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Moreover, I found that whenever I have something bothering me, my mind gets chaotic, and I can't interpret the market situation. The previously set trading strategies all clash—ICT, PA, moving averages, MACD all mixed together. Sometimes I feel I can go long, sometimes I think the price has peaked and I should short, and sometimes I believe it's just consolidation or a false breakout... This leads to an inability to establish a clear process and entering trades arbitrarily.
When I make a profit, I feel like I'm great; when I lose, I incorporate that loss into the win rate percentage, which is the scariest part.
Including emotional trades and gambling trades as part of the strategy causes bias because the entries are clearly not based on a self-made plan. Every time I review my trades, I feel my system is wrong and needs adjustment. I keep changing it for a long time—half a day, half a month, half a year—and even after dozens of blowouts, I still can't find the real problem. Only in hindsight do I realize this, resulting not only in wasted time but also wasted money.Right now, the position is sitting at roughly a 160% floating loss. If you ask whether I’m tired, honestly, not really. But if you ask whether I’m nervous, I’d be lying if I said no. The level that makes me most uncomfortable is around $88,000. If BTC decisively breaks and holds above that area, the short thesis becomes much more dangerous. My liquidation level is near $91,500, so there isn’t unlimited room for mistakes. Still, looking at the current structure, I don’t think BTC has a huge amounToday, there is a hidden flow of funds in the BTC sector. With $BTC macro slightly easing, the main force is converging back to the mainline coins, and sentiment has shifted from watching to actively accumulating. The leading attribute remains strong.
The 100x long position at 84606 is still held, marked at 86260.1, with an unrealized profit of +195.50%. Another short position at 84605.9 is slightly losing 0.33, overall the long positions are making big gains. Technically, the price is climbing along a micro ascending channel, with pullbacks not breaking support, volume is moderately accumulating, and the structure is bullish. 100x leverage positions must strictly control drawdowns, move stop losses closer to cost to protect principal and big profits, and let the rest extend with the structure.
Finished my coffee, screen locked. The current mindset is "lock in profits first," and use the market's money to watch the show. The previous high is just ahead. For the next candlestick, do you think it will break through first, or sweep my defense to make me pretend to be calm? 🙏$ETH $ZEC
#OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ 霍尔木兹“未开放”的真相：市场没告诉你的三个矛盾 10月4日，伊朗议长卡利巴夫明确表态：在满足基于伊斯兰堡谅解备忘录的七项条件之前，霍尔木兹海峡“绝不会开放”。同日，七个OPEC+主要产油国决定11月继续维持当前产量不变。 主流叙事将这两件事解读为“供应危机持续”。但深入数据后发现，真相远比表面复杂——三个被忽略的矛盾，才是真正决定油价走向的变量。 一、谈判桌上的僵局 vs 海面上的实质通航 伊朗的七项条件包括：停止战斗、解除封锁、确保霍尔木兹航行安全、石油豁免、解冻资金等。从外交层面看，这确实是“未开放”。 但航运数据给出了截然不同的画面。Kpler数据显示，截至9月28日，通过霍尔木兹海峡的原油7日平均运输量达到每日1350万桶，基本追平战前水平。中东原油出口总量较危机前上升了36%，达到每日2250万桶，甚至超过了战前平均每日1800万桶的水平。 这意味着，海峡在“法律和政治层面”是关闭的，在“物理层面”却处于半开放状态。伊朗通过“选择性放行”维持着石油出口命脉——允许部分船只通行，同时攻击被指控“未经授权”通行的目标。这不是全面封锁，而是一种精准的通行控制。 二、OPEC+“维$BTC $ETH $BTC climbed to around $86,900, once again testing the important $87K resistance area. As long as BTC stays above $86K, buyers still appear to have the upper hand. Meanwhile, $ETH broke through the $2,700–$2,720 zone with stronger volume and reached roughly $2,745, signaling that the long period of sideways movement may finally be coming to an end. This move looks broader than a simple news-driven pump. Regulatory developments, liquidity, macro expectations, and aggressive short coveriHow quiet is the options market right now? Implied volatility is about to hit its lowest in years.
To put it simply, no one is willing to pay upfront for "big swings."
I was a bit stunned when I first saw this data.
The market is clearly warming up, but volatility is flat; logically, these two should move together.
Then I realized, it’s not that the market lacks emotion, it’s that no one really believes a big move will happen.
I’ve fallen into this trap before—when I saw low volatility, I thought a big move was brewing, but the market just stayed sideways for two months.
Actually, low volatility itself doesn’t predict direction; it only means one thing: options are cheap right now.
Greeks.live says buyer strategies will become more competitive, and I half agree with that.
Cheap is cheap, but no one knows when it will get expensive.
If you really want to watch, watch whether new funds come in after the Deribit and Coinbase merger.
If money doesn’t flow in, even the lowest volatility will just stay flat.
I’m watching first, not rushing to bet—after all, I’ve stocked up on these "cheap goods" before, only to find there’s a reason they’re cheap.
