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FED CHEAP CHIA - VOLATILE MARKET
The most notable point right now is not whether the Fed will cut interest rates, but the division within the Fed itself, which has become increasingly clear through recent speeches. Previously, the Fed always tried to convey a unified message to stabilize market expectations. But currently, officials are presenting different perspectives on the outlook for the U.S. economy. The "dovish" camp believes: * Inflation has decreased significantly from the 2022 peak. * The labor market is starting to cool down, with hiring slowing down
The crypto market today is still in a "tense as a tightrope" state.
BTC continues to fluctuate around the 62,000–63,000 USD range, unable to break out as new capital remains quite weak. Altcoins are also under selling pressure, mostly slightly down with no clear leading group emerging.
In my opinion, there are 3 notable factors in the market currently:
• ETF capital flow has not yet truly returned strongly, causing buying power to be insufficient to create a sustainable upward momentum.
• The incident related to the Coldcard hardware wallet continues to affect investor sentiment, increasing caution across the market.
• On the macro side, the easing of US-Iran tensions has led to a drop in oil prices, but that is still not enough to pull capital back into risky assets like crypto.
Personal view: this is still a phase where risk management should be prioritized over FOMO. If Bitcoin holds the current support zone and capital flow improves in the next few sessions, the market could see a notable rebound. Otherwise, if this zone is lost, there is likely to be another shakeout before a new trend is confirmed.
The market right now is not lacking opportunities, just patience.
#30YrYieldTopOrStart #USJapanYenIntervention #EarningsWeekAhead $BTC $ETH $GRVT
🇺🇸⚔️🇮🇷
The US-Iran war has not yet cooled down, but in recent days there have been more positive signals as both sides have returned to the negotiating table. After months of escalation with airstrikes, military retaliation and tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, Washington has said it will prioritize diplomacy over expanding military operations. President Donald Trump confirmed that a new round of talks with Iran will take place, and insisted that no deadline has been set for reaching an agreement