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Place orders and sleep, wake up to take profits! How do I dare to place short orders confidently when there's big positive news?
Last night after the non-farm payroll data was released, the market went wild, BTC surged from 84,000 straight to 87,239. But I didn’t chase the long; instead, I placed two short contract orders, set the take profit, and went to sleep.
When I woke up, I saw I sold high and bought low, profits secured! $BTC has now pulled back to 84,531, and $ETH has dropped from 2,777 back to 2,668.
Why do I dare to short when the data is so positive?
1. Expectation Overstretch: Before the data release, the market had already risen from 82,500 to 86,000. Although the non-farm payroll of 29,000 was disappointing, this rally had already priced in the "rate hike cooling" expectation.
2. Strong Resistance: Around 87,000 is a key previous heavy chip concentration area; a spike up easily triggers profit-taking sell-offs.
3. Trading Discipline: The day before yesterday, seeing the grid stuck, I reflected on the stalemate of "should fall but doesn’t, should rise but doesn’t." Since the direction is unclear, I short at the highest sentiment and clearest resistance to capture a wave of panic pullback profits, never greedy.
How do I see the current market?
The 15-minute level is extremely overbought (KDJ J value close to 100), short-term needs time to repair.
My grid is still running; this contract profit just offsets part of the unmatched floating loss in the grid.
Trading is like this, there’s no always smooth sailing; control your hands and wait for your own hitting zone. Did everyone profit or get stuck in last night’s wild surge and plunge?
$SNDK Brothers, BTC and ETH surged then pulled back, hitting a top at 87,000 before being pushed down again; the non-farm payrolls saved the bulls.
$BTC $84,500 | $ETH $2,668
Bitcoin fell from above $87,000 to around $84,500, and Ethereum slid from $2,750 to $2,668. In the past 24 hours, shorts liquidated $122 million, with total market liquidations reaching $210 million.
Non-farm payrolls far below expectations, October rate hike probability plummets
US September non-farm payrolls increased by only 29,000, well below the expected 50,000+, and July and August data were revised down by a total of 60,000. CME data shows the probability of keeping rates unchanged in October has risen to 77.3%. This is a solid positive for risk assets, but Bitcoin faced profit-taking after surging to $87,000.
The $85,000 sell wall was eaten up, but resistance remains above. Glassnode points out that after breaking through, potential liquidation volume clusters above $87,300, so bulls need stronger spot buying to hold the ground.
Let's discuss in the comments: the non-farm payrolls saved the bulls this time, can this wave hold $84,000? 👇
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2%
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温
#美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 $ALLO/USDT 1H
Price is quietly rebuilding above the moving averages.
MA5, MA10 and MA20 are tightly compressed beneath the current candle. That creates a useful base, but 0.27563 remains the breakout level.
Entry: 0.2705–0.2715
SL: 0.2675
TP1: 0.2735
TP2: 0.27563
TP3: 0.27833
Low volume means the first breakout attempt may be unreliable. Watch for acceptance, not just a wick.
Educational only, not financial advice.
#USNFPDataCools #BTCETHETFOutflows #USTreasuryYieldsSurge Cardano $ADA holders can do this because it shares the UTXO ledger model with Bitcoin $BTC. The first native Bitcoin DeFi protocol on Cardano is growing!
We currently have over 112,000 USD in TVL.
Bitcoin liquidity can move ⚡️FAST⚡.Last night I caught the BTC and ETC pullback, but not fully, then reversed to go long. I didn't expect it to drop so much. Now both positions are temporarily at a loss.
I think ETC should return to around 2750 again.
I opened a long position on BTC at 84600, and the volatility isn't big.
The longer the market consolidates, the more I feel the subsequent surge will be intense.
I haven't opened any ZEC positions these past two days. I'm bearish, but I can't be sure where to short. The previous good short position only yielded a bit more than double profit before I closed it. At that time, because I was optimistic due to others' sharing, I couldn't hold on, which makes me hesitant to open a position on this coin now.
Today is the third day, the account currently totals 600u, with principal 300u, Tokenized stocks surged 2393% in one year, but $XLM only rose 0.89%?
$XLM is currently at 0.215, down 1.8% in 24h — tokenized stocks surged 2393% in one year, and just climbed from 0.2131 to 0.215 (+0.89%) this morning. It hasn’t fully risen yet, so I’m outright bullish.
Data from Dune and Ondo show tokenized stocks grew 2393% in one year, with a small market share but absolutely dominant trading volume. StellarOrg, Ripple, and Ondo are paving the way; XLM is Stellar’s native coin, and the event hits right at home.
The fundamentals are solid: daily RSI at 58.5 is moderately strong, MACD has been in a golden cross above zero for 13 days, MA7 has been above MA30 for 12 days; OI is 239,290,401, up 9.04% from the archive, long-short ratio 1.3036, fear-greed index 67, market is on the offensive.
Resistance above: 0.221 (1h SAR has flipped above)
Support below: 0.197 (daily MA30)
Holding above 0.221 with volume confirms the event premium is just starting to price in; breaking below 0.197 means the story is over.
Bullish stance unchanged: enter at 0.215, cut losses if it breaks 0.197, if not broken, target 0.221. Watching the market, follow me for the next signal.
$XLM $BTCTo be honest, after losing 200,000 U, I've changed. I no longer chase highs or sell lows, and I no longer hold losing positions. BTC current price is 84448.1, resistance at 85000, support at 84000, trend is bearish. I opened a position with 5000 U, stop loss at 83900, target 85000. No holding losing positions without stop loss. No rush on the road to recovery, take it slow, always use stop loss on every trade. Staying alive is the only chance. $BTC #美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 Brothers, after the non-farm payroll data was released, the market wasn't as strong as expected.
$BTC and $ETH didn't rise despite positive news; instead, they fell back and are still stuck oscillating between 82,000 and 87,000. The news is somewhat positive, but the price hasn't broken the previous high, which somewhat feels like "positive news already priced in."
The most frustrating part of trading is often not a crash, but this kind of repeated grinding oscillation.
I know many people now wonder if holding on was a mistake, including myself who have doubted it before. Choosing to believe again and again, the market responds repeatedly with green candles, which is tough for anyone. But especially at times like this, you can't let emotions control you.