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
#VanEck：比特币或继续扩大市场份额 #Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 $ETH 【On-Chain Trading Dynamics｜ZEC】
Monitored address 0xc30c shorted:
▪ Execution price: 1,354.3 USD
▪ Transaction amount this time: 304,675.95 USD
▪ Leverage: 10xBTC's ETF funds are recovering, while $ETH's are flowing out, yet both coins are rising almost equally sharply—this kind of "fund divergence, price convergence" combination usually doesn't last long.
After the US BTC spot ETF ended 9 trading days with a cumulative net inflow of about $3.1 billion, it recorded a net inflow of about $103 million on October 1 and another $31.7 million on October 2, restoring inflows for two consecutive days. Conversely, the ETH spot ETF has seen net outflows for 4 Super whale continues to short $ZEC Position value about 198.385 million USD, approximately 15,000 tokens Currently, among top 5 ZEC holders, 4 accounts hold short positions and only one holds long position; all 4 short accounts currently in floating profit However, looking at total profit and loss, longs surprisingly have profits as high as about 70 million USD Shorts still losing about 6 million USD This newly entered short whale opened position at 1340.9 USD Position value about 20 million UActually, tonight's start was pretty annoying. That $BTC trade was purely me itching to watch the market; when I went all in with 100x leverage, I even cursed myself. Entered at 85533, my eyes were glued to the funding rate and depth, just afraid some big order would spike and wipe me out. At 85690, I didn't hesitate to close the position, making 69u, which is laughably small, but that feeling of "I didn't get greedy, I didn't stubbornly hold on" was genuinely relieving. High-leverage trades don't earn money; they earn the relief fee of not getting slapped by the market.
What really made me sit up straight was $CT. In the afternoon, seeing that 4h upper shadow made me suspicious. When I shorted at 0.4921, I didn't dare go big, just 20x leverage, thinking "If it doesn't drop deep, consider it tuition; if it really crashes, I'll add more." But this thing didn't give any rebound at all. I manually closed at 0.4488, making 643u, +174%. Honestly, it wasn't some god-level prediction, just that I've seen too many altcoins in their final phase where they should crash but don't, and once they crash, they don't look back. This time I just happened not to be fooled off by that fake bullish candle halfway.
Together, the two trades made over 700u, not much, but OE didn't mess with my closing price or freeze the button tonight, which alone is way better than last week's experience. Before shutting down the computer, I glanced at the empty position list, which looks better than the account number.
Trading sometimes isn't about who makes more money, but about who doesn't curse themselves when they turn off the computer tonight. [Old Leek Observation] $AKT$AKE
AKT suddenly surged in volume today. The price once shot up to around $0.80, with a 24-hour increase close to 20%.
But what really caught my attention is not the price increase, but the trading volume. In the past day, AKT's trading volume surged to over $33M, about 6 times that of the previous day. So far, there is no solid official news explaining this rise.
So don't rush to label this as an "AI positive". It seems more like funds suddenly started concentrating in decentralized computing power.
Entry: $0.74–$0.78
Take profit: $0.84 / $0.90 / $0.98 / $1.08 / $1.20
Stop loss: $0.69
The price has already surged around $0.80 once, so no chasing.
If it pulls back to $0.74–$0.78 and holds steady, and the trading volume does not significantly shrink, then this move has value to continue. Without strong news driving it, it's more important to see if the funds remain the next day.Out of roughly 900 long positions, more than 500 are currently under pressure. The headline profit figure may look impressive, but the distribution matters—much of that profit appears concentrated among traders who entered at significantly lower levels. For traders who bought higher up, the situation is completely different. Many are now waiting for price to recover toward their entry, while floating losses continue to accumulate. This is where market psychology becomes important. When traders g$DOGE long position, entered at 0.09349, currently at 0.09598, floating profit 133.16%. This trade has been going quite smoothly since entry, there was a shakeout in the middle but holding through it was fine. Now the profit buffer is thick enough, mindset is very stable. Today's market shows no volume increase on the bulls, indicating it's not yet in the acceleration phase.
I plan to take out one-third first, set a breakeven stop loss on the rest and let it run. Not guessing the top, letting the profit run on its own; holding this rhythm is better than flipping back and forth.
