
Crypto_猫哥
推特同名@Crypto_猫哥 币圈八年老韭菜 擅长抓二级妖币、一级金狗带群友吃了几千X的$Pnut、$Goat 挑战1WU到100WU 点点关注、关注必回
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$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
Conclusion first
We are currently near the end of the bear market. Even to be cautious, you should build a position of 30%
Large funds prioritize BTC/ETH/SOL/OKB
If you don't have much capital, you can lay in some quality altcoins like ENA/AAVE/PUMP
Currently, I have opened a live contract trading on OK Planet, challenging to turn 10,000 into 100,000. Of course, I don't recommend everyone to trade contracts. My large positions are all spot. But without live trading, it's not as engaging. After all, talking is no match for actual operation
I hope brothers can help by following me, I will definitely follow back
Let's all get rich together
$ETH
$ETH Review of yesterday's view: Yesterday, it was judged that Ethereum had already broken through the three-day moving average resistance, challenging the weekly level, with the key resistance zone above at 2379-2459.
The market showed strong performance, rebounding to a high of 2380, entering our predicted resistance zone.
Focus on whether it can effectively break through here. If it doesn't pause and breaks through directly, the next target is 2556. Upon reaching this level, risk vigilance must be heightened.
The core support below remains at 2049.
Once Ethereum successfully takes down the weekly resistance and the MACD stabilizes above the weekly zero line, it basically signals that Ethereum has officially entered a bull market.
Currently, it is in the late bear, early bull stage; firmly avoid shorting, as this is a window for spot buying.
⚠️Key point: Ethereum can be regarded as a leading indicator for Bitcoin.
If Ethereum breaks through the weekly resistance without any pause, Bitcoin is very likely to replicate the same trend.
Therefore, more attention should be focused on Ethereum's market changes going forward.

$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
$BTC Review of yesterday's view: Yesterday, it was judged that Bitcoin had already broken through the two-day and three-day moving average boxes. The market was indeed very strong, reaching a high of 75800, with a cumulative rise of more than ten thousand points since this rebound started.
Bitcoin is unlikely to fall back to the 50,000 range; the major core support is at 65500. Combining multiple period indicators, it is judged that the bottom has most likely been completed, and the market is entering the late bear and early bull phase. Reminder to seize the spot investment window.
The current price has fallen back to around 74400.
Originally expected a pullback when reaching the three-day moving average position, but the market strength far exceeded expectations, pushing directly to the key resistance area of the weekly line. The weekly level is the most important cycle to confirm the start of a major bull market.
Weekly strong resistance range is 77000‑78000; focus on the market reaction of the price here.
If the weekly resistance is effectively broken, it will not be just an ordinary rebound; there is a high probability of directly starting a weekly-level trend rise.
Trading strategy:
At this stage, it is suitable for spot dollar-cost averaging layout. If you don't participate in this window, you will only regret it later

$BTC
Shorted at 78,000-80,000.
Won't fully short below 80,000, the cost-effectiveness of shorting is very low.
This is a breakout from a three-month bottom consolidation range; generally, even if shorting, it would likely take about a month to drop.
During this period, as long as you catch any hot coin in any sector, you can gain over 20%.
With confirmed upward trends and uncertain downward trends, you should buy the rise, especially since weekends are unique to the crypto market, with a high probability of good memes emerging. Now is the time to start paying attention to these again.




$BTC
The current market trend is consistent with previous judgments. The indicators and charts are exactly the same as the last bottom, and the price has followed the same trend. A large bullish candlestick instantly revived the market.
I will tell you my thoughts in the most straightforward and direct way.
According to the pattern I observe, the key resistance levels for the rebound are 76,000, 81,000, and 94,000 above. My view is that if the price can reach the third resistance level near 94,000, this might be a selling opportunity.
I believe the probability of a direct bull run breaking new highs right now is relatively low, or it might not exist because the cycle hasn't arrived yet. The real bull run timing should be after June 2027, so the overall idea is that before June 2027, the market is in an adjustment cycle. Consider selling high at the peak of this rebound, then think about buying back during the subsequent adjustments.

