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$SAND 4-hour trading volume of 100 million, average price at 0.065, watch if it sweeps the liquidity below. If it dips to 0.058, you can go long Under the RWA trend, I have noticed four yield targets: $AAVE, $UNI, $ENA, Pendle
Considering the three dimensions of time, potential explosiveness, and certainty:
AAVE and UNI are core assets that prioritize "certainty," but patience is needed to wait for RWA income to scale;
ENA and PENDLE have stronger explosive elasticity but relatively lower certainty, making them more suitable for investors with higher risk tolerance.
In this wave of RWA, AAVE and UNI serve as the foundation, but don’t expect to make quick money from them.
AAVE is positioned at the lending gateway; institutions using tokenized stocks as collateral to borrow money can’t bypass it. Unfortunately, its scale is large, income grows slowly, market share is being taken, and buybacks are shrinking, so it’s suitable for long-term holding.
UNI holds about 60% of the tokenized stock trading share, and the fee switch has been turned on, but the annualized burn is only 90 million, valuation is no longer cheap, and there is still a lot of fluff in trading volume, so elasticity is average.
If you want to bet on elasticity, look at ENA and PENDLE. ENA’s fee switch passed unanimously, with 95% of net income used for buybacks, the strongest effort, but USDe needs to grow from the current 4.9 billion to 7.5 billion to trigger it, a gap of 2.6 billion, so it still needs to wait.
PENDLE’s mechanism is more practical, with 80% of income used for buybacks and annual inflation suppressed to 0.2%. Unfortunately, protocol income has dropped 90% from its peak, now annualized at just over 10 million, buyback volume is too small, and institutions are cutting losses and exiting.
Summary: AAVE > UNI > PENDLE > ENA Staring at the screen for too long, I keep feeling like this market is deliberately putting on a show for me. All the indicators are screaming oversold, and that little urge in my heart to open a position beats as regularly as a heartbeat. I used to think I could see through the script at a glance, but now I'm terrified of this kind of lifeless sideways movement. These past few days, I've forced myself to hide the account page and even turned off all notifications from the monitoring software, otherwise, I'm really afraid that one day I'll act impulsively and throw myself into this uncertainty. In this line of work, enduring boredom is much harder than enduring a crash; after all, losing money can always make you admit defeat, but this kind of boredom is the easiest way to make you dumb. Better go run a few laps downstairs to calm down.
$AVAX $LINK $SEI Brothers, this wave of BTC really stunned me!😵
Just now it was crazily pumping, pushing up over 2000 points directly, reaching a high of 87238, but then it quickly dropped back, and the current price has returned to 85282.5.
In the past 12 hours, $BTC long positions across the network liquidated about 16.648 million USD, while shorts liquidated 120 million USD, the bears got hit hard.
Look at my short position:
-880.94%
Opening average price: 78387.3
Latest transaction price: 85282.5
I've held this position for quite a while, honestly now I just want BTC to drop so I can exit. This kind of rapid spike followed by a quick fall just now also makes me more afraid to chase longs at high levels.
Brothers, this sudden pump and then dump pattern, do you think it's a shakeout or a bull trap?👇
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 #Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 Currently 100U challenge to 10,000U | Day 12
Initial principal: 100 USDT
Current total assets: 73.58 USDT
Today's profit: +2.17 USDT (+0.98%)
$XAU Non-farm data was positive but gold prices plummeted; the reason is that there have already been two consecutive bullish days, and the market has prematurely priced in the positive factors. In the long term, there is no negative news, but the US dollar exchange rate is like a sharp knife hanging overhead. I remain bullish for the long term but will not recommend others to buy with me due to high risk. The support level below is 4000-3950, but I won’t take the last bite of food nor drink the last sip of soup, so I entered early and am slowly accumulating at lower prices. I am optimistic about the big picture, so I am holding firmly and waiting patiently for the wind to rise.
$ETH Yesterday I said it surged but failed to hold above 2700 six times in nearly 10 days. Today it attempted to break 2800 again but failed, even with positive non-farm data. So I am waiting at 2600, holding firmly, with a take-profit set at 2600.
