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OKX 2024最佳Builder Meme | 美股 | 宏觀 | 碎碎念 | DYOR

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Next Billion Ticket Vol.01|AI Power: The End of Computing Power is Energy
Over the past two years, the whole world has been scrambling for GPUs. Tech companies are competing for chips, sovereign wealth funds are investing in data centers, and governments are incorporating AI into their industrial strategies. The capital market once believed that as long as you had more high-performance chips, you could secure a ticket to the AI era. As data centers are being built one after another, a new bottleneck has emerged: chips can be obtained, but electricity supply is not guaranteed. Training models requires electricity, inference requires electricity, and server cooling also requires electricity. How fast data centers can continue to be built now depends on local grid capacity, substation equipment, power generation structure, land, water resources, and administrative permits. The AI competition is expanding from a chip war into a global race for energy and infrastructure. A data center is becoming an industrial city. Traditional internet data centers mainly handle search, e-commerce, video, and cloud storage. With the emergence of generative AI, computing density has significantly increased, requiring a large number of GPUs to run continuously for long periods, and cooling systems must expand accordingly. The International Energy Agency estimates that global data center electricity consumption will reach about 945 TWh by 2030, exceeding Japan's current annual electricity consumption. From 2024 to 2030, data center electricity demand is expected to grow about 15% annually, a rate more than four times that of other electricity sectors. Among this, AI-driven accelerated server electricity consumption is expected to grow about 30% annually. The United States and China are expected to contribute nearly 80% of the global increase in data center electricity consumption. By 2030, data centers may account for nearly half of the growth in U.S. electricity demand. U.S. Department of Energy
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Disappearing Industry Giants Vol.01|Blockbuster: 9,000 Stores Worldwide, Bankrupt in Six Years
In the 1990s, many American families had a fixed weekend routine: driving to the nearby Blockbuster, discussing what movie to watch tonight in front of a whole wall of videotapes, then taking home several boxes of movies. That blue and yellow sign was once as ubiquitous in cities as McDonald's. What it seemed to sell was movie rentals, but what it truly occupied was the gateway to home entertainment. By the end of 2005, Blockbuster had over 9,000 stores in the United States and 24 other countries. Its vast physical network, film inventory, and brand recognition made it the undisputed leader in the global video rental industry. Just five years later, Blockbuster filed for bankruptcy protection. How could an industry leader with global stores, tens of millions of customers, and a strong brand exit the market in such a short time? Blockbuster benefited from the boom in home entertainment. Founded in 1985, at that time, cable TV was just beginning to spread in the U.S., home entertainment demand outside of cinemas was rapidly growing, and VCRs were gradually entering middle-class households. Watching movies was still limited by time and space. TV programs aired according to schedules, cinemas had fixed showtimes, and consumers who wanted to decide when to watch had almost no choice but videotapes. Blockbuster transformed scattered small video stores into standardized chain businesses. With uniform storefronts, centralized purchasing, computerized inventory management, and opening stores in the growing suburbs. This model hit multiple trends in the U.S. economy at the time: suburban population expansion, mature car culture, growth in commercial real estate, and increased household spending power. The more Blockbuster stores there were
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#美联储7月FOMC纪要9比3,官员加息分歧仍在 The July FOMC meeting of the Federal Reserve ended with a 9 to 3 vote to keep interest rates at 3.5% to 3.75%, but three officials advocated for a 25 basis point hike. This division signals that consensus on U.S. monetary policy is loosening. On one side, with cooling CPI, weakening employment and consumption, continuing to raise rates could put greater pressure on the economy; on the other side, inflation risks from energy, tariffs, and AI capital expenditures make some officials reluctant to ease up. Looking back at the late stage of the 2018 rate hike cycle, internal Fed positions fluctuated, causing sharp revaluations in the dollar, U.S. bonds, and global risk assets. Similar pressures are emerging again now. As long as U.S. rates remain high, funding costs will continue to transmit to real estate, emerging markets, and highly leveraged companies. More notably, the minutes for the first time included AI infrastructure financing, overvaluation, and U.S. Treasury volatility as financial stability risks. The AI boom is shifting from a technology race to a capital race. When large-scale construction depends on debt and long-term financing, interest rates become the key factor determining whether valuations can hold. The probability of a pause in rate hikes in September is high, but what global markets truly face is that high rates may persist longer than expected.