For those not in yet, wait for a pullback to confirm support before considering entry, don't chase in a bullish candle. I'll announce the next window when it comes, no rush for now. $BTC $ETH If you wake up to find the screen full of shouts of 'waterfall,' then what you really need to watch isn't whether it drops, but who's holding on. Guess who the 84,000 level is really the iron bottom, or the last dignity of the bears? Last night before bed, I saw that familiar screenshot of 'the sky has fallen'—BTC was stuck around 84,000 and refused to go down. Clearly, all around were pointing to a downturn, but it refused to touch 82,000, and now even 84,000 felt like it was stepping on a nail. I stared at the market for a while. The previous night's orders were still stuck, but soon the deal could be traded. Today, I tried again, but it was stuck again. That feeling was like the market was quietly turning hands, not just dropping. Let's clarify the facts first: $BTC Repeatedly supported around 84,000, with 87,000 pulled up again; $ETH Following this sentiment line without an independent collapse. This is not a rally driven by a single positive factor; it feels more like a bearish squeeze and sentiment recovery stacked together. Everyone originally priced in a "breakout acceleration," but prices failed to cooperate, and expectations relaxed first. What the market is trading at this moment is actually the very issue of "not falling." The path to a bullish bias is clear: as long as 84,000 remains holding, short covering will push the price for a while, 87000 will shift from a slogan to a magnetic level, risk appetite will spill over from BTC to ETH, and then slowly spread to high-beta counterfeits. Once sentiment shifts from panic to skepticism, the rebound often moves faster than expected. But the risks are also present: this feels more like a sentiment recovery, not a trend reversal. If 84,000 falls, the smooth "trading potential" from last night will turn into a stampede, and 82,000 won't be there$DOGE The timing of this rally was spot on. At 16:34 market record, perpetual 50x long position, opening average price 0.09273, current mark price 0.09681, floating profit locked at 219.99%. Review: A few days ago, price oscillated repeatedly around 0.092 with extremely shrinking volume, typical bottom accumulation signal. On 1-hour chart, bullish divergence appeared, MACD green bars shortened then formed golden cross, so I decisively placed long at this key support level of 0.09273. After main Last Friday, #Bitcoin ETF net inflows increased again, completing 4 net inflow days last week. Looking back at Wednesday's net outflow, it was a short-term chip turnover.
The #BTC ETF data released last Friday showed a single-day net inflow of 189.9 million, approaching the 200 million mark and entering the 100-300 million range, which counts as a relatively strong net inflow.
Among them, IBIT had a net inflow of 158.2 million, accounting for a very high proportion, meaning that although there was a net inflow of funds, the scope was too narrow, and the net inflow sentiment did not spread widely.
Reviewing last week's data, from Monday to Friday, except for Wednesday's net outflow, there were 4 days of net inflows overall, which is good data. Wednesday's net inflow was basically confirmed as an institutional user turnover.
Comparing the crypto market data to last Friday, overall funds were net inflows, increasing by 200 million, but the increase did not come from mainstream funds USDT and USDC. USDC even showed a slight net outflow, but currently this is not significant.
Combining ETF and crypto market data, last week's situation still looks somewhat optimistic, especially Wednesday's ETF fund turnover coinciding with the price breaking through around 84,000 with turnover. When the key resistance at that time showed obvious turnover, especially after the ETF turnover, the price successfully broke through, so this point will become effective support.
At least in terms of chip structure, ETF turnover means institutional users rebalancing their positions. After the turnover, the price can still break through, which confirms a more optimistic trend and is a good thing! #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 Peaked at 2354 in June, dropped to 998 by the end of July, with a maximum drawdown of 57%. But the structure changed after August: 998→1167→1417→1504→1659, with the lows steadily rising, a classic 4H ascending channel.
Currently at 1718, stuck in the 1660-1910 consolidation range. MA20 is pressing around 1760, and the ascending trendline is supporting at 1688 — the structure is intact, but the direction is yet to be decided.
Volume: Panic volume surge at the end of July marked the bottom, September shows volume contraction and consolidation, divergence is converging, a breakout is approaching.
Three long-term scenarios: break and hold above 1910 to target 2100/2354; break below 1660 to retest the trendline at 1500-1600; break the trendline to retest 1000-1200 for bottom formation.Big coin $BTC short position open for ten days and held for eight days, currently floating loss of 200%, if someone asks me if I'm tired or panicked, I would say not tired, but saying not panicked would definitely be lie. I honestly admit I get most nervous every time it hits 87000, because once it successfully breaks through, my short position becomes very dangerous. After all, forced liquidation price at 90300 is not safe. But I always believe, from current position in all aspects, upward spacBitcoin leads the charge, with $58.88 million settled in 24 hours, of which $54.16 million were shorts liquidated. This surge is driven by forced liquidations pushing the price up, not pure buying pressure. The total market cap is $2.93 trillion, up 1.03%, and the recovery momentum in October continues. The focus this week is on US inflation and employment data, with the Federal Reserve's rhetoric deciding the short-term direction. The SEC chair has even shifted to calling it a trillion-dollar asset class, signaling a warming long-term sentiment.
I just opened the security booth window for some fresh air; someone is backing into a parking spot outside. I glanced down at the screen and continued watching the market.
GTC current price is 0.21304. The area from 0.216 to 0.224 is a dense short liquidation zone; breaking through it could trigger a chain reaction of liquidations. The support zone for long liquidations is between 0.195 and 0.205. The MACD green bars are shrinking, and RSI has already touched the overbought area, indicating a short-term need for a pullback and consolidation. However, the support below is strong; a pullback that doesn't break support is a buying opportunity.
In terms of strategy, buy in batches on dips between 0.205 and 0.208, with a stop loss below 0.195. The first target is 0.216, and the second target is the liquidation zone at 0.224. If volume surges and breaks through 0.224, you can add to your position and chase the rally. Avoid short positions for now, as going against the trend risks liquidation.