$CAP Yesterday I said short-term bullish, took profit at midnight, and as promised, it indeed rose to 0.08888 at midnight where I took profit and opened a short position, which is currently profitable. However, since I kept holding, it rose again overnight. Since I didn’t exit when profits were high, I definitely won’t now. Although a bit regrettable, I am fearless: if I make money, I take it; if I lose, I accept it.
In summary, today's profit is quite satisfactory. "Nonfarm Payrolls Surprise, Why Am I Still Holding Short Positions?"
Nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000, far below the expected 90,000, fueling rate cut trades. $BTC surged to 87,000, $ETH reached 2,750. The market is excited, but I continue to hold shorts.
This rally is driven by expectations, not a trend. The 87,000–90,000 range is a dense trap zone; breaking through in one go is difficult. After the good news is priced in, it often becomes an excuse for profit-taking. Bigger risks lie elsewhere: high oil prices, the situation in Iran, potential changes in the Strait of Hormuz, inflation could rebound, and rate cut expectations may reverse at any time; with Trump's midterm elections approaching, policy uncertainties are also increasing.
The ETH short at 2,579 is still open, with a small loss near 2,750. It is weaker than BTC; 2,800 is strong resistance, ETF funds are flowing out, the ecosystem has no new stories, and the rebound is just following the rally. ZEC is too volatile, nonfarm impact is limited, so keep a small position.
The nonfarm surprise is just a short-term catalyst, not a reversal signal. Oil prices, geopolitical, and political uncertainties remain unresolved, making a one-sided move unlikely. Hold shorts for now and wait until the good news is fully digested.
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2%
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 $DOGE now has something new to trade alongside the meme.
DogeOS has launched its public testnet, bringing EVM-compatible applications to Dogecoin and using DOGE to pay gas fees. This gives the current move a real incentive from the ecosystem.
The one-hour chart shows DOGE near $0.09711, up 3.29%, with the price remaining above the 5/10/30 averages after testing $0.09792. But liquidation pressure is concentrated #BTCETHETFOutflows #AnthropicEyesNovIPO Rebound Fuel
September closed with a green board. $BTC rose 7% in the month, marking the strongest September in years. The third quarter was even stronger: BTC accumulated gains of over 40%, ETH about 70%.
Continuous net inflows into ETFs halted at the end of the month. On September 30, BTC products saw an outflow of $149 million, ETH outflowed $60 million, and SOL outflowed $11 million. Purchase enthusiasm dropped by about 80% on Monday, but some trading desks were still net buyers.
Market sentiment reported at 72, with total market capitalization around $2.9–3.0 trillion.
$SOL: The USD trading channel opened, with a commitment of $1 billion liquidity.
$ETH: MetaMask controversy triggered staking withdrawals, confirmed no loss of funds.
Macro: Non-farm payrolls to be announced Friday, US Treasury yields remain relatively high.
Non-farm payrolls are the ignition. Final pricing depends on the close, not the open. US Treasury yields frequently hitting new highs suppress risk appetite, but $WLD has risen 17.5% against the trend. Capital is actively betting with real money on a loosening of rate cut expectations. I tend to see this as a short-term emotional pulse rather than a trend reversal.
The 0.5744 level is only -0.66% from the 4-hour high. Open interest of 73.237 million tokens shows bulls are still adding positions, but the order book buy/sell ratio of 0.87 reveals heavier sell orders. The top 10 sell orders total 160,000, outweighing buy orders of 140,000. The funding rate of 0.0100% is neutral, and the chasing-buy sentiment is not overheated yet.