Why didn't the non-farm data bring a rally?
Maybe the market had already priced in the expectations early, so after the data release, the positive news was realized, but there wasn't enough new buying, so the market naturally returned to a consolidation rhythm. Plus, with the midterm elections approaching and policy uncertainties ahead, short-term pullbacks still need to be guarded against.
Looking at $ETH, the changes in capital flow are worth noting.
Currently around 2748, open interest has clearly increased; even with price pullbacks, there hasn't been a significant reduction in positions yet.
Long positions are concentrated near 2670, and around 2750 is also a zone of intense capital competition.
But increased open interest doesn't necessarily mean a rise. $ETH is currently at a relatively high level, with few sell orders above; once the support changes, volatility could quickly amplify.
So for now, watch how the range plays out. Don't rush to chase, and don't panic just because of one pullback.
Before the direction emerges, patience is often more important than frequent trading. Hello brothers and sisters, I am Coin Brother. Last night BTC surged to 87239 but was pushed back, now fluctuating around 84000. Brothers, why is the 87000 level so hard to break?
I think there are three reasons: First, 87000 is the previous high on September 23, with dense trapped positions, so the main force won't push through in one go; second, after the data came out, short-term bulls have already taken profits; third, institutions don't trade on weekends, so the volume is insufficient.
I believe 87000 is not impossible to surpass, it just needs to be ground out. The main force will wash out the weak hands between 84000-87000 for a few days, then break out with volume. Let's see again after the US stock market opens on Monday, that will be the real test of 87000.
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 #美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 $NMR/USDT 1H
The explosive move to 12.608 was rejected, but the pullback remains constructive.
Price is still above MA10, MA20 and 11.641 support. MA5 near 11.97 is the first level buyers must reclaim.
Entry: 11.72–11.85
SL: 11.60
TP1: 11.98
TP2: 12.20
TP3: 12.60
A break below support would turn this consolidation into a deeper retracement.
Educational only, not financial advice.
#USNFPDataCools #BTCETHETFOutflows #USTreasuryYieldsSurge Woke up to see recruitment data hitting hard. Stocks and crypto got hyped up first. Can you really swallow this turnaround from bad news to good news? $ETH around 2700 USD is a key level. Next, the activation of the Glamsterdam testnet along with ETF fund flow data may affect volatility in the coming days.$AVGO is currently experiencing a volume-reduced decline, with support at 241-242 and 335-336.5. I hope to catch it at 336.5, forming a double bottom before pulling up. The fundamentals of this stock are still very good, and it is also an industry leader. As I mentioned before, because market risk appetite is shifting, stocks that were heavily devalued in this round will have a chance to rebound once the market starts to hype this sector's story, such as storage, CPU, BE, and AMAT recently. The only unknown is the timing, so I don't recommend putting too much position weight on a single sector.$ZRO two cycles are conflicting, the key is not to guess the direction
$ZRO 24h -3.77%, current price 1.763. On the surface, it’s just a rise and fall, but the real conflict lies in the cycles: 1-hour is weak, 4-hour is strong. When two charts give opposite answers, the least useful approach is to pick the one you like and believe it to the end.
Position is more honest than adjectives. The current price is about 2.16% away from the 1-hour support at 1.725, and about 13.61% away from the resistance at 2.003. Putting the two distances together reveals which side needs more evidence. Looking only at the rise and fall percentage can easily mistake the space already traveled as not yet started.
Volume does not back the trend: the current 1-hour trading volume is only 0.22 times the average volume of the previous 20 bars. Low volume can also move prices quickly, but sustainability must be proven by the next phase of the market. A single touch or a long candlestick is not enough to draw conclusions.
It’s easier to understand this phase as equipment acceptance testing: running without load doesn’t count as completion; stability under boundary conditions gives weight to conclusions. Let the key levels give results first, then talk about direction more honestly. Do you think the short cycle has already led the turn, or does the larger cycle still have stronger constraints? The market is volatile; the above is only market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is from Crypto Bull Talk.$ZAMA/USDT 1H
The sell-off has paused, but the trend has not reversed yet.
Price is defending 0.07496 while MA10 and MA20 remain overhead. A push through 0.0755 would be the first sign of stronger demand.
Entry: 0.0748–0.0751
SL: 0.07325
TP1: 0.0758
TP2: 0.0771
TP3: 0.07886
Volume is fading near the base, so confirmation matters more than anticipation here.
Educational only, not financial advice.
#USNFPDataCools #BTCETHETFOutflows #USTreasuryYieldsSurge "Short position placed, just waiting for the pump from the whale"
The whale pulled hard today, but I don't believe it can stay strong forever. $CT went from 0.34 to 0.6194, up 25 points, now hanging at 0.6034. There was no acceleration when it hit the previous high, indicating that the chasing funds are starting to watch each other. I'm not waiting anymore, going full short. 0.6194 is the hurdle; if it can't break through, it will have to crash down.
$BTC is also shorted around 86105, 100x full position, currently at the cost line with an unrealized loss of 8U. Position taken, waiting for the market to choose a direction. If BTC eases tonight, I want to see which of these altcoins that pumped the hardest can still act tough.
$ZEC has already shown the pattern, dropping from 1695 to 1388, a 10% pullback in 7 days, and today's 4% rebound is still under the short-term moving average. The strong momentum is broken.
$NEAR rebounded to 4.965, but the 4-hour chart has long stopped the blind rally. After peaking at 5.58, it has been fluctuating between 4.7 and 5.3, unable to surpass the previous high, very frustrating.
Tonight, just focus on $CT; 0.6194 is the ceiling. If you're strong, break through and then show off; if you can't push through, don't hesitate, smash it down quickly. Short positions are set, BTC ambush ready, just waiting for the bears to feast.
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温
#10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 $TAO has fallen to the point where the most common misconception is: the more it falls, the cheaper it must be.
Both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts are weak, with RSI at 28 and 43 respectively. Oversold conditions can explain the demand for a rebound but cannot alone prove a trend reversal; price stopping new lows first is more convincing than any statement like "it can't fall further."
