$BTC has recently been fluctuating repeatedly between 81,000 and 84,000. This pattern reminds me of the previous oscillation between 76,000 and 79,000, which eventually led to a sharp drop followed by a new market trend. In my personal view, there are roughly two possibilities for the next month:
One is a breakout above 85,000, pushing towards around 90,000, then falling back to oscillate between 75,000 and 80,000, before finding a bottom and support to start another trend. The other is continuing to fluctuate for a few days before breaking below 80,000, initially consolidating around 78,000, then further dropping near 75,000.
If it really pulls back to the 75,000–80,000 range, I think it should be a good second entry opportunity. Of course, this is just my personal speculation and does not mean the market will definitely follow this script.
The crypto market has strong cyclicality, but short-term volatility and long-term trends are different matters. No one can predict every time accurately. What really matters is not guessing every high and low point, but optimizing buy and sell positions as much as possible to reduce ineffective holdings and the repeated torment of oscillations.
If you are optimistic about the upcoming crypto market and willing to hold for two to three years, you must accept the short-term bull and bear switches and significant drawdowns in between. Long-term holding does not guarantee profits, but compared to chasing highs and selling lows, it at least tests logic rather than emotions.
$ETH$SOL#机构资金持续流出，BTC能否企稳？
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