If it pulls back to 0.5412 and stabilizes, consider light long positions with stop loss below 0.5187 and target at 0.6035. If it directly rallies to around 0.5968 and faces resistance, consider shorting with stop loss at 0.6124 and target at 0.5541. Do not exceed 5% position size per trade. The current battle is intense; strictly observe stop losses.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$WLD#美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解
#美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 $WLD So for now, we still need to remain cautiously optimistic. Risk assets have plenty of hidden dangers, but the two deadliest ones are energy prices and US Treasuries. Crude oil is watching the Middle East situation, while US Treasuries are even more complicated—energy, inflation, government bond issuance, Treasury regulation—a bunch of variables mixed together. If these two issues aren't resolved, optimism must be kept in mind. Tonight's nonfarm payroll data was dovish, but just two hours later, long-term US Treasury yields have risen again. This shows risk assets are currently optimistic under pressure, clearly suppressed, and still have to wait. On October 1st, the Treasury conducted a 6 billion RMB 10- to 20-year long-term bond buyback, but a problem arose: the repurchase quota increased, which instead led to more long-term bond sells. Clearly, the Treasury's move is a long-term adjustment, not a quick fix. So risk markets still need to endure in a high interest rate environment for a while. $BTC $ETH #美国9月非农仅增2 9,000, unemployment rate rose to 4.2%. #BTC ETH spot ETFs simultaneously transferred outflows, cooling capital activity #美债收益率频创新高, and long-term interest rate pressure remains uneased U.S. Treasury yields frequently hit new highs, long-term interest rate pressure remains unresolved, and risk assets are under pressure. But BTC is holding up today; I judge it still has short-term resilience.
Current price 85309.8, 24h up 1.4%, resistance at high 87239, low at 84017.3. Trading volume 10.985 million, funding rate 0.0046% slightly neutral. Order book top 10 buy/sell ratio 0.06, heavy selling pressure, 4-hour uptrend 12.65% above low, be cautious chasing longs.
Strategy: Light long position on pullback to 84185, stop loss at 83560, target 86650; if rising to around 87120 stalls, short position, stop loss 87740, target 85230. Position size no more than 20%, strict stop loss.
— For personal reference only, not investment advice, wish you successful trading. —
$BTC#美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解
#美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 $BTC 25万U一把梭进CT，她把回调当成上车的门。 你敢在别人喊"太高了"的时候反着买吗？ 昨天看到有人把25万U全压进CT，成本大概0.6115，标记价0.6135，一进场浮盈800U。金额不算夸张，但动作很诚实：不是追一根阳线，是等回调确认后一次性打满。CT这几天从0.40慢慢磨，突破0.48之后一路推到0.56，最高摸到0.6194，24小时涨幅一度25%。多数人第一反应是"涨太多不敢追"，她反过来想：拉高之后没立刻崩，才说明筹码没急着跑。 我盯1小时图看，0.48附近横了很久，突破后加速，这种结构通常意味着前面吸筹够久，不是拉一波就撤。现在高位震得凶，但价格还能站回0.60上方，她就愿意赌一次。她看的不是终点，是洗盘。上方先看0.62，站稳0.619就打开0.65甚至更高；反过来跌破0.57，这波突破就要重新怀疑。她也拿着ZEC，1146进，现价1378，浮盈3万多U，收益率160%+，最高到过1695，最近有回撤，但大趋势没坏，关键位没丢就继续等。CAP冲到0.08888又回到0.07附近，新币波动太野，她选择先不碰，让它自己洗。 这里真正要看的不是她赚了多少，而是跨市场那条线：BThe market indeed followed the expected pattern of a rebound followed by a pullback; the 873 level itself is a strong resistance zone, and multiple attempts to break through have failed as anticipated. When the price ratio couldn't effectively break higher, the long positions on BTC were exited first, and short positions were established at 868, which are currently held.
The targets given to everyone in the evening, BTC at 853 and ETH at 2694, have now been reached. Next, the focus is on whether these levels can hold steady; if the support doesn't hold, the short positions can continue to be held with BTC targeting 843 and ETH targeting 2671. $BTC $ETH 美国9月非农只加了2.9万人，失业率升到4.2%。第一，新增就业远低于预期的9万和前值13.3万。8月从16.2万下修到13.3万，7月更狠，从+2.1万直接修到-1.0万。9月这么弱，7月都负了，10月加息基本没理由。$BTC $ETH $SNDK 第二，失业率4.2%确实比预测和前值4.1%高，但劳动参与率也从61.6%升到了61.8%。所以失业率上升，可能只是找工作的人变多了，不一定是失业真的变多，别急着脑补降息。 第三，小时工资年率和月率都低于预期和前值。之前9月消费信心指数已经大降，接下来14号的CPI大概率不会超预期。工资没怎么涨，消费信心还弱了，CPI至少不会利空。 所以10月28号FOMC会议，不敢说100%，但大概率不会加息。美伊那边可能有点小利空消息，但大雷应该不至于。12月加不加还得看后面数据，至少10月环境不错。 CME联邦基金利率期货和Polymarket预测显示，10月不加息概率在83%到84%左右。基本上可以直接买yes了，不用等CPI数据。#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 #美债收益率频DOGE is around $0.097, up roughly 2.7–2.8% today, after trading as low as about $0.0932.