Current price is 293.4, about 3.89% above the 1-hour support at 282, and about 7.87% below the resistance at 316.5. Looking at the distances on both sides together is closer to the real risk than just focusing on a single rising or falling candlestick.
My observation line is clear: only by standing back above and holding 316.5 can the short-term initiative be considered regained; breaking below 282 means shifting focus to the 4-hour support at 282. If pressure continues above, the 4-hour resistance at 319.1 is temporarily just a distant reference, not a preset target.
This is not hindsight justification: in the next round, I will continue to verify 316.5 and 282, recording when conditions are met and reviewing when invalidated.
Will you treat oversold as a rebound signal, or wait to acknowledge a turning point only after the structure stops falling?
The market is volatile; the above is only market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is from Crypto Bull.$BTC BTC Phase Three: Patience is More Important Than Direction
I view this Bitcoin cycle as three acts.
Act One: From 58,000 to 82,500, the bull market began to emerge. Act Two: A pullback from 82,500 to 75,000, just touching the MicroStrategy cost zone, but never hitting the 74,000 bull-bear line. The shallow drop showed strength. Act Three: From 75,000 pushing back up to 87,000, with 82,500 becoming a key threshold.
Previous analysis: Breaking through 82,500 would quickly test 85,000. That was correct. However, after 85,000, it didn’t directly surge to 90,000; instead, it stalled at 87,000. The market diverges here and accumulates energy here.
Now, if you ask me whether to go long or short? Honestly, the short-term direction isn’t clear. I only know to hold onto my long positions.
Hold onto BTC, and we can win.
Personal review, not investment advice. HYPE is eyeing about $14.5 million in buybacks at the initial offering today, priced around 89.5, I won’t chase it for now.
Observed: OKX’s daily K-line opened around 90.0, high about 90.4, low about 86.1, currently around 89.5, up about 2% relative to the 24-hour open at 87.7, with the high point around 91.5 already having surged ahead somewhat.
Same-day catalyst: The community says the first AQAv2 stablecoin reserve yield distribution is today, with about $14.5 million in passive income flowing into the buyback fund to purchase HYPE; yesterday about 20,200 tokens were burned, roughly $1.8 million.
Simply put: This is a bullish sentiment candle driven by the narrative of "reserve yield turning into buybacks" combined with "initial offering day expectations," not a sudden doubling in trading today, nor should it be taken as the buyback amount having been fully settled on-chain.
I think short-term chasing this candle isn’t advisable—the 24-hour high around 91.5 has already priced in optimism, and the timing of the first payment and actual buying power still need verification.
My approach: just observe without chasing the high, wait for a pullback or on-chain confirmation of buyback volume before considering.
Invalidation is a break below about 86.1, the recent 24-hour low, continuing downward, or re-establishing above about 91.5 before discussing whether to follow.
Are you waiting for a pullback and buyback to land before acting, or do you think the $14.5 million initial offering is solid enough to jump in directly?
$HYPE $BTC $ETH
#US September nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000, unemployment rate rose to 4.2% #BTC, ETH spot ETFs simultaneously see outflows, cooling capital enthusiasmDamn, last night's data was just a trap for the longs
$ETH $BTC
Even after the data came out, I was holding $ARB short positions
Then it went back to 0.205 and rose to 0.208, but I was afraid it would break 21 so I had to cut losses at the original price
Ethereum and Bitcoin spiked up then oscillated, started a slow decline from 10 o'clock, good data turned out to be bad news, really annoying
Bitcoin dropped from 87239 to 83826, down over 3000 dollars
Ethereum went straight from 2768 to 2646, down over 100 dollars
This is a typical squeeze out the shorts first, then kill the longs, taking from both sides
When the drop started, I closed my short positions and bought at 0.2045, but it dropped straight to 0.2, wiping out the profits from the previous three trades
Then it rallied and I went long again, frequently opening long and short positions, set a take profit early on the short before going to sleep
But it broke below 0.19, really fed up with Ethereum and Bitcoin
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% $BZ Damn it! This BZ market is making my blood pressure spike. It's quiet outside, no news at all, but inside the market, the dog whales are biting each other so happily 😂 Isn't this obviously a shakeout? Needles up and down, sweeping stop losses, the old trick.
I've been watching the 102.23 level for a long time, funds are holding firm, it can't be smashed down nor pulled up strongly. The dog whales are holding their sickles high, just waiting for retail investors to fomo in or panic sell.
Don't ask me for news, there's none, just pure K-line volatility. I'm planning to secretly place an order near 102.23, stop loss at 99.8, if it breaks, I'll accept it. The target is first set at 108.
If you want to follow, check the token market card below, don't fomo, keep a light position. What do you think? 🤔
The above is just my personal opinion, not investment advice. Cryptocurrency is highly volatile, please make decisions cautiously, profits and losses are your own responsibility.
👇👇👇📉 Those that have risen a lot are too scared to chase, but does that mean those that haven't risen are necessarily cheap?
I'll be paying more attention to $AAVE this time. It has risen nearly 18% in the past week and about 36% in the past month; its strength didn't just start today. With this kind of trend, I won't guess the top just because it seems expensive. If I missed out earlier, I can wait later, but what I'm waiting for is the right entry point, not for the market to prove me right. If the overall market pulls back next, and it can hold most of its gains, I'll have more confidence in this strength; if it quickly gives back all its gains, then my judgment will have to adjust accordingly.
As for $BICO, I don't think it's time to feel confident yet. It rose about 4% intraday, but it still fell about 4% over the past week; today's rebound hasn't even recovered the weekly losses. When something falls a lot, it's easy to think it's cheap with room to grow, but cheap is only relative to the past; the key is whether anyone is willing to take over next. If it's just catching a breath with the overall market and then weakens again, don't rush to treat it as a catch-up rally.
$SOL looks more like a recovery for now. It has risen about 14% in the past month but slightly declined in the past week; the previous strength and recent hesitation coexist. Looking at today's rise alone, it's still unclear if the willingness to chase prices can continue. I'll wait to see it when the overall market pulls back; being able to withstand a drop is more valuable to observe than just rising along with the market. Different coins are different; there's no need to think all coins will fly together just because you see a rebound.$ETH $BTC have both fallen back to the starting point, so sudden. They were still rising yesterday, but after the data came out and was digested, it turned out like this.
