交易员刺客
交易员刺客
刺客社区创始人，绿洲大学联合创始人，香港web3协会会员，新加坡区块链中文大使，推特华语区块链头部KOL，著名kol“飞哥定投策略”老师，2024年okx交易嘉年华第一名，2016年开始布道区块链。2026年打算完成8个挑战，3个挑战500到5wu，3个挑战4w到10wu，2个挑战1000到10wu。
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The only disciple @飞哥定投策略
Challenge from 50,000u to 150,000u
Today is day 48
Currently about to reach 12.5wu
Today's single-day contribution is currently 6.4k
Single-day compound interest 5.6%
I am a firm believer in the compound interest strategy
Currently still holding BTC
$BTC
During Japan's economic downturn, a group of big winners indeed emerged, and the underlying patterns are very clear. Understanding these offers many insights for our current investments.
First, excel at affordable alternatives. In an economic downturn, when everyone's wallets are tight, whoever can turn "cheap but good" into a model will win. Uniqlo, Saizeriya, and Daiso have all capitalized on this wave of consumption downgrading.
Second, be a bottom-fishing vulture. After the bubble burst, the market was full of bloodied chips. Foreign capital bought long-term credit banks at low prices, and Nidec selectively acquired companies facing operational difficulties. Assets being cheap enough is the biggest advantage.
Third, resolutely go overseas. With no domestic demand, Nintendo, Sony, and anime IPs earn huge profits from overseas markets. Instead of trampling each other in a zero-sum game, seek opportunities in growing markets.
Fourth, cash is king. During deflation, prices don't rise, so holding cash actually increases purchasing power. Those who avoid leverage and reckless investments end up as winners in the end.
Considering the current macro environment, how do we survive in the crypto space?
The current market also features high interest rates and recession shadows. Don't chase inflated narratives without real business support; capital is looking for a safety cushion. You must hold sufficient USDT or Bitcoin, and absolutely control your hands—avoid reckless high leverage. Only by surviving and waiting for the bubble to clear will you have bullets to bottom-fish those bloodied chips.
Study history more, take fewer detours. Stay steady, endure the cycle, and you will be a winner. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #SpaceX业绩大增，与特斯拉合并能否推进？
Today's market looks vibrant, but when I reveal the cards, there are hidden currents beneath the surface.
Today's market looks lively, but when I dig deeper, there are hidden currents beneath the surface. BTC has now returned to 82,800, down 1.5%, which looks quite strong. But don't rush to get excited. I took a closer look at yesterday's US tech earnings reports, and these tech giants' books are walking a tightrope. First, Meta reported revenue of 64.6 billion, up 26% year-over-year, which looks impressive, right? But when I checked the cash flow, I was shocked—free cash flow was negative 2.12 billion. They plan to spend 135 to 145 billion dollars this year on AI infrastructure, and all the money earned is going into that computing power hole. Then Tesla's revenue was flat, but operating profit was cut in half, plunging 56%. These two earnings reports highlight a core issue: AI investments are still bleeding cash wildly, and profit realization is far off. The only bright spot is AMD, whose preliminary revenue guidance far exceeded expectations, indicating that demand for underlying hardware remains solid. On the macro side, it's also worrying. The UK's September CPI surged again to 3.5%, meaning the root of inflation hasn't been removed, and the global high-interest rate squeeze remains effective. Last night, the Nasdaq rose 1.05%, mostly a sentiment-driven oversold rebound, not a fundamental turnaround. Back to my main battlefield. BTC is now at 84,341. The 85,000 to 85,600 range is a tough nut to crack, where a large number of short liquidation positions have gathered, and it's also a supply pressure zone clearly indicated by Glassnode. Looking up, resistance is heavy. Looking down, 83,600 to 83,950 is a dense area of long liquidations, very close to the current price. This means
I'm watching the market closely, this long position at 80888, and this is how I reason it out.
First, the technical aspect. The 80888 level is just above the 80,000 round number. Recently, Bitcoin has been wicking up and down, and several times when it dropped near 80,000, it was strongly supported, indicating very strong spot buying pressure here. From the price structure perspective, 80,000 is the bottom line that bulls are defending to the death. Entering at 80888 is very close to this defense line, so the cost of defense is very low. Calculating the risk-reward ratio, this trade is worthwhile. Looking upward, 82888 is a previous dense resistance zone and the first major hurdle in this rebound wave; taking profits there is reasonable.
Next, the news aspect. The Federal Reserve is currently in a quiet period, so the biggest short-term macro downside risk is temporarily absent. Although ETF funds are flowing in and out, some large whales have quietly been accumulating below 80,000, with institutions supporting the bottom. As long as the market doesn't experience a black swan crash, there is room for sentiment to recover and rebound.
My entry and exit rules are strict. Enter at 80888, with a stop loss tightly set at 79800. If the price effectively breaks below 80,000 and fails to recover, it means the bulls' defense line has completely collapsed; I will unconditionally admit defeat and exit, absolutely not holding the position. The target is 82888; when it reaches this level, I will close out most of the position and pocket the real money. The remaining base position will see if it can test above 83500. For every 300-point price increase, I will raise the stop loss by 150 points, locking in profits step by step. $BTC
+781.17 USDT
+37.55%Snapshot at Oct 22, 2026, 11:48
$BTC
Dreams really are the opposite! At 5 o'clock, I dreamed of leading you all to liquidation!
Now that I’m up, I realize
it’s not liquidation
it’s getting rich
Thanks btc
#JPMorgan Includes Bitcoin in Long-Term Return Forecast for the First Time
JPMorgan finally couldn't hold back and unprecedentedly included Bitcoin in their "Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions." What does this mean? A top traditional Wall Street giant has officially recognized Bitcoin as part of the asset allocation pool.
The report provides specific figures: a baseline annualized return of 10% over the next decade, an optimistic 17%, and a pessimistic -9.7%. However, they also clearly pointed out the issues, stating Bitcoin's annualized volatility is as high as 55%, and its correlation with traditional assets is unstable, which limits its value as a diversification tool. Bitwise's investment officer immediately responded, saying JPMorgan is too conservative, underestimating returns and overestimating volatility.
Actually, these numbers are just the surface. The comment below truly sees the essence: JPMorgan's bullish logic on Bitcoin mainly bets on money printing competing with gold, which has little to do with the coin itself.
Think carefully about this statement. Traditional institutions buying Bitcoin are not driven by faith in decentralization; they are forced. Global debt is out of control, inflation hovers like a ghost, and fiat purchasing power shrinks daily. The traditional stock-bond allocation model is increasingly difficult to hedge, so large funds must find a non-sovereign hard asset as a backstop. Bitcoin is that outlet.
But what does this have to do with our short-term trading? Absolutely nothing. This is a ten-year script meant for long-term institutional allocation. They can tolerate 55% volatility because their cycles are long. If ordinary people read this report and rush in to go all-in now, they are joking with their principal. $BTC