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Almost Dead Company Vol.13|Relying on Government Guarantees and Buffett’s Lifeline, Why Did GE Come Back to Life Only After Breaking Itself Up?
AI trading in 2026 is spreading from chips all the way to power systems. Data centers require gas turbines, transformers, transmission equipment, and a stable power grid. Traditional industrial assets, once shunned by the capital markets for many years, have suddenly taken center stage in the tech wave. In the second quarter of this year, GE Vernova's orders reached $24.2 billion, an 88% year-over-year increase; backlog orders rose to $176 billion, with electrification orders related to data centers exceeding $5 billion in the first half of the year, more than double the total for 2025. Meanwhile, GE Aerospace's second-quarter revenue was $13.3 billion, up 21% year-over-year, with orders increasing 17% to $16.5 billion, and free cash flow growing 43% to $3 billion. Both companies raised their full-year guidance simultaneously. It's hard to imagine that these popular assets were once packed into the same vast empire, which in 2008 needed government credit, Buffett, and capital markets to simultaneously bail it out. GE's turnaround is also quite special. It did not restore the original company intact but spent more than a decade selling assets and repaying debts, ultimately splitting itself into three companies. A name that has dominated American business history for over a century earned the qualification for renewed growth by ending its old era. From light bulbs to the world's largest market capitalization, GE once represented America itself. In 1892, Edison’s companies merged with Thomson-Houston to form General Electric. For more than a century thereafter, GE...
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Gm! The little joys of life are hidden in the steam of breakfast, hidden in the sweet dreams before sleep. 1️⃣ Trump met with executives from multiple crypto companies at the White House, urging Congress to pass the CLARITY Act to further clarify the classification of digital tokens and the regulatory division of labor between the SEC and CFTC. The news boosted market risk appetite, with Bitcoin briefly surpassing $70,000. 2️⃣ The Solana Meme sector is warming up again, with TROLL becoming the focus of funds this round. The coin price is about $0.048, up 14.4% in 24 hours, with a market cap of about $48 million and a trading volume of about $3 million. Currently, there are no clear project benefits; the market is still mainly driven by fund rotation and sentiment. 3️⃣ Moderna and Merck's personalized mRNA cancer therapy reached its primary endpoint in a phase 3 trial. After the announcement, Moderna surged 177%, Merck rose 12.6%, and the commercial potential of mRNA technology has extended from traditional vaccines to cancer treatment. 4️⃣ The U.S. Treasury announced that starting September 9, the single purchase limit for 10- to 30-year U.S. Treasury securities will be raised from $2 billion to at least $4 billion. Long-term yields immediately fell, temporarily easing liquidity and financing cost pressures in the bond market, also driving the dollar weaker and gold and crypto assets to rebound. $BTC $SOL $ETH
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#财报观察员:小米Q2财报出炉,是汽车救场还是手机拖后腿? Xiaomi's Q2 revenue reached ¥108.9 billion, down 6.1% year-over-year; adjusted net profit was ¥6.2 billion, a decline of 42.6%. On the surface, it looks like phones are dragging down performance while automotive is growing, but the deeper change is that the global manufacturing profit pool is being redistributed. Phone revenue fell 7.5%, shipments dropped 26.5%, yet the average selling price increased by 25.9%. Xiaomi is shrinking its low-price segment, using premiumization to offset rising storage chip costs, consumer weakness, and fierce competition. Automotive revenue was ¥23.9 billion, up 15.9% year-over-year, with deliveries increasing 28.2%. However, new businesses including automotive and AI still recorded an operating loss of ¥2.6 billion. Currently, automotive acts more like a second growth curve and has not fully taken over the profit role from phones. Since 2007, the iPhone shifted the electronics industry's profit center from PCs to smartphones; today, smart cars are becoming the new hardware entry point. Phones connect people, while cars also connect energy, AI, supply chains, and finance, with heavier capital investment. This financial report reflects that Xiaomi is leveraging the brand, channels, and ecosystem accumulated from phones to buy a ticket into the automotive era. Short-term profits will be under pressure, and long-term success depends on whether automotive can maintain gross margins after scaling up, while stabilizing the phone base. #小米财报 #智能汽车 #宏观经济
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Almost Dead Company Vol.12|Three Years of Consecutive Losses, Layoffs, and Factory Closures: How Micron Survived to Become the "Memory King" of the AI Era