Yesterday everything was fine, but when I woke up, there was a sudden sharp drop, and my position was almost at the liquidation line instantly, my hands were shaking. Luckily, I didn't have much capital, otherwise I might have collapsed right here today.
ETH is now at 2664, BTC just over 84000, they've fallen back, and nothing happened in a week.
But honestly, I've completely figured out one thing: I'm really not suited for holding long-term. It's not the market's problem, it's me.
On the day I opened the position, I was clear-headed, able to go long or short, and would immediately exit if the direction was wrong, clean and decisive. Once I hold for a few days, I start to change. That change comes slowly, and I don't even notice it myself. I start thinking to wait a bit longer, start telling myself stories, start mentally simulating the trend a week later, and then I end up completely stuck. I don't exit when it rises, don't exit when it falls, add positions, keep adding positions, watching unrealized profits turn into unrealized losses and then approach the liquidation line.
It's a personality issue, one that can't be changed, can't be changed. From today on, I'll only do intraday trading, close positions the same day, no overnight, to keep things simpler.Long and Short Crowding List｜Last 15 Minutes
$SAND Short side unit time holding cost is relatively high: current 4-hour rate -0.5661%, price -2%, open interest +5.05%. Decline synchronized with increased positions; holding short past settlement at the current rate, funding fees will lower the breakeven price.
$NIGHT Short side unit time holding cost is relatively high: current 4-hour rate -0.0338%, price -0.71%, open interest -1.08%. Decline accompanied by reduced positions, new positions have not yet matched; holding short past settlement at the current rate, funding fees will lower the breakeven price.
$SNDK Long side unit time holding cost is relatively high: current 8-hour rate +0.0345%, price +0.18%, open interest basically flat. Price increase not accompanied by significant position increase; holding long past settlement at the current rate, funding fees will raise the breakeven price. After the ETH one-hour moving average death cross, it has been sticking just below the EMA55, currently priced at 2666 without a decent rebound; the bearish structure remains intact. There is a large amount of short liquidation stacked between 2700 and 2730 above, which is not just resistance but potential stop-loss fuel. If the main force still wants to push down, it will most likely first spike upward to trigger short stop-losses before reversing. The support below is very thin; once 2620 is broken, acceleration will follow.
Just finished delivering to an old neighborhood on the seventh floor, legs still shaking. Glanced at the intraday chart; this rebound volume is too weak, it couldn't even hold 2680 and then faded.
Strategy: enter shorts in batches on the rebound from 2702 to 2724, with a stop loss above 2736. The initial target is 2635; if broken, hold for around 2600. If 2660 breaks down with volume, light short chasing is possible with a stop loss at 2672. Do not buy in the middle range; the bulls currently have no ability to fight back.
$ETH
#Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市
@OKX星球 Non-farm payrolls released, market divergence is very obvious!
ZEC dropped 5.82%, DOGE weakened along with it, while SK Hynix held up well, only down 0.17%.
$DOGE｜0.09249, -2.77%
Sentiment indicator, continued to fall after the non-farm report, already close to support. This can only be a small position gamble, the risk of breaking down is high.
$ZEC｜1292.41, -5.82%
Previously strong coin, selling pressure emerged, just stuck at a key support level; if it can't hold, the downside space will open up.
$SKHYNIX SK Hynix｜1372.7, -0.17%
Physical chip mapped asset, strong resistance to decline, mainly follows the semiconductor cycle.
👉 In this kind of divergent market, do you choose to wait and see, or try a small position?
Just a personal review, not any investment advice
#US September non-farm only increased by 29,000, unemployment rate rose to 4.2%Ethereum falls as expected!
$BTC and $ETH liquidation maps freshly released
First, look at BTC's liquidation distribution
The main long liquidations are at $76,100
About 10% away from the current price
Short liquidations concentrate at $87,700
Only 3.75% away from the current price, very close
This means if it pulls up
It’s easy to trigger concentrated short liquidations
The first three lower resistance levels are 76,100, 83,200, 81,300
Upper resistance levels are 87,700, 87,900, 93,000
Compared to 24-hour data, overall liquidation volume slightly decreased by 0.23%
Looking at ETH, the situation is reversed
Main long liquidation at $2,533.4
Only 5% away from the current price, even closer
Upper short liquidation at $2,980.08, 11.75% away
ETH’s lower liquidation chips are more sensitive
The first three lower resistance levels are 2,533.4, 2,480.06, 2,326.73
Upper resistance levels are 2,980.08, 2,820.07, 2,800.07
24-hour comparison shows liquidation scale down by 1.3%
The structural differences between the two coins are obvious
BTC’s upper short chips are close, making it easy to squeeze shorts when pumping
ETH’s lower long chips are denser, making drops more likely to trigger chain liquidations
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 $ACT/USDT 1H
Short term momentum is improving after the rebound from 0.010472.
ACT reclaimed MA5 and MA10, while MA20 at 0.011175 remains the main confirmation level.
Entry: 0.01072–0.01082
SL: 0.01054
TP1: 0.01100
TP2: 0.01118
TP3: 0.01150
Holding 0.01074 favors continuation. A break beneath it would turn the bounce into another lower-high attempt.
Educational only, not financial advice.
#USNFPDataCools #BTCETHETFOutflows #USTreasuryYieldsSurge $BWET "Crude oil fell from 107 to 90, do you think the energy sector is doomed?
BWET rose from 13 to 860, a 66-fold increase. The smartest people on Wall Street understood a principle on the first day of the US-Iran conflict:
Betting on freight rates is better than betting on oil prices.
When oil prices rise, shipowners make money; when oil prices fall, shipowners also make money. Because no matter the oil price, oil still has to be transported from A to B. And now the route from A to B has been bombed, forcing ships to detour halfway around the globe. The ships are the same, but the route is twice as long.
