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Cato_KT
Cato_KT
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补充本周二周三的 #Bitcoin ETF 数据 周二净流入0.232亿,且资金净流入集中在IBIT与FBTC ,净流入幅度较弱 周三净流入5.248亿,其中IBIT 与FBTC为主要净流入,且其他口径也出现普遍流入 结合周一资金净流入,那么本周的前三天整体处于资金回流阶段,但是问题也来了,结合盘面可以看到,周一与周三ETF 资金净流入单日超过5亿,属于较强回流 加密市场方面,对比周一情况来看稍显乐观,资金总量并未再次减少保持3047亿不变,其中USDT出现3.55亿净流出,不过USDC净流入1.43亿,加密资金已经暂停了单方面净流出 那么问题来了, ETF资金回流市场,加密市场资金也并未出现持续净流出,但是周二周三的盘面上涨却相对乏力,而今晚 $BTC 价格下跌也相对顺畅,这意味着市场信心依旧不足,尤其目前行情并未选择方向,多空博弈依旧较强!#ETF买盘持续回流,BTC为何仍未走强?
Cato_KT
Cato_KT
#Bitcoin ETF data for Monday hasn't been released yet, but the short-term market logic remains very simple. Referring to previous analysis, it is still within the 80,000–83,000 consolidation range. Unless there is an effective 4-hour level breakout or breakdown and a stable hold, continue to consider it as consolidation. Since the price is testing the 83,000 resistance again in the short term intraday, the pullback reference is around 80,000. It is important to note that the support around 80,000 has been tested twice consecutively during this period, consuming some support buy orders. The next test needs to observe whether there is volume testing the support and an effective rebound, which is crucial to determine if the 80,000 support is valid. Regarding market data, compared to October 18 data, ignoring simple market cap ratio and trading volume for now, focus on capital flow. Overall market cap remains unchanged, USDT slightly increased by 44 million, but USDC net outflow was 84 million. Although ETF data is lacking, based on market trends and crypto capital movements, Monday's ETF funds have increased somewhat, but not significantly. If Monday's ETF net inflow is less than 100 million, the capital flow is not reversed, so caution is still needed. As always, price rises and rebounds must be validated by capital data. Rebounds without capital support should be wary of false breakouts! #机构资金转弱,BTC与ETH谁先迎来回流?

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