$GTC
#OKXICE向SEC申请推出代币化股票交易平台
@OKX星球 Finally got a reaction from BTC, this trade feels pretty comfortable. $BTC long position, opened at 85174.5, now at 86351.2, up 138.85%. Waited a few days and it was worth it, the market finally moved. I don't plan to add more at this position.
The profit is already considerable, going higher could face selling pressure anytime. I'll raise the cost line first and leave the rest to the market; mindset is more important than anything.
For friends who missed out, don't worry, there will be pullback opportunities later, just be patient. Good markets don't lack entry points, they lack patience. $ETH $ZEC 【On-Chain Trading Update｜HYPE】
Monitored address 0x9c06 opened a short position:
▪ Execution price: 93.4 USD
▪ Transaction amount this time: 249,983.86 USD
▪ Leverage: 10x📉 $ETH is still in an uptrend, but the upward momentum is weakening.
Currently, spot buying has clearly cooled down, and ETF capital flows have turned to net outflows, which is limiting ETH's upside potential.
ETH is struggling to hold steady above $2,700, and every time it approaches $2,800, there is significant selling pressure.
Without new spot capital continuously entering, this rebound may be more about providing liquidity to sellers rather than the start of a new upward trend.
👀 This is the key trading logic at present:
The trend hasn't fully weakened yet,
but the "fuel" needed for the rise is diminishing.
Next focus:
Whether spot buying returns and if ETH can truly hold above $2,800.
#FedECBMeetingMinutes
#BTCETHETFFlowsDiverge
$ETH $BTC$HYPE, long position, entered at 90.189, now at 93.127, floating profit 162.88%. The rhythm from opening the position until now has been very good, with no continuous pullbacks, and the bulls clearly controlling the market.
The current price is not cheap anymore, so I won't add more to the position. I'll take out some first and trail the rest with a moving stop loss.
Don't be greedy for the last part; the profit in hand is what truly belongs to you. Those not in the trade can wait for the next window, no rush this time. $BTC $ETH 78K $ETH short, avg $2,340, liquidation at $4,291. The whale can probably sit through the pain—but the real danger is the crowd following the short.
$ETH at $2,815 is the key trigger. Break it, and roughly $497M in CEX shorts could face liquidation.
$BTC also keeps failing near 87K, with 90K as the bigger liquidation zone.
Don’t watch the whale’s PnL. Watch the liquidation fuse. ⚡
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#HormuzStillClosed #NvidiaRecordHigh #AnthropicEyesNovIPO Today, because my hair was cut like a dog’s, I came back with a belly full of anger and nowhere to vent, so I made an emotional trade... I clearly know the consequences of bringing negative emotions into trading, but this kind of thought and regret usually only hits after a losing trade, and then the lesson is forgotten the next day. This personality needs to change...
But this time I set a stop loss, so looking at it from another angle, that’s a good thing...These two positions in my hands are really a typical case of "a fierce operation but a loss of 250".
👉 The short position on $CRWD
Entry point at 268, thinking it wouldn't rise anymore so I shorted to catch a pullback. But it directly surged to 271, now floating loss is nearly 200 U. Although the return rate looks only -9%, it's like cutting flesh with a dull knife, the most painful.
👉 The long position on $LITE (the disaster zone!)
This one really hurts. Entered chasing high at 1112, now dropped to 1084.
Look at that return rate -25.07%, directly lost 733 U!
At the time of opening, I thought 10x leverage was super safe, full position mode as a backstop. Now, even a slight pullback shrinks the principal by a quarter.
The current state is:
Relying entirely on full position mode to keep breathing.
Look at the maintenance margin rate, both are above 1280%.
In short: as long as there is money in my account, the exchange can't liquidate me. But who understands this feeling? The first thing I do every morning is to see if there's a rebound, afraid that a sudden spike will pierce the margin.DOGE short positions wildly earned 550U, ETH also in the green, BTC slightly down, overall net profit of 698U from three trades
Just opened the account and took a look, DOGE and ETH short positions continue to gain momentum, BTC long position slightly retraced dragging behind, overall net profit of 698U from three trades.
Position update:
$DOGE: Entry at 0.09984, current price 0.095655, full 20X short position, unrealized profit 550U, ROI 88%. If it breaks below 0.096, continue to target 0.09.
$ETH: Entry at 2739.79, current price 2686.94, full 20X short position, unrealized profit 180U, ROI 39%. If it breaks below 2700, continue to target 2650.
$BTC: Entry at 84407.31, current price 84231.83, full 20X long position, unrealized loss 32U, ROI -4.6%. Slight loss, holding on waiting for rebound.
A few words: Today, the whole situation was supported by the two short positions in DOGE and ETH, BTC dragged a bit but no big deal. Overall a big gain, continuing to hold steady.
Let's chat in the comments, how much did you earn today?
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #VanEck：比特币或继续扩大市场份额 #美伊局势持续紧张，G7将释放最多1亿桶储备 Selling Tutankhamun's golden coffin as scrap metal is the dumbest archaeological excavation I've ever done in my life.