You think you are going long on crude oil? You are wrong. You are going long on the 'geographical obstacle.' As long as the strait remains closed, BWET will not fall a single day."$ETH I admit the volume was a bit loud last night, and Ethereum actually crashed waterfall-style
Can you believe it? There was a surge yesterday afternoon, blowing out so many shorts, then another drop at night, successfully killing both longs and shorts
Sigh, although I held onto the short position, I didn’t dare to short further at 2750
As a result, even though Ethereum crashed waterfall-style, it only lost nearly forty points, which honestly isn’t much
But compared to yesterday afternoon, it’s already good, turning losses into profits
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $ETH Big Brother Maji's position exposed again!
1.61 billion scale, the main focus is still BTC and ETH
Altcoins are just a backdrop; the real account curve is decided by the two mainstream giants.
$BTC 40X full position long, 546 coins, average price 84548.90, liquidation line 75542.
High leverage, but with a buffer left, clearly targeting non-farm payroll volatility.
$ETH 25X full position long, 34,000 coins, the largest proportion.
It is the floating profit engine and also the stabilizer, strong liquidation at 2550, allowing ample volatility tolerance.
$HYPE Position not heavy, more like an emotion probe, does not affect the BTC-ETH dominated outcome.
The strategy is very clear: BTC is responsible for offense, ETH for defense, small coins just riding the hype.
But don't overlook: 40X and 25X full positions are still dancing on the edge.
No matter how far the liquidation price is, extreme liquidity can be pierced instantly.
He has backup to add positions, you don't, don't blindly rush in.
#10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 #OKXNOW：未来已至，重磅内容正在揭晓 Anthropic plans to launch an IPO in November, aiming to list before Thanksgiving. Such major tech events often drain market risk appetite. As a DeFi blue chip, UNI is unlikely to remain unaffected in the short term. I lean towards a weak oscillation and recommend disciplined responses.
24h slight drop of 0.1%, current price 8.97, trading volume 15.865 million, funding rate 0.01% indicates longs are still paying, with 5.581 million coin-margined positions showing no panic exit; however, the top 10 order book buy-sell ratio is 0.48, indicating obvious selling pressure. 9.304 is a strong resistance, 8.568 is the intraday defense line.
Strategy: short at rebound to 9.126, stop loss at 9.287, target 8.742; if it pulls back to 8.643, lightly buy, stop loss 8.512, target 8.958. Single position no more than 5%, exit immediately if broken, no holding through losses.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wish you smooth trading. —
$UNI#Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市
#Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市 $UNI The most ruthless move by market makers: turning short positions into “smart money”
The harshest harvest by market makers is often not pumping the price, but disguising their own short positions as the smart money everyone wants to follow.
Short positions dominate the leaderboard year-round, all targets are altcoins, with single trades often tens of thousands of dollars. Retail investors see this and eagerly follow the shorts. But the key issue is: the liquidation price is always set above the highest point the market maker is actually willing to push to. He’s not afraid of shorts because he knows where the ceiling is.
Followers can’t withstand the floating losses or the psychological pressure of “smart money is still short,” leading them to cut positions midway or even reverse to chase shorts. The public short positions are bait; the leverage on the shorts is the real fuel. $BTC $ETH$WDC $STX also discuss the impact of Toshiba's capacity expansion on these two assets. First, from a timing perspective, there are many uncertainties two years from now, and the market has enough time to absorb the hype. Second, the market overlooks that the AI market demand mainly comes from the United States; other parts of the world only include us, and we are already self-sufficient. Looking at the US market, has everyone forgotten the Plaza Accord? Would Trump allow Japan to seize the market? A single tariff could keep Toshiba out. So, from these two points, the market is overreacting, and it cannot be ruled out that someone is deliberately shorting to profit!The frequent new highs in U.S. Treasury yields continue to pressure risk appetite, with high-volatility assets like BSB taking the brunt. I tend to believe that if long-term rates do not fall back, the rebound is merely a correction rather than a reversal.
From a liquidity perspective, after a 3.1% drop in 24 hours, the price is 0.09718, with a trading volume of only 1.02 million. Buy orders stand at 2204 against sell orders at 2306, with a strength ratio of 0.96, slightly favoring sellers. The funding rate of 0.0050% is relatively neutral, and the open interest of 11.338 million coin-margined contracts remains high, indicating that longs have not significantly withdrawn and shorts have not increased, reflecting a slow decline amid a stock game. There is a rebound demand 2.62% above the 1-hour low, but the 4-hour chart is 14.72% below the high, with heavy resistance overhead.
In terms of trading, if the price stabilizes after testing 0.09412, a light long position can be tried with a stop loss at 0.09205 and a target of 0.10063; if the rebound is blocked at 0.10077, try shorting with a stop loss at 0.10284 and a target of 0.09456. Single position size should not exceed 5%, and exit immediately if the position breaks.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$BSB#美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解
#美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 $BSB U.S. Treasury yields frequently hit new highs, long-term interest rate pressure remains unresolved, and risk appetite pressure is also transmitted to CL. I tend to be short-term bearish, with limited rebound strength.
Current price 91.23, down 1.9% in 24h, volatility range 88.3 to 93.22, turnover 17.75 million. The 4-hour chart is still in a downtrend; although the 1-hour chart shows a rebound, it has fallen back 3.24% from the high. Funding rate is zero, open interest 352,000, sentiment is cautious; the top 10 bid-ask ratio is 1.11, there is support at the low level but selling pressure above has not dissipated.
Strategy: lightly short near 92.85 on the rebound, stop loss at 94.15, target 89.45; if it pulls back to 88.55 and stabilizes, consider a short-term long position, stop loss at 87.35, target 90.85. Keep position size within 10%, strictly stop loss.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wish you successful trading. —
$CL#美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解
#美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 $CL $AXS Damn it! This AXS market is giving me a headache. Around 1.2504, the funds are piled up like a fortress; sell orders get canceled and then re-posted repeatedly. Is the manipulator here putting on a double act? 🔥
Looking at the candlestick, the price dipped to 1.24 and immediately pulled back, clearly not wanting to let people get in. The volume is being held back, not released. This pattern either means a big move is coming or it's just shaking out retail traders until they doubt everything.