* DogeOS launched its public testnet, introducing an EVM-compatible layer intended to let developers build apps using DOGE for gas.
* Regulated DOGE perpetual futures launched in the U.S. through Kalshi, according to CoinMarketCap’s latest update. Nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000 in September, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, signaling an accelerated cooling of the job market!
What does this mean? It means the Fed's rate hikes have peaked, and a easing cycle is on the way.
In the short term, the market may be trading on "recession fears," but over the longer term, this is precisely the biggest macro bullish factor for Bitcoin:
1. Liquidity inflection point approaching: Cooling employment forces the Fed to pivot to easing, and the upcoming rate cut cycle will be the fuel for $BTC to take off.
2. Digital gold consensus: Traditional economy shows signs of weakness, and Bitcoin is becoming a safe haven to hedge against macro uncertainty.
Don't get shaken out by short-term "recession trades"; the macro big cycle is reversing. Hold your chips and be a friend of time! #美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% $ETH in this market cycle, ETH stabilizes the base, HYPE bets on volatility! Their potentials are completely different paths.
Many people are torn between choosing ETH or HYPE this round? To put it simply: for stability, choose ETH; for high-yield speculation, choose HYPE, but the cost is a huge risk of drawdown.
ETH is the cornerstone of the entire crypto market, with strong resistance to downturns during the early bull market's volatile phase. Institutional funds prefer it first; DeFi and L2 ecosystems continuously provide value. As long as the market is bullish, ETH will never be absent. The downside is its large market cap, making it hard to see several-fold explosive gains. It is a slow-growth asset, suitable for holding as a base position long-term, with pullbacks being opportunities to buy in batches at lower prices, offering a high margin of safety.
In contrast, HYPE is a typical high-volatility dark horse, supported by exchange fee buybacks. When the market is hot, its explosive power far exceeds ETH. But its volatility is terrifying; once market sentiment cools and funds flee, its decline is ruthless. Its price surge depends entirely on contract trading volume; once market activity shrinks, the buyback logic weakens.
In summary: if you want to protect your principal and capture the full bull market dividend, prioritize ETH; if you want to allocate a small portion of your portfolio to speculate for excess returns, you can include HYPE. Remember, do not heavily invest in HYPE; if the market undergoes a deep correction, its damage far exceeds that of ETH. Order Book Strength Ranking
5-minute median slippage, estimated based on order book, excluding fees
$APE buy slippage increases significantly with order size: buy slippage for orders equivalent to 10,000 and 100,000 USDT are 0.17% and 1.39%, respectively. Large order slippage is about 1.22 percentage points higher.
$MAGIC buy slippage increases significantly with order size: buy slippage for orders equivalent to 10,000 and 100,000 USDT are 0.16% and 1.04%, respectively. Large order slippage is about 0.88 percentage points higher.
$ZRO buy slippage increases significantly with order size: buy slippage for orders equivalent to 10,000 and 100,000 USDT are 0.11% and 0.67%, respectively. Large order slippage is about 0.56 percentage points higher. Yesterday, NIGHT needed permission. Today, it doesn’t.
Midnight has switched on permissionless smart-contract deployment on mainnet: builders can now deploy directly, and contracts can even deploy other contracts programmatically.
Meanwhile, $NIGHT has traded as high as $0.0451 today, after opening near $0.03965.
This isn’t a roadmap promise anymore. The gate is open. Now usage has to follow. 🔥 News moving SOL today
* Short squeeze: SOL jumped to around $123 after about $7.7M of short positions were liquidated in one hour, adding buying pressure.
* Institutional buying: Forward Industries reported adding nearly 949,000 SOL, taking its treasury to about 8.5M SOL.
* Solana upgrade: The upcoming Alpenglow upgrade is targeting a major reduction in transaction finality, from roughly 12 seconds toward about 150 milliseconds.