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市场永远是对的

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夜自尊
The previous sentiment around $ETH $BTC still lingers. Even though the trend is clearly upward, my heart still leans toward shorting; I just can't accept it. Sigh, clearly making money going long, losing money going short. I closed my long position, thinking I'd buy back at a lower price, but who knew I ended up shorting again. If $ETH could read my mind, I'd really be opening shorts out of revenge. I closed my long at 2246, and the price basically never went below 2240 afterward. I didn't want to buy back at a higher price, and after it went up, I was afraid to chase it. Emotionally, I opened shorts out of spite. Another point is that I lost a lot shorting the day before yesterday, which made me want to short more to recover the losses. I’ve taken the long and short sides too extremely. Clearly, making money is what matters; long and short are just directions, but I made it so antagonistic. It’s like stubbornness, like I have to go all the way down one path. I don’t know what I’m doing anymore, I can’t see the direction clearly. I only know my mind is in chaos. It’s like I suddenly became a different person, purely leaving trading to luck.

Snapshot at Aug 21, 2026, 11:06

ETHUSDTperpetual50xSellOpen position
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$ETH $BTC gave me a deep lesson last night. Actually, when I just got liquidated, I didn't feel anything inside. Maybe my reflex arc was too long and I didn't react in time. Or maybe the drop was just too fast and too fierce. As time passed bit by bit, my heart slowly accepted the fact that it really happened, and I felt worse and worse, unable to sleep at all. So before going to bed at 2 AM, I casually put all the remaining funds in and opened a long position. At that moment, I really felt indifferent and gave the remaining 200 to it. Unexpectedly, $ETH surged again during the night. When I woke up, my bad mood instantly improved by half. This is probably why everyone in the crypto world yearns for it—until the very last moment, you never know your outcome. Since it gave me another chance, I really remembered it and will never be overconfident again. Ultimately, this wave was just too confident, thinking it would fall sooner or later. But what is ever 100% certain? You have to accept that things may not go as you wish.

Snapshot at Aug 20, 2026, 07:33

ETHUSDTperpetual100xBuyClosed
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$ETH Something's off with Ethereum; it surged so much today, just 0.27 short of 1930, quite exciting. If it hits 1930 again and holds, that would break the first resistance level, gradually opening up more upside. $BTC Bitcoin is weaker today, not breaking yesterday's signal, but the uptrend remains. Bitcoin and Ethereum always perform like a double act, always playing opposite roles, never syncing up. It's really rare for them to move together, which keeps the trend unclear. $ETH That's enough, hope this is the top. If it keeps rising, it’ll be hard to hold. If both of them get strong together, then nothing more to say—that's the big trend after all. But if only Ethereum keeps rising, what does that even mean?

Snapshot at Aug 19, 2026, 19:22

ETHUSDTperpetual20xSellOpen position
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$ETH $BTC have currently temporarily reached 1910, finally can take a short breath for now. Next, the key is whether Ethereum can break 1900, which is very critical. If it directly stops falling here, it could bounce back at any time. BTC looks like a failed second breakout pattern, let's see if it can hold here. As long as 1930 is not broken, there’s no need to panic for now. It’s just a little fluctuation. Recently, the market has really been tormenting me mentally. Damn, I was actually scared by a 20-point fluctuation yesterday. Embarrassing. Opening new short positions at this level should still be cautious. For those already in the trade, no comment. I suggest waiting for signal confirmation. I have a profit buffer on one position, otherwise it would be a bit tough now. $ETH only fluctuates about 1.5%, which doesn’t indicate direction. After waking up today, I really realized again, what’s there to fear? I wasn’t like this at the start of this trade, didn’t care about such small fluctuations at all. The fluctuations get smaller over time, the holding period gets longer, so how could the mindset get worse? It’s really scary when you think about it. Getting more and more concerned about tiny fluctuations. Indeed, staying in a comfort zone for a long time, once suddenly jumping out, it becomes very uncomfortable. This should also explain why I didn’t care about small fluctuations at the beginning, but after a long sideways period, I started to care.

Snapshot at Aug 19, 2026, 10:54

ETHUSDTperpetual20xSellOpen position
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$ETH is showing a bit of a slow breakout momentum, which is quite risky for me at the moment. $BTC Bitcoin remains strong, with a very strong upward trend pattern. Maybe because it has been consolidating for too long, and after holding for nearly half a month, I don't want to admit a mistake. It clearly held steady around 1890 twice but hesitated and didn't want to exit. Maybe this time I'm wrong. Sentiment picked up, and I added two more positions at 1917.5. At this point, I'm just waiting for it to hold above 1930. If it doesn't, I'll just give back the profits from the previous trade. $ETH Ethereum hasn't broken the large range at 1950 yet. Compared to Bitcoin, it's currently weaker, but if it really catches up, Ethereum definitely won't be bad. I'm thinking about where to set the stop loss after it holds above 1930. The original stop loss at 2000 seems a bit inappropriate now. Although it's safer, losing 1000u at 2000 is nearly a 50% cut. I only had 5 Ethereum back then. A stop loss at 2000 would have meant losing 400u. Let's wait for it to hold above 1930. If the pattern still looks off, the maximum stop loss would be 1950. If it reaches 1950, I'll admit defeat on this trade. I really can't quite understand this recent pull-up, but there are many things I don't understand. If I'm wrong, I'll admit it.