My plan is simple: lightly position at 1.2504, set stop loss at 1.21. If it breaks, accept it; if not, it’s a move up. Don’t go heavy, don’t hold stubbornly, that’s discipline. 💡
If you want to join me in waiting for this hidden move, click the token card below to see the real-time market. Don’t ask questions, just watch it yourself.
👇👇👇$NIGHT is biased towards the long side. Open interest surged 53% in one day, with price rising in sync, indicating new longs are chasing prices rather than shorts suppressing them. The amount liquidated on short positions is clearly greater than on longs. Shorts are being squeezed out during the rally, with longs taking over; the driving force comes from genuine position increases, not just short covering. The fee rate has fallen from 0.0050% to 0.0012%, which should be viewed only as background information. The key lies in the position of these new longs. Open interest has been steadily accumulated between 0.03785 and 0.05031, with stop losses naturally placed below. As long as the price holds at a high level, these stops won’t be triggered, and the upward structure is supported by this batch of chips. Conditions for a bearish reversal: if the price fails to break above 0.05031 and then falls back while open interest continues to rise. A price drop accompanied by increased open interest indicates new shorts are starting to suppress prices, and the stop losses of longs below will be hit in clusters. Before that, the RSI at 79 on the chart indicates momentum is still continuing, not a top signal.Big Brother Maji has made a move again. A position of 161 million, with the two main positions in $BTC and $ETH consuming the vast majority of the chips, and the small $HYPE position is basically just an emotional order thrown out there—if it profits, it's a bonus; if it loses, no regrets.
This person really understands position sizing.
$BTC 40x full position long, 546 coins, average price 84548.9, liquidation price 75542. When the non-farm payroll data came out yesterday, 29,000 new jobs were added, while the expectation was 90,000, not even reaching the lower bound of expectations. After the data release, the probability of a rate hike in October dropped sharply from 68% to below 25%, and the market instantly shifted into a rate cut trading mode. But $BTC didn’t take off as many expected—it surged to 85,000 but was pushed back down. The 10-year US Treasury yield rebounded to 5.28%, and the buying pressure couldn’t hold. Maji’s opening price of 84548 basically stepped on that spike; now the price is hovering around 84,000. With 40x leverage, a 0.5% price fluctuation means a 20% position fluctuation. The kind of up-and-down spikes seen around the non-farm data release could easily cause millions of dollars underwater with just one spike. But his liquidation price is 75542, nearly 9,000 dollars away from the current price, providing a thick enough buffer—this is a deliberate reserve for volatile market conditions.
$ETH 25x full position long, 34,000 coins, is the real core position. The liquidation line is at 2550. Currently, $ETH is moving sideways around 2700, with the Bollinger upper band at 2853 and lower support around 2630-2640. This position is not just a directional bet—$ETH’s total staked amount on the network has surpassed 43 million coins, accounting for over 35% of total supply, and the circulating supply is continuously tightening. Citi just raised ETH’s target price from 2240 to 3028 dollars, a 35% increase. Maji places the largest volume of chips on $ETH, betting on the dual logic of tightening liquidity and fundamentals. The liquidation line at 2550 corresponds to the long-term holding cost zone for $ETH; as long as no extreme black swan event occurs, the probability of this level being hit is very low.
$HYPE is a small position, riding on sector sentiment. HYPE is currently oscillating between 88-90 dollars. Multicoin Capital just dumped 8.4 million dollars, so short-term selling pressure is significant. Maji treats it as an emotional position, not expecting it to decide the fate of the account. This approach itself is very smart—never throw your core chips to fringe assets during major market moves.
But honestly, the most worth pondering about this layout is not the position structure, but the macro logic he is betting on.
Non-farm payrolls collapsed, rate hike expectations cooled, and US stocks rose in response. According to traditional scripts, this combination should be very bullish for risk assets. But $BTC’s reaction is contradictory—short-term spikes are immediately crushed. Glassnode characterizes this rebound as "premature and speculative," with the core issue being a lack of volume. Even more bizarre, $BTC spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of 103 million dollars on October 1, with BlackRock’s IBIT alone contributing 196 million, but Fidelity’s FBTC had a net outflow exceeding 60 million. Capital at the ETF level is split; some are bottom-fishing while others are withdrawing, and the market has not formed a unified force.
Looking at the Federal Reserve internally, Kashkari says "one more rate hike this year, and one more in 2027," but Vice Chair Williams bluntly states "no need to rush the next move," and market pricing dropped from a 70% rate hike probability to below 30%. Two key decision-makers, two directions, and the market’s rate expectations are being pulled apart fiercely. In this environment, $BTC stuck in the 83000-85000 range grinding back and forth is not without reason.
My judgment is: Maji is not betting on short-term direction, but on volatility itself.
The liquidation price of the 40x $BTC long at 75542 corresponds to a support level just below the key 77200 dollar defense line given by Glassnode. If after the non-farm data the market first kills leverage and pushes $BTC down to 79000-80000 to wash out some longs, his position will survive just fine, and when the rate cut trade truly starts, he will ride the main upward wave. The same logic applies to $ETH’s 2550 liquidation line, corresponding to the second defense line after the first support at 2630-2640 is broken, providing enough room for a dip.
But this strategy has a fatal premise—you must have unlimited bullets to add to your position.
Maji’s most ruthless aspect is never his opening price, but that he has reserves. If his position is trapped, he can add; if the liquidation price is near, he can move margin; in extreme market conditions, he can endure floating losses that others cannot. Ordinary people who copy his 40x leverage would panic with just a 1% adverse price move, lacking the mindset and capital to hold on.
So don’t be fooled by numbers like "opening price 84548" or "liquidation price 75542." These numbers are results, not the strategy. The core of the strategy is: at the right macro inflection point, using leverage he can bear, he bets on what is highly likely to happen. $ETH’s fundamental tightening is real, staking rates keep rising, and although ETFs have short-term outflows, big banks like Citi are clearly raising target prices. The macro environment for $BTC is also shifting—non-farm payrolls collapsed, rate hike expectations dropped, but the market hasn’t fully digested this change yet.
But one thing must be made clear: $BTC’s spike and crash after the non-farm data is itself a warning signal. The bullish news came but the price couldn’t rise, indicating heavy selling pressure above. The 85000-85500 range is where large volumes are being offloaded. Maji’s $BTC position opened at 84548, right at the price before this spike and fall, meaning he bought near a short-term high. He has 40x leverage’s margin for error, but if you follow him in, every drop of $BTC toward 80000 will be torture for you.