I dug up bullish inscriptions as early as when $ADA just surfaced from the shallow strata at 0.258. At that time, I was smug, thinking I had found a Western Han dynasty tile, and hastily sold everything at the 0.266 Bollinger middle band to close my position. What happened next? It broke through the geological fault and surged straight to the 0.281 upper band. The 1-hour RSI was even pushed by greedy tomb raiders to a scorching carbonized state of 71.1! If I had held onto my shovel and not taken profits early, this vertical rally could have given me nearly ten times the profit! For that tiny fragment of pottery-like small gain, I personally buried a grand Han dynasty noble tomb. This pain is even worse than smashing the Sword of Goujian with my own hands.
Looking through the rise and fall of all ancient civilizations, whether it's the Tulip Mania or the South Sea Bubble, human weakness in the face of relics always repeats itself. The current price of 0.2738 is already approaching the load-bearing limit of the upper loose soil. The Bollinger upper band at 0.2811 is the last rammed earth wall of the ancient city wall. The overbought indicator is sending a warning of the crypt collapsing to every greedy explorer. The regret of missing the main upward wave is still tearing at the nerves, but countless historical records prove that over-oxidized relics must eventually be backfilled.
- Target: $ADA 🔴
- Entry: 0.2730 - 0.2760
- TP1: 0.2667
- TP2: 0.2523
- SL: 0.2825
The weathering layer has been completely stripped away, and the cracking sounds deep in the crypt are clearly audible. 🏛️🔍
#CoinMoveAlert📊 Significant changes in the ETH staking queue
As of October 5, about 1.5 million ETH are waiting to enter the Ethereum staking queue, with a total value of approximately $4 billion, and an estimated wait time of about 25 days.
Meanwhile, about 786,000 ETH are still in the exit queue, with an estimated wait time close to 14 days.
Notably, on September 29, only about 166,000 ETH were in the exit queue, but by October 2, this number had rapidly increased to about 851,000 ETH.
The current sharp increase in the exit queue is mainly related to MetaMask proactively initiating exits for some validators as a security precaution.
👀 What to watch next:
The inflow of ETH staking continues to rise, while the exit queue remains high, which may affect ETH liquidity and market supply structure in the near future.
Don’t just watch the price; changes in ETH’s on-chain supply are equally worth attention.
$ETH #Ethereum #ETHStaking #Crypto #OKX#OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！
Teachers, something's off, the market momentum is still strengthening! $ZEC last time we said to watch 1350, this time it held, so it might still go to 1430-1460. The main bearish trend might still need to wait, the bulls haven't finished yet. That's how the market is, constantly reminding retail traders that he is the boss! Don't talk back, or you'll get hit!
Market makers always have endless tricks to make the market bleedOnly 5 people sold in 6 days, $4Stock token price breaks through insider cost, will the token price continue to decline? Brothers, what do you think?
Data changes of top 40 $4Stock holders on 2026.10.5
Alpha: Outflow of 3.5 million tokens
gate1: Inflow of 9.5 million tokens
kucoin2: Inflow of 3.9 million tokens
Burn address: Burned 1 million tokens
New entries in top 40: 4 people total, 2 increased positions, 2 transferred in
Dropped out of top 40: 4 people total, 3 fully sold, 1 reduced position
Top 40 increased positions: 6 people total, 2 increased then reduced positions
Top 40 reduced positions: 2 people total
$4Stock Daily Key Summary:
There are 4 new addresses entering the top 40, no one opened new positions, 2 increased positions to enter; among those who dropped out of the top 40, 3 fully sold and 1 significantly reduced positions. The number of people increasing and reducing positions in the top 40 is moderate, with more tokens increased and fewer reduced. On the exchange side, gate and kucoin started inflows, alpha had a slight outflow. However, the token price has dropped 20% since the last statistics, breaking through the previous insider cost price. They may have completed selling. On-chain selling and trading reflect that the number of people reducing positions at the front is decreasing, as only 5 people sold in 6 days, with more increasing positions. Exchange data is not visible, so no comment is made. Because the data interval is long, it cannot directly reflect the market situation. Another data update is needed to determine the specific market condition.The most satisfying trade this week was the ARB long position. $ARB, long, entered at 0.20021, now at 0.20729, floating profit of 176.81%. Held steady without adding or reducing, just waiting.
Patiently waited, now it's time to take profits. The gains are already considerable, no need to gamble on the last leg.
Plan to sell half first, then decide on the rest based on market reaction. For those who missed out, don't be upset, the market is open every day. $BTC $ETH
#OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ $ETH perpetual 100x long position, opened at 2683.07, now at 2724.82, floating profit +155.60%. Watched the market last night, the put-call ratio (PCR) in the ETH options market surged to an extreme level, retail investors were frantically buying puts.
Such extreme panic often signals a reversal. I took a small reverse long position at 2683.07 with 100x minimal leverage.
Sure enough, options market makers hedging buy orders pushed the spot price up. Stop loss has been moved to breakeven. Using derivative sentiment extremes to trade contrarily is the core to stable profits. $CT $BTC #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ $RVN Upbit announced the termination of RVN trading support, officially ending on October 12.
Look at this chart, RVN pulled a big bullish candle of 14%, reaching a high of 0.0027. RSI surged across the board to 73-78, extremely overbought.
