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Cato_KT
Cato_KT
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目前的宏观环境好不好?市场给出了答案 高利率+高通胀预期+高油价+消费走弱+滞胀预期初现+债市风险,面对这个宏观环境,我不是太相信 #Bitcoin 可以真的逆着宏观恶劣环境与美股的逆势开启新趋势 独属于加密的利好,经过了昨天晚间到今天日内的连续发酵,到底还剩多少动力?这才是当下 #BTC 最应该关注的问题,失去行业利好,目前BTC价格上涨还能维持多久,这是我们要面对的现实问题 当然除了宏观环境与行业利好之外,更应该关注推动价格的数据因素,也就是ETF与加密资金的净流入,19日ETF净流入创下3个月最高数据,接下来关注到下周,ETF是否还能保持稳定净流入,还是逐渐递减,直至回归净流入。而加密主流资金USDT/USDC 逻辑也是如此。 盘面的话,目前最乐观就是在本周摸一下74,200附近了, 接下来的宏观不确定性还是蛮高的,下周还有 英伟达财报+核心PCE在,显然加密目前的“政策市”未必能扛得住!#BTC突破72000美元,本轮上涨能否延续?
Cato_KT
Cato_KT
Of course, besides the macro and policy-driven positive sentiment, #Bitcoin's rise also requires certain data support, with the most critical being the net inflow of ETFs and the situation of mainstream crypto funds. On the U.S. trading day of August 19, BTC ETF had a single-day net inflow of $517.2 million, marking the third consecutive net inflow this week and the largest single-day net inflow in nearly three months. Most importantly, this ETF net inflow was not solely concentrated in IBIT; 45% of the net inflow came from other ETF providers. Clearly, the macro and policy benefits have short-term stimulated an increase in broad buying sentiment. Regarding crypto market data, a comparison was made between August 18 and current data: 1. In terms of short-term market cap growth, aside from #BTC, the largest increase was in #ETH, indicating that bullish optimism is gradually spreading. 2. Overall trading volume doubled, with BTC increasing 2.5 times and ETH increasing 5 times, showing a sharp surge in ETH's short-term trading volume. 3. In terms of funds, the total market capital net inflow increased by $1.1 billion, but the main funds came from a $436 million net inflow provided by USDC; USDT did not show a significant net inflow. Overall, the crypto market data looks optimistic, with expanding positive sentiment, increased trading volume, capital returning to the U.S. market, and ETF data corroborating each other. Data is one of the main factors further validating and supporting the price increase. #BTC突破72000美元,本轮上涨能否延续?

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