What’s truly worth learning is not his position size, but his logic chain: macro inflection first, fundamental tightening next, technical entry points, and leverage controlled within what he can bear.
Finally, a frank word. In the current market, the altcoin season index is approaching 75, and capital is spreading from $BTC to strong narrative assets, but this doesn’t mean you can leverage recklessly. The base logic for $BTC and $ETH is clear—one plays macro shifts with elasticity, the other plays circulating supply tightening with certainty. Positions outside of these are emotional gambles; winning is luck, losing is tuition.
Maji has reserves, do you? If not, don’t drool over 40x leverage. First, reduce your position to a level where you can sleep at night.Triple signals intertwine as capital searches for narrative anchors in the cracks
The market is mildly rebounding, but behind BTC, ETH, and ZEC lie three distinctly different logic lines.
$BTC: The covert push of sovereign compliance. The IMF approved a $139 million grant to El Salvador, despite the country previously violating the agreement to increase Bitcoin holdings. This signal is far more complex than it appears on the surface—international financial institutions are passively adapting to the reality of sovereign nations holding BTC. Macro pressures remain, but the legitimacy of the underlying asset is being reinforced step by step. This is a structural long-term support.
$ETH: Ecological friction suppresses short-term buying. A vulnerability in the Aave V3 module caused a loss of about 114 ETH, a small amount, but it once again exposed the fragility of DeFi composability. The upgrade expectations have yet to be fulfilled, and security flaws have become a ceiling for buying. ETH can only passively follow the market, lacking the fuel for an independent breakout.
$ZEC: Institutional calls ignite the privacy narrative. Variant Fund's investment partner publicly stated that the market bottom may have appeared in July, and the institutional-level "bottom confirmation" has given capital the confidence to go long on the privacy sector. As the leader, ZEC, with its independent narrative, is absorbing safe-haven funds in a volatile market and leading the rally against the trend.
The three logics are clear: BTC is supported by compliance, ETH is dragged down by security frictions, and ZEC benefits from institutional expectations and privacy premiums. The market lacks systemic momentum, so capital can only engage in guerrilla tactics within the structure. Heavy positions are unwise at this time; waiting for a macro breakthrough is safer.$OKB/USDT 1H
The rebound from 119.65 is slowing near the first resistance cluster.
Price recovered MA5 and MA10, but MA20 at 121.46 still controls the broader intraday structure.
Entry: 120.55–120.75
SL: 119.55
TP1: 121.45
TP2: 122.25
TP3: 122.90
Holding 120.65 keeps the recovery alive. A rejection below it could send OKB back toward the session low.
Educational only, not financial advice.
#USNFPDataCools #BTCETHETFOutflows #USTreasuryYieldsSurge AMD plans to invest $8.2 billion to acquire an AI company, reigniting the computing power narrative. MMT, as an AI-related token, should benefit, but it still fell 5.2% today, indicating that funds have not bought in. Overall judgment: a short-term technical rebound is expected, but a trend reversal is still early.
Current price 0.1804, 24h high and low points 0.1921 and 0.1763, only 2.21% above the 1-hour low, 45% above the 4-hour low. The mid-term uptrend remains intact but the resistance at 0.1921 is obvious. Buy orders 17,000 vs. sell orders 17,000, ratio 1.02 slightly bullish, turnover 642,000 is relatively light, funding rate 0.005%, open interest 8,552,000, sentiment cautiously warm.
Strategy 1: Buy on a pullback to 0.1782, stop loss at 0.1738, target 0.1907; Strategy 2: If volume breaks through 0.1921, chase more, stop loss at 0.1863, target 0.2047. Position control within 20%, exit immediately if broken, do not hold the position.
— For personal reference only, not investment advice, wish you successful trading. —
$MMT#OpenAI plans $1.4 trillion valuation to raise $30 billion
#AMD plans to invest $8.2 billion to acquire an AI company $MMT 💧 LIQUIDITY QUALITY TEST
$ETH: spread 0.000% | top-5 bid depth $270.8K
$BNB: spread 0.013% | top-5 bid depth $209.2K
$GIGGLE: spread 0.027% | top-5 bid depth $1.5K
$ETH has the deepest visible bid support in this snapshot. Which coin would you trust in fast volatility?
$ETH $BNB $GIGGLE
#TraderDesk #Crypto
⚠️ NFA — manage risk and DYOR.💧 Liquidity Quality Test
$ETH: Spread 0.000% | Top 5 Buy Order Depth $270.8K
$BNB: Spread 0.013% | Top 5 Buy Order Depth $209.2K
$GIGGLE: Spread 0.027% | Top 5 Buy Order Depth $1.5K
$ETH has the deepest visible buy order support in this snapshot. Facing rapid fluctuations, which coin would you trust?
$ETH $BNB $GIGGLE
#TraderDesk #Crypto
⚠️ Not financial advice — please manage risk and do your own research. #Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市 #美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 The SEC plans to establish a custody framework for crypto assets.
The SEC has proposed new regulations to create a dedicated framework for registered investment advisers and regulated funds to custody crypto assets, allowing self-custody under certain conditions and the use of state trust companies and other custody arrangements. The market interprets this as largely positive, directly benefiting the compliant allocation paths for mainstream assets like BTC and ETH. The key point of this move is not to immediately set a market direction but to first push forward the most sensitive custody barriers for institutional advisers and funds entering crypto investments. Source: SEC.
If the subsequent rules are implemented, the compliance path for traditional funds designing crypto strategies will be smoother; if during the 60-day comment period large asset managers, custodians, and trading platforms provide concentrated feedback, narratives related to compliant exchanges, custody, and ETFs will also more easily attract capital attention. Would you rather first see the changes in institutional allocations after the rules are implemented, or first see the market feedback during the comment period?
#BTC #ETH$ETH really came like a spring breeze overnight, with thousands of pear blossoms blooming everywhere
I admit, you made me feel unfamiliar with Ethereum, waking up to find that ETH actually crashed like a waterfall.