The comment section's phrase "struggling before death" is indeed spot on.
The Korean exchange is an extremely important liquidity source for RVN; losing Upbit is like losing half its lifeblood.
The current violent surge is nothing more than the main force using the last time window to push the price up and sell, attracting retail investors who aren't afraid of losing to take the risk.
This kind of doomsday revelry is not suitable for chasing longs; finding an opportunity to short is the way to go with the trend.
Short plan:
Do not chase highs. Do not touch the current price of 0.002628.
Wait for it to surge and stall, or fail to break the 0.0027 resistance on a rebound, then enter short on the right side.
Stop loss strictly set above 0.0028; if volume breaks through, it means the main force wants to violently squeeze shorts, admit the mistake and exit.
Target is to look back to the previous low of 0.0022; if it breaks below, continue holding.
Do not catch falling knives, do not gamble on luck, wait for the sentiment to exhaust, short with the trend, and leave the rest to time.$ZEC has been tested with two rounds of pin spikes but never broke 1319.12, which is quite significant. A false breakout pushes down, but the support below immediately holds, indicating that low-level chips are unwilling to be sold. Going long at 1319.12 and reaching 1351.95 profits from structural moves, not chasing.
The current issue is at 1360. The selling pressure near the previous high is not just a scare: the price touched 1360 three times, each time closing with a long upper shadow, bulls lack volume support, and bears are dumping chips at the top. The short-term trend is "biased bullish but acceleration not confirmed."
I only trust structure, not sentiment. 1319.12 is both the entry price and the defense line; if the 4H candle closes below it with volume, it means the pullback turns into a breakdown, time to exit. If it doesn't break, hold and wait for a volume breakout at 1360. A breakout followed by a pullback and then a rise is the most comfortable phase to add positions, so don't rush now. $DOGE $BTC SEC approves 3 crypto funds, $BTC only rises 1.31%: accumulation hasn't stopped
$BTC currently at 86390.22, up only 1.31% in 24h — SEC approves 3 crypto funds, market calm, I'm directly bullish.
Institutions are accumulating, Strive bought 20 million USD worth last week for 2000 coins, holding 29,462 coins; Strategy added 334.3 coins to 848,000 coins; Metaplanet net bought 1000 coins in Q3 to 44,000 coins.
Technicals aren't dragging down, daily RSI 68.6 not overbought, fear greed at 70, phase judged as offensive, breadth 53/17. Funding rate 1.778e-05 near zero, far from overheated.
Resistance above: 86717.6
Watershed level: 86999.11, breaking above 24h high changes control
Support below: 85412.0, if broken look at 85114.0
US crypto stocks are falling, COIN -3.32%, stock-coin divergence. After the event, price moved from 86128.79 to 86390.22, only +0.3%, positive news not fully priced in.
Enter at current price, cut losses if below 85412.0, add positions if above 86999.11 for extension. Watching the market, follow me for the next signal.
$BTC $BTC#霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变
The Strait of Hormuz has not fully reopened, and OPEC+ has decided not to increase production in November.
It seems bullish for crude oil, but I think the real problem is not the "no production increase."
It's that even if they want to increase, it's not that easy.
Amid Middle East conflicts, the actual output of OPEC+ core oil-producing countries is still about 5 million barrels/day less than before the war. Although Hormuz has partially resumed transportation, freight and insurance costs are outrageously high.
So what oil prices fear most now is not OPEC+.
It's some new trouble in the Middle East.
And if oil prices stay high, it's not good for BTC either—if inflation doesn't come down, the Federal Reserve will find it even harder to ease. $BZ Let's first see how the price moves tonight, meow
$ZEC I will be a bit more cautious than this morning. It was still around 1350 in the morning, but by evening it had dropped to around 1310, a decline of about 3% during this period. The rebound in the morning did not continue with the trend. Now it is very close to the 1300 whole number, but we can't assume that someone will definitely buy at this neat number. I won't rush to judge the bottom for now. The previous surge was strong, which indeed makes people expect another round, but tonight let's first get through the step of stopping the fall.
#ZEC现货ETF连续3日流出，NU7升级临近
$DOGE has retained quite a bit of its gains, still around 0.096 in the evening, up about 3.1% in 24 hours. However, from morning until now, the price hasn't clearly risen further. What it currently deserves more credit for is holding steady rather than accelerating further. If it later consolidates with limited pullback and then pushes upward, I will be more convinced; if it just looks good on the gain charts but the price stays flat, there's no need to chase it out of fear of missing out.
$LINK basically remained flat today, still down about 4.4% over the past week, with no outstanding short-term performance. What makes me hesitate is that there are many reasons to be optimistic long-term, but the current price hasn't given the same positive response. These two things can coexist. Researching the project can be done slowly, but short-term participation can't rely solely on belief. If there is still a lack of active upward movement tonight, I will put it on the watchlist first and won't rush to turn optimism into a position. As of October 5, about 1.5 million ETH are waiting to enter the Ethereum staking queue, valued at approximately $4 billion, with an expected wait time of about 25 days; meanwhile, about 786,000 ETH are still in the exit queue, with an expected wait of nearly 14 days. On September 29, the exit queue was only about 166,000 ETH but rose to about 851,000 ETH by October 2. The surge in the current exit queue is mainly related to MetaMask's preventive withdrawal of validators following a security$BNB has been strongly defended these past two days, the big brother is truly the big brother!