$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
Principal 10,000 challenge
It's been almost a month now
Just doubled
10,000 to 20,000
Brothers, tell me, should I challenge 20,000 to 40,000?
Or withdraw the principal and continue the 10,000 doubling challenge?
Brothers who haven't followed, please follow, I'll continue analyzing my market analysis
At least I dare to open a real account, right?
Surpassing 99% of the hype bloggers

$BTC
First, let's determine whether this unexpected rise is a trend reversal or just a rebound.
The long-term moving average at 69000 can be seen as the bull-bear line; the price crossing it from below indicates a shift to an uptrend, with the target at the upper limit.
The long-term liquidation pain point at 70594-70831 was decisively broken through and held, making this level a strong support and can be considered a trend reversal. The next target is around 75000, also indicating a trend reversal.
The conclusions from both indicators are quite consistent: the trend has shifted from searching for a bottom >> building a base to rising, with the key points and support between 69000-70000.
Next, where are the targets and resistances?
The first consolidation zone is at 72182-72477; holding above 72477 will continue the upward movement, with the first target being the highest sell order at 73110. Breaking through this can lead to 75000.
The 75000 level will face a real challenge, as both liquidation pain points and chip vacuum point to this level.
Also, pay attention to the short-term 71800 level; if it is filled back, the short-term uptrend may temporarily end and enter consolidation. Most importantly, the 70000-69000 range is critical; if broken down, the entire trend may shift to a correction.


$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
Speaking of US stocks and then about Bitcoin, the expected reversal at 3 AM to pick up people didn't happen. Bitcoin surged straight to the classic 72,000 level, which has blocked us for more than half a year into 2024.
The 72k level is not only the EMA200 daily line but was also once regarded as a strong support after the 120k peak correction, holding high hopes. But as everyone knows, Bitcoin lingered around 60k for a long time and even once fell below 60k.
From the crypto market logic alone, the repeated unsuccessful tests of 62k and the continuous macro easing indeed suggest it should rise. Moreover, once it starts to rally, the speed will be very fast, leaving most family members still playing in US stocks behind. After all, according to the altcoin pump-and-dump logic, the faster the pump, the more money saved—first, retail investors can't get on board in time; second, after chasing the rally, retail investors have high costs, which easily forms a chip peak at the high level, acting as resistance for the next rise or fall.
Yesterday, from the contract perspective, I observed that open interest didn't rise but fell. Today's information shows this rally is led by spot trading. Generally, when the market is driven by spot, it tends to be more sustained and harder to fall. Also, there are no signs of exhaustion now, and below 80k, there isn't any significant resistance. So, provided the macro environment doesn't worsen (there's still about a week of time difference anyway), this round still has enough time and momentum to test the weekly EMA100 resistance around 75-78k.

$BTC
Current BTC market situation, I still have remaining positions personally, and I plan to prepare for two scenarios:
(1) STH-RP right-side confirmation: If BTC can hold above the short-term holders' real cost price STH-RP, then follow the trend on the right side.
(2) After recently backtesting various data models, the reason I still have 40% of my position unfilled is: I can't let go of the traditional four-year halving cycle in my heart. In past halving cycles, the MVRV trend clearly overlapped. Currently, August 23 to the end of August is an important observation window. If BTC does not show a significant pullback during this period, it indicates that this cycle is deviating from the traditional four-year cycle structure.
(3) Another important reason is that in the traditional four-year cycle, the time from top to bottom is basically one year. By this calculation, early October would be the BTC bottom. However, now that institutions have entered, the cycle rhythm may really be deviating from the traditional four-year cycle structure. By the end of this year, it will be clear whether this cycle has changed.
(Purely personal crypto trading sharing, not investment advice, each responsible for their own profits and losses)




$BTC
This wave surged, breaking through the short-term traders' cost line (currently at 72k) all at once.
This is the third time in this bear cycle that the short-term traders' cost line has been touched; the previous two times it was pushed down.
Those were at 98k and 82k respectively...
Yesterday it broke through 67k, marking the third time, and currently there is a 4000-point margin between 71k and 67k..
It looks like the possibility of holding steady is pretty good..
So for now, short-term bullish outlook can continue.
However, it is still some distance from the bull-bear dividing line of the long-term cycle (such as the 4-year cycle) TMM, which is currently at 76k..
If it can break through the 76k TMM like it did the 67k level later on, that might truly be the time to call a bull market return.