If I had known, I wouldn't have run yesterday; the non-farm night scared me to tears, I was really afraid of getting liquidated.
Last night when I shorted ETH again, I was planning to go all in, but I was a bit too cautious.
Otherwise, this wave would have really made me a fortune
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $ETH Weekend sharing of BTC analysis:
From the perspective of the daily chart, the weekly upward move starting from 57700 on July 1st most likely ended its first daily-level upward move at 87300.
If you analyze from the perspective of the central pivot, the rally on September 21st is a relatively standard central pivot departure move. But this requires the price to further drop below 81500 to confirm.
From the perspective of Chan theory:
57700-66800 is the first 4H-level upward move;
66800-62100 is the first 4H-level downward move;
62100-82200 is the second 4H-level upward move;
82200-74800 is the second 4H-level downward move;
74800-87300 is the third 4H-level upward move.
Since the increase is less than 20,000 points, this third 4H-level upward move has already diverged from the second move. Therefore, from a technical perspective, it is highly likely that a daily-level downward correction will start from 87300.
This correction will normally reach between 69000-72000; according to Fibonacci levels, it would be between 72000-76000. However, in actual operation, we should avoid presetting the price too low, since this is the early stage of a bull market. From a larger cycle perspective, a few thousand points difference is not significant. Around 75000 is a good position for BTC from a large cycle perspective. Setting 70000-75000 as the bottom of this round of correction is more appropriate.
If you miss the weekly second buy opportunity, the next good chance will be next year. Also, this "weekly second buy" position roughly corresponds to 19500 in March 2023, after which BTC has not fallen below 20000.
After the weekly second buy is completed (likely around the midterm elections), BTC will continue to move upward in a daily-level upward move. This daily-level upward move will continue until after the Lunar New Year, with a target around 93000/94000. At that point, the first weekly-level upward move of this bull market will be considered complete.
Of course, this projection is somewhat rigid. The first weekly-level upward move of the 2022-2025 bull market lasted 8 months, from 15500 in November 2022 to 31800 in July 2023. According to this projection, the first weekly-level upward move of this bull market should last until February/March next year. Historically, BTC performs well during the Lunar New Year period (except in 2025), so this projection is statistically reasonable. However, a correction needs to happen first.
Finally, I hope all Chinese investors make big profits and sharply cut foreign investors' losses.#Strategy再购BTC, multiple financial institutions simultaneously increasing holdings, market risk appetite warming up, KAITO as a popular ecological target has not strengthened accordingly. I judge that the short-term is still in a consolidation phase, with direction choice approaching.
Current price 0.334, down 3.8% in 24 hours, the high of 0.3599 failed to hold, the low of 0.317 temporarily acting as a buffer. The one-hour and four-hour trends are upward, but have retraced 7.05% and 9.36% from the highs, with a turnover of 30.733 million showing insufficient willingness to chase highs. The order book's top 10 buy-sell ratio is 0.91, with selling pressure slightly dominant, funding rate at 0.0043% is relatively neutral, and 12.005 million coin-margined positions suggest bulls and bears are still in a stalemate.
Strategically, if it pulls back to 0.3215 and stabilizes, a light long position can be tried, stop loss at 0.3105, target 0.3565; if it breaks through 0.3515 with volume, then add positions following the trend, stop loss at 0.3345, target 0.3785. Position control within 20%, decisively exit if stop loss is broken.
— For personal opinion only, not investment advice, wish you smooth trading. —
$KAITO#Strategy再购BTC, multiple financial institutions simultaneously increasing holdings
#Strategy再购BTC, multiple financial institutions simultaneously increasing holdings $KAITO "Three Coin Duty Logs: Some Guard the Gate, Some Buffer, Some Probe"
$BTC is pacing between 84,500 and 85,800 today, up over 1% in 24 hours. It’s not rushing to charge, just treating 85,000 as a threshold to tread back and forth, with buy orders supporting and sell orders not breaking through. Like a seasoned goalkeeper: few moves, but excellent positioning. In the short term, 85,000 remains the emotional watershed—holding it means stability, losing it means chaos.
$ETH is slightly shifting above 2,700, up only 0.4%–0.9% in 24 hours, like a system updating in the background: Glamsterdam, Layer2, and self-custody rules are all queued up. The long-term narrative remains intact, but the short-term direction is still loading. Its dilemma is: a solid base but not yet fully fired up.
$SOL is bouncing between $118 and $119, up 0.5%–1.5% in 24 hours. 120 is the door, 116 is the wall; it’s repeatedly hopping at the threshold with low volume but plenty of action. The resilience of a young coin lies here: quick rebounds and quick pullbacks, so buckle up if you chase it.
In a nutshell: BTC guards 85,000, ETH awaits catalysts, SOL tests 120. The three brothers haven’t clocked out yet, but today’s KPI is to avoid crashing first.
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 Rate hike delay ≠ shift to easing, non-farm payrolls are the starting gun
Underlying logic:
The market pushing back the timing of the Fed rate hike does not mean tightening is canceled. Short-term liquidity pressure is temporarily eased, but the high interest rate environment remains. U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar will be repriced with non-farm payrolls; BTC and ETH are highly sensitive to real interest rates.
$BTC:
With high Beta characteristics, the rate hike delay alleviates short-selling pressure, possibly slowing the downtrend; but a trend reversal requires non-farm confirmation of cooling employment and a substantial drop in yields.
ETH:
More elastic, its rebound usually outperforms BTC; if non-farm payrolls are strong, the pullback will also be deeper.
Three scenarios:
① Non-farm weaker than expected: rate hikes continue to be delayed, yields fall, dollar weakens, BTC and ETH rise, with ETH leading.
② Non-farm far exceeds expectations: rate hike expectations reverse, yields surge, rebound ends, BTC and ETH fall, ETH suffers more.
③ Non-farm meets expectations: status quo maintained, range-bound, waiting for the next inflation data.
Key reminder:
Rate hikes are only postponed, not canceled; for a rebound, watch ETH; for stability, choose BTC; the non-farm payroll release is the real market trigger.
#加息预期推迟，9月非农成下一关键 $BTC $ETH