I opened a 50x long position at 766.4, now at 793, with an unrealized profit of 173.53%. The logic is very clear: after the main force shook out near 766 with a wick, it quickly pulled back, capital continues to flow in, supported by the underlying ecosystem.
Brothers holding positions, don't be greedy, take profits in batches, keep the remaining position at 766 break-even stop loss; if you missed the trade, don't chase the high.
Next, watch for a breakout above 793, a steady hold to see the 800 mark, with support at 780 on pullbacks.
Altcoins are recovering with BNB leading the rise, hitting the rhythm right means winning. #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $BTC $ZEC BTC has attempted to break 87,000 four times in half a month without success; I think it's best not to chase for now.
On 9/21 the highest was 87,399, on 9/23 it touched 87,283, and on 10/2 it reached 87,238.
Today on OKX the highest was 86,994, but it was pushed back down again.
The positive news is real.
Last Friday, the US added only 29,000 jobs in September, while the expectation was about 90,000.
Market concerns about the Federal Reserve continuing to raise interest rates have eased considerably.
BTC has risen from 57,800 at the beginning of July to around 86,600 now, nearly a 50% increase.
But the pressure remains.
The US Dollar Index is about 102.5 today, an 18-month high.
The US 10-year Treasury yield is still near 5.25%, close to the highest since 2002.
You can get over 5% just by holding government bonds, so risk assets are struggling to rise.
There are two more pitfalls ahead.
On 10/14, the September CPI will be released, and on 10/31 is the Mt.Gox repayment deadline.
My approach is to observe and not chase.
If the daily chart holds above 87,400, then consider following.
If it falls below 85,000, avoid for now; the next support is around 84,300.
Do you think it can break through on the fifth attempt, or will it pull back first?
#ThisWeekTheFedWillReleaseSeptemberMeetingMinutes #HormuzStillClosedOPEC+MaintainsNovemberProduction
$BTC $ETH[Old Chive Observation] $ZIL
ZIL is starting to show some movement today.
It's not a sudden pump, but today marks the third migration hard fork node for Zilliqa.
This time, some ZIL held by exchanges will be migrated from the old Legacy addresses to the new Zilliqa EVM addresses.
Binance has previously confirmed that ZIL will be migrated 1:1 to ZILEVM, and spot trading will not be affected.
What’s more noteworthy is the trading volume.
On October 4th, it was about 48 million coins, and today it has expanded to nearly 300 million coins.
The price is currently only around $0.0036, with no particularly exaggerated surge yet.
If the trading volume continues to expand after the migration is completed, ZIL may be able to turn this technical migration into a real market rally.
Entry: $0.00350–$0.00362
Take profit: $0.00385 / $0.00410 / $0.00440 / $0.00480 / $0.00530
Stop loss: $0.00330 Saw $SOL on the ranking list, so I dug into it for you: Recently, its main activity has been the surge in on-chain tokenized stocks, with over $4.4 billion just in September. Also, Circle minted nearly 2.75 billion USDC on it in a week, and Shiba bridged some assets over. In plain terms — money is piling onto this chain, with both meme players and serious investors gathering. But it’s not one of those instantly attractive new coins; it’s mainly a capital game. If you believe its ecosystem will gradually expand, watch it slowly; if not, just ignore it. A word of caution upfront: this little guy’s tendency to halve in value is an old issue, so don’t throw in money you need urgently. My own position is small, just tuition money at most. Today it’s hovering mid-level, volume hasn’t picked up, nothing worth chasing. $SOL $DOGE activity is down 41% YoY to ~46.7K daily addresses, but mining difficulty is ~7× higher than early 2022. Fewer active users doesn’t mean fewer believers—some holders simply bought $DOGE and left it alone. 🐕
#HormuzStillClosed First, let's present the opposing view: Even if the direction of $ZEC is correct, the current position may cause those following the trend to incur higher costs.
The current price is 1,359.19, about 4.16% away from the 1-hour support at 1,302.62, and about 0.65% away from the resistance at 1,368.09. The space is not determined by sentiment; ultimately, it depends on which of these two boundaries is effectively broken first.
There are reasons for both bulls and bears in $ZEC, but looking at the upper and lower boundaries, the comfortable space is actually quite limited.
Both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts are slightly strong, with the current volume at 1.56 times the average volume of the previous 20 bars, showing clear activity. Alignment in direction does not mean unlimited space; the closer to key levels, the more important the subsequent support becomes.
My observation line is clear: Only by standing back above and holding 1,368.09 can the short-term initiative be considered regained; if it breaks below 1,302.62, attention should shift to the 4-hour support at 1,271.09. If pressure continues above, the 4-hour resistance at 1,412.12 is temporarily just a distant reference, not a preset target.