Snapshot at Aug 18, 2026, 23:49

ETHUSDTperpetual20xSellOpen position
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Analyzing the current market for $ETH $BTC is really exhausting, there's absolutely no need to analyze anymore, it's just too bad, going back and forth between the same few prices and the same few phrases. Ethereum only rose a little bit yesterday, and today it basically fell all the way back. Bitcoin is a bit stronger; today's drop looks like a pullback within an uptrend. No one knows how much longer we have to endure, it's been almost a month of waiting. Although I say that as long as the volatility picks up, even if it's wrong, it's fine, deep down I still don't want to be wrong. There are basically three outcomes: sideways consolidation, rise, or fall. The most annoying is consolidation; I actually don't want a rise either, since I'm short, only a drop makes me happy. But human nature is really contradictory, not wanting it to stay sideways without movement, yet not wanting it to move in the wrong direction. Wanting both at the same time. When it's consolidating, I want some volatility quickly, even if it's in the wrong direction, but when it actually comes, I’m not happy. However, it's true that all kinds of emotions together make a complete person. Although a little volatility now doesn't affect me much, it still does to some extent. I think if one day I can truly not be delighted by gains nor saddened by losses, then maybe the whole person has been elevated. Is that really a good thing? If $ETH keeps oscillating like this, I’m going to awaken my philosophical persona again.

Snapshot at Aug 18, 2026, 14:46

ETHUSDTperpetual10xSellOpen position
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$ETH $BTC stop grinding at 1910 here, come on bro, just make a clear move, either fully stand above or come down. Actually, after floating losses, the most annoying thing is not constant violent surges, but the boiling frog in warm water, which keeps tormenting the mentality, and the longer the sideways movement lasts, the stronger the breakout will be. Direct violent surges actually lead to stronger pullbacks. How to say, it's mainly a mentality issue; the longer it lasts, the more it affects mood. Anxiety increases. Today, BTC is much stronger, already standing above 64000. Luckily, Ethereum is weaker; if it were as strong here, Ethereum should have already hit 1930. Definitely something to be grateful for. $ETH let's see if it will catch up tonight. If it stands firm at 1930 when I wake up, that would be quite dangerous. Everything else can wait until I wake up; no need to worry about things that haven't happened yet.

Snapshot at Aug 18, 2026, 00:12

ETHUSDTperpetual10xSellOpen position
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$ETH is okay, Ethereum has finally firmly stood above 1890, which is not easy at all. These past few days have been really tough, and it has finally broken out of this 20-point small range. The next target is 1910. Once it firmly stands above 1910, then going long can be temporarily reassuring. $BTC Bitcoin has also stood above 63200. Anyway, the trend is the same as Ethereum's, just with different amplitude. The pattern looks good. But we definitely can't conclude the subsequent trend based on such a small fluctuation. I still think it's just volatility. It just surged to 1910 and then fell back to 1890. At least it should first go up to 1910 and hold there. Then when it reaches 1930, I will preliminarily think I was wrong and start considering exiting and stop-loss. 1930 is only about 2% away from my cost, which is okay. My biggest mistake with this trade was entering too hastily, resulting in a poor cost position. If I hadn't been emotional and waited for the right price to enter, I would be more at ease now. After I entered, it consolidated around 1910-1915 for a long time that night. What a good entry opportunity. Ah, it's in the past, no need to dwell on it. $ETH, let's see how the pattern develops later. You have to be responsible for any operation you make. The entry mistake can't be undone, but the timing of exit can still be decided.

Snapshot at Aug 17, 2026, 19:10

ETHUSDTperpetual10xSellOpen position
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$ETH $BTC are moving up, I miscalculated, oh my god, it's been a long time since I've seen such small fluctuations on a Monday morning. Seriously, no show at all. Previously, BTC and Ethereum would never behave like this. Ethereum can't even break out of this tiny 1870 to 1890 range, this is just absurd, like absurdity knocking at the door. I really hope this week won't be like last week again. When will these days of almost no volatility end? As long as there's movement and direction, even if my trades are wrong, that's fine. Life needs freshness and excitement, and trading is the same. I haven't felt the dopamine rush from trading for half a month now, not excited at all. But my position size is already not small for me, I can't add much more. Can $ETH break through and hold above this small 20-point range during the day? Come on, come on, even if I lose money and I'm wrong, I'll admit it. Just don't let it sideways all day again, sigh, then we have to wait until the US market opens at night. Need patience, need patience! Unconsciously getting a bit impatient again. Cheer up, little BTC and little ETH, don't be so down 😕

Snapshot at Aug 17, 2026, 08:48

ETHUSDTperpetual10xSellOpen position
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$ETH $BTC Sleep sleep, this week is finally over. The weekly K-line amplitude for Ethereum is only 4.44%, and for Bitcoin it's 4.59%, which really shouldn't be. The amplitude is frighteningly low; it's very rare that Ethereum's amplitude isn't higher than Bitcoin's. And half of August has already passed, with the monthly K-line volume only a third of last month's. Basically, there's no big money trading, which gives me the feeling that everyone is just lying low waiting for the market to explode, because everyone is confused, the market has been choppy for too long, and there's no direction. All these conditions combined are really worrying, but when things are abnormal, there must be something behind it. Volume and amplitude are getting more and more sluggish, but this actually makes me more optimistic about the second half of the month. If the next half month continues the small-range oscillation like this week, then this month's volume will be unprecedentedly low. Anyway, I don't believe the crypto market will stay stagnant forever; it's not that it won't explode, just that the timing hasn't come yet. Let's wait. I'm really looking forward to the market in the second half of the month. Let's first see tomorrow morning; every Monday around 6 o'clock there's usually a decent fluctuation, which might start around midnight. $ETH Tomorrow morning when I wake up, barring surprises, Ethereum's price will be either 1900 or 1860. The high and low might be even higher or lower than I said, but it will definitely move out of the 1870 to 1890 price range. Let's see if waking up brings a surprise or a shock, haha. At 1900, you lose 80u; at 1860, you gain 240u. This trade is still very worthwhile!

Snapshot at Aug 16, 2026, 23:36

ETHUSDTperpetual10xSellOpen position
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