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$BTC ETF 上周净流出 3.9 亿美元,机构本来在跑路,结果 8/19 这根大阳线把资金又拽回来了,周一净流入近 3 亿。美联储 9 月加息概率降到 33%,30 年期美债收益率飙到 2007 年以来最高 5.31%,但币圈根本不 care。$ETH 这波走势纯纯魔丸转世,谁也拦不住。 $ETH 怎么打 看图。$ETH 8/19 从 1917 一脚干到 2252,一天涨 17.5%,量能放到 203 亿刀,是前几天的四五倍。8/20 回踩 2222 站住了,8/21 继续上攻摸 2381。MA3 在 2309,MA5 在 2151,多头排列张口,趋势没走完。 资金费率从 0.005% 升到 0.01%,多头每 8 小时开始给空头交租了,但这费率历史上算温的,远没到 0.03% 那种过热线。OI 持仓量 8/20 单日净流入 7.09 亿刀,8/21 又加 1.22 亿,真金白银在追多,不是空头被挤的虚胖。 支撑看 2222(8/20 低点),破了再看 2252(8/19 收盘)。阻力就在头顶 2381,打穿看 2500 整数关。追高风险大,等回踩 2250 附近接更舒服。
colword.std
colword.std
$ETH initial swing operation | Strategy long, $ETH surged from 1868 all the way to 2381, up 25% in 7 days, with a single-day spike of 17.5% on 8/19. This market action is more brain-massaging than a short drama. 3x leverage long on $ETH, buy on pullback at 2250, stop loss at 2218 (below the 8/20 low of 2222), target 2382, break through to watch 2500. Starting with a risk-reward ratio of 4:1. Funding rate flipped from 0.005% to 0.01%, bulls are starting to pay but it's far from overheated. OI net inflow of $830 million over two days, smart money is chasing, not running. Don't chase highs, wait for pullbacks. What's the market fussing about? A-share Black Wednesday, Shanghai Composite dropped 2.4%, ChiNext fell 6.26%, 118 stocks hit limit down. US stocks are indifferent, Dow up slightly 0.22%, Nasdaq up 0.15%, calm and steady. Hong Kong Hang Seng Index closed flat with a 0.09% gain, Hang Seng Tech down 1.21%, tech sector continues to lie low. $BTC and $ETH are completely different dimensions. $BTC surged from 63,000 to 75,000, up 19% in 7 days, with a big bullish candle breaking through the 70,000 integer level on 8/19. $ETH is even more outrageous, charging straight from 1868 to 2381, up a quarter in 7 days, plus 4.4% in 24 hours.

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