I don’t only share when my judgments are correct. How the price chooses between 1,368.09 and 1,302.62 next will be publicly reviewed in the next round.
If the price continues to move, do you think the trend or the current pressure will be validated first?
The market is volatile; the above is only a market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is Crypto Bull speaking.Brothers, stop paying attention to $ZEC, whoever touches it gets unlucky. Better to focus on altcoins; $CAP is pretty good. I've already made money on my short positions!
Look at the screenshot, CAP current price is 0.065544, I opened a short at 0.07854, with an unrealized profit of 50.03%. Why is it dropping so hard? On-chain data has long been showing red flags — active loans dropped from $67.86 million on September 12 to $61.55 million, and the protocol's 24-hour fees are only 11,000, down 73% from the previous day. No one is using the chain, so what is supporting this pump?
Funding rates are even clearer: CAP's weighted open interest funding rate has dropped to -0.4748%, a negative value meaning shorts are fully dominating, the market is betting on a drop. Spot net inflow also plunged from 9.78 million to 2.2 million, funds are accelerating their exit.
Technically, CAP has fallen from the September high of 0.0775, and the current price of 0.0655 has broken key support. The area from 0.075 to 0.08 is the previous trapped zone; breaking above it would help people get out of their positions. My short at 0.07854 is holding tight $BTC #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ Latest data from Glassnode shows that the trend of BTC whales injecting net deposits into exchanges has stopped. This wave of sell-offs, which began in summer and lasted for over three months (twice the duration of similar trends since 2023), ended in late August and has since been negative. 👉🏻 Short-term impact: Selling pressure has significantly eased. Previously, whales kept dumping coins on exchanges, which meant they were ready to dump at any moment, and market sentiment remained cautious. Now that the dumping has stopped, it has turned into net outflows, and there is less spot supply available for sale on exchanges. Short-term price volatility will be smaller, and resistance will be lighter when testing upwards. Currently, BTC is fluctuating around 86,000, which at least helps bulls stabilize their mindset and reduces the chance of a sudden sharp drop. 👉🏻 Long-term impact: This seems more like supply is gradually tightening. If whales don't send coins to exchanges, it means big players prefer to hold or hold in cold wallets rather than rush to cash out. Historically, similar net outflows have often extended into accumulation phases. If ETF inflows continue or macro positives follow, upside potential will open up more smoothly. Of course, this alone isn't enough; it also depends on whether overall demand can keep up. 👉🏻 Overall judgment: Bullish. Selling pressure is a stone pressing down overhead; once the stone moves, prices can catch their breath and move higher. But don't treat this as a signal of an imminent surge; the market still needs to wait for buying to truly take over. Neutral and bullish, good for observation, not blindly chasing highs. 👉🏻 Beginner's tip: Don't go all in just because you see "end of sell-off." On-chain data is just a reference,The Nasdaq and U.S. Treasury bonds keep hitting new highs, but the crypto market seems indifferent, with pressure above and support below, making the recent market cautious and hesitant.
$OKB is today's leading gainer, boosted by two major positive news: 1. OKXICE has applied to the SEC to launch a tokenized stock trading platform; 2. Tomorrow, October 6th, is the OKX NOW new product launch event. The market has oscillated upward from the 121 support level to the recent high of 128. Currently, the upward momentum has slowed after hitting resistance, but if it holds above 127, the uptrend should continue.
$AAVE is basically hitting a hard bottom on the short side; my short position is down 7 points. The market dipped to around 177 today, and I thought it would break even soon, but unexpectedly, when OKB surged, this one also joined the rally, shooting straight up from 177 to 185. The bullish trend is neatly aligned now—when will this rally end?
$ETH is still maintaining a range-bound pattern, with strong resistance at 2740. The price tested this level several times today but was pushed back to the support near 2700. The upward momentum is too weak; if it rises, shorting is the way to go—chasing longs is out of the question.
The above are just my personal market insights and do not constitute any trading advice.Saw $SOL on the ranking list, so I dug into it for you: Recently, its main activity has been the surge in on-chain tokenized stocks, with over $4.4 billion just in September. Also, Circle minted nearly 2.75 billion USDC on it in a week, and Shiba bridged some assets over. In plain terms — money is piling onto this chain, with both meme players and serious investors gathering. But it’s not one of those instantly attractive new coins; it’s mainly a capital game. If you believe its ecosystem will gradually expand, watch it slowly; if not, just ignore it. A word of caution upfront: this little guy’s tendency to halve in value is an old issue, so don’t throw in money you need urgently. My own position is small, just tuition money at most. Today it’s hovering mid-level, volume hasn’t picked up, nothing worth chasing. $SOL $OKB perpetual 20x long position, opened at 120.16, now at 127.67, floating profit +125.00%. Before opening the position, monitored the order book, continuous large buy orders appeared around 120.16, showing clear support actions as a platform token.
Main funds are quietly accumulating, I took a light long position with 20x leverage control. Sure enough, after accumulation was complete, the price rocketed upward.
Have set a trailing stop to lock in profits. Understand the order book language, follow the main force's direction to benefit. $ETH $ZEC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要