On August 18, the US stock AI sector collectively cooled down, with Micron dropping about 7% in a single day, becoming one of the most prominent companies in the semiconductor sell-off. This decline is not hard to understand. Since the beginning of 2026, Micron's stock price had once surged about threefold, with the market already pricing in AI memory shortages, product price increases, and high profit margins. The 30-year US Treasury yield also rose to its highest level since 2007, prompting investors to reconsider a question: can the money earned by the AI industry cover the increasingly expensive capital costs? However, if we look back three years, Wall Street was worried about something else: how long Micron would continue to lose money. In fiscal year 2023, the company's revenue fell from $30.76 billion to $15.54 billion, nearly halving; gross margin dropped from 45% to negative 9%, with a full-year net loss of $5.83 billion. By the third quarter of fiscal year 2026, Micron's single-quarter revenue had reached $41.46 billion, with GAAP net profit of $28.24 billion, both setting records. A company once regarded as a "cyclical stock selling commodity chips" has, in just three years, become one of the most profitable segments in AI infrastructure. This turnaround may seem sudden, but behind it lies a survival history spanning more than forty years. When Intel left the memory business, Micron chose to stay. Micron was founded in 1978, starting in Boise, Idaho, USA. The early DRAM market was dominated by American companies, but by the 1980s, Japanese manufacturers quickly took market share with advantages in yield, scale, and price.
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Gm! Don't dwell on past regrets, don't worry about the unknown future, live well in every present moment $BTC $xQQQ
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#30年期美债收益率创2007年以来新高 The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield once rose to 5.33%, with the 10-year also near 4.72%. What truly deserves attention is that global long-term capital is being repriced. When long-term U.S. Treasury rates were high in 2007, the market underestimated the fragility of the real estate and financial systems; today's risks are different, with pressure mainly coming from the expanding U.S. fiscal deficit, increased government bond supply, oil prices pushing up inflation expectations, and the massive financing demand brought by AI infrastructure. Both the government and tech giants are borrowing simultaneously, so capital naturally demands higher returns. This sell-off has also spread to Japan and Europe. Japan's 10-year government bond yield has risen to nearly a 30-year high, indicating that the era of cheap money is receding globally. If long-term bond yields remain elevated, the impact will transmit layer by layer: increased U.S. government interest expenses, higher corporate financing and AI expansion costs, more expensive mortgages and consumer credit, ultimately compressing economic growth and corporate valuations. For U.S. stocks, gold, and BTC, short-term volatility is likely. The market is now concerned not only about how the Federal Reserve will signal next but also about a long-term issue: as the world's largest borrower continues to expand financing, who is willing to pay for it at sufficiently low rates? #美债 #宏观经济 #美股 #黄金 #BTC
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Almost Dead Company Vol.11|The PC Empire Left Behind by the Times, Dell Hits the Mark on AI with a $67 Billion Bet
Dell in 2026 looks like a veteran PC stock that suddenly crashed the AI party. In the latest fiscal quarter ending May 1, Dell's revenue was $43.842 billion, an 88% year-over-year increase; among this, AI-optimized server revenue reached $16.132 billion, soaring 757%. The company has AI server backlog orders totaling $51.3 billion and has raised its related revenue guidance for this fiscal year to $60 billion. On August 12, the strong outlook from CoreWeave and Super Micro reignited AI infrastructure trading, and Dell's stock price rose about 5% that day. Many only then realized that Dell, once famous for "ordering computers by phone" and later almost forgotten by the mobile internet era, has now positioned itself at the core of AI data centers. But this comeback took a full thirteen years. The biggest fear for the PC empire is that consumers no longer need PCs. In 1984, Michael Dell started his business in a college dorm. He cut out distributors and assembled computers directly according to customer needs, using low inventory and fast turnover to defeat traditional manufacturers. This model propelled Dell to the global PC throne and made Michael Dell one of the youngest Fortune 500 CEOs in tech history. The problem is that past advantages can also become path dependencies. With the rise of smartphones and tablets, the entry point for personal computing began to shift. PCs became increasingly standardized, prices more transparent, and consumers extended their device replacement cycles. Dell's expertise in supply chain eff