directly near the pre-test high, and the price slipped away early, showing no sense of honor. The daily chart has fallen three times in a row. Although it is still testing near the middle band, the bulls are still in jeopardy. As I said before, multiple tests of support are not support, but a trap for being broken. If strong buying is entering a certain area, it won't break upward after multiple tests. Continuous tests indicate insufficient buying strength, and this test increases the risk of a breakout A relatively clear recovery in the minor level is not a strong rally, but there are very clear trend reversal signals. The key resistance is near 64,700. If today's rebound fails to hold this level, the price will continue to decline, breaking the key support near 62,200. If it breaks this level, the price will reach resistance at 65,500. However, due to the weekly closing line, I am not optimistic about a breakout to a new high next week. Therefore, I personally lean toward a slight rebound before a decline In summary, the decline came several hundred points earlier than expected, so we need to adjust our thinking in time. Given the current overall situation, expectations for rate hikes have increased significantly, putting tremendous short-term pressure. Therefore, it is unlikely that a very large rebound will occur in the near future. I am optimistic about a small rebound followed by a continued downward trend. Although the bullish position has not been completely destroyed yet, the seven tests of the mid-band have not shown any real upward momentum, indicating insufficient momentum among the bulls. Therefore, the overall focus is on a continuation of bearish momentum after a rebound. Short-term focus on the gains and losses of resistance at 64,700 #EarningReportObserver: Who can truly understand the real answer cards of Google and Tesla this time? #多数党领袖称CLARITY休会前难通过 #美军暂停对伊空袭, negotiations on the opening of the strait made progress We have no person in charge. Now I need to be aware of the following issues. I am only contacting through the official Gate app. Management, please address the issues below. Please read the text carefully and avoid perfunctory rhetoric. Gate's meaning is: the 100,000 USDT and 800,000 ALD we paid according to the contract were sent to the "scammer's" wallet. Coincidentally, Gate's alpha automatically fetched ALD tokens, so they could not disclose who connected the token integration process. In the end, the scammer's wallet was transferred to Gate Is it true that alphas are airdropping? Hash is here: 0x8dccbab785a7f4213d26925519809ff5f51e57e2342ed9ea35431f988271ea90 When a project pays for it, lists tokens, and is then told, "The person communicating with you is not one of us, and the project is logged into Gate"—is this Gate's response?My boyfriend said this coin was no good, but it ended up rising 10 times Of course, that was in the past But today I want to talk about a bigger rotation logic South Korea's storage giants SK Hynix and Samsung both landed big orders from AI giants SK Hynix ADR premium is as high as 51% Do you know what a 51% premium means? It means overseas funds are willing to pay half more to buy Korean stock mappings This shows how crazy the demand for AI chips has become And then guess what South Korea's pension fund turned to net buying KOSPI for the first time this year Their heavy holdings are in SK Hynix When even pension funds move, it shows this is not speculation It's a real industrial trend Then ChangXin Technology is going public tomorrow Off-market valuation is 2.76 trillion Putting these three things together actually reveals a clear sector rotation logic AI chip demand spreads from the US to South Korea and then to China The entire semiconductor industry chain is benefiting So what does this have to do with crypto? A lot The AI arms race continuously drives up computing power demand Computing power demand drives the valuation logic of AI tokens And South Korean funds have always been an important force in the crypto market South Korea's pension fund starting to buy stocks Shows South Korean funds are shifting from conservative to aggressive Once South Korean retail investors see pension funds buying They will rush in after them Then the overflow funds will flow into the crypto market This path has been verified countless times in the past So my judgment is The capital transmission chain from AI semiconductors → South Korean stock market → crypto market has already started Now position yourself in the AI+Crypto track The harvest period will come when South Korean funds spill over Find projects in the AI sector that are actually working Don't chase pure concepts Finally, let's talk about today's market hotspots, several directions worth watching #RWA永续月交易量4700亿美元 The monthly trading volume of RWA perpetuals keeps rising every month. 470 billion monthly trading volume has already surpassed many CEX perpetual volumes. In this cycle, RWA is the most stable track—not like meme coins relying on sentiment, not like AI relying on narrative, RWA is supported by real financial demand. #以太坊验证者退出队列已降至零 The ETH staking sell pressure alarm is lifted. Previously, a large queue of ETH unstaking caused market worries about stETH issues; now the exit queue is zero, indicating the most panic moment has passed. ETH consolidating here is building a bottom. #三星Galaxy钱包将原生支持稳定币 Samsung's move is huge. Galaxy users can use stablecoins right when they open their phones; USDT and USDC monthly active users may double. For projects building stablecoin application layers, this is the biggest catalyst. $AI $FET #sectorrotation #AIchips #semiconductors