交易员刺客
交易员刺客
刺客社区创始人，绿洲大学联合创始人，香港web3协会会员，新加坡区块链中文大使，推特华语区块链头部KOL，著名kol“飞哥定投策略”老师，2024年okx交易嘉年华第一名，2016年开始布道区块链。2026年打算完成8个挑战，3个挑战500到5wu，3个挑战4w到10wu，2个挑战1000到10wu。
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Yesterday 84000 short $BTC
Held on until the end
Currently 81800
Currently 2200 points
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The only disciple @飞哥定投策略
The last $ZEC short position in the live room can be taken profit now, currently no loss exists
Summary of IRYS Surge! And Future Trend Predictions!
The recent surge of IRYS is actually a typical short squeeze market driven by a combination of short squeeze, liquidity hunting, and FOMO sentiment. On the surface, the price doubled or even increased tenfold within 24 hours, making people envious, but when the cards are revealed, it's all a spectacle of speculative capital. Let's first look at the fundamentals. IRYS (Irys) is positioned as a Layer 1 programmable data chain, integrating large-scale data storage and EVM-compatible execution on one chain, targeting AI and DePIN data-intensive scenarios. It was previously called Bundlr Network, with the mainnet launching at the end of November 2025, and it raised about $20 million. The long-term narrative is not bad, especially since the "AI data ownership" label is currently very popular. But the problem is that the pace of delivering this story is far behind the speed of the price surge. On-chain actual usage data has not exploded, the ecosystem has not produced any phenomenal applications, yet the price doubled in a day. This is purely driven by "narrative + trading," not supported by fundamentals. So why did it rise so sharply? The direct trigger is intense capital competition. This rally was accompanied by massive trading volume, such as a single-day turnover exceeding $170 million, even approaching $470 million, while the circulating supply is very small. Shorts were liquidated cleanly within a few hours; the short squeeze combined with volume breakout directly pushed the price into a parabolic curve. Coupled with the frantic buying by Korean retail investors on exchanges like Upbit, FOMO sentiment was completely ignited, and a large amount of buying flooded in, pushing the price to the sky. But the technical indicators have already turned red. The daily chart
$ZEC “flag pattern” is about to form! After bottoming out, it will surge explosively! Public layout!
If ZEC pulls back to the 1088 level, I will enter the market to go long without hesitation.
First, let's talk about the technical aspect. The 1088 level is very critical; it just happens to be near the golden ratio retracement level of this upward trend and is also a strong support zone with a high concentration of previous chips. The previous surge from the bottom was too aggressive, and now it is undergoing a violent shakeout. As long as this defensive line is not broken, the upward trend structure remains intact. Entering at this position offers minimal downside risk and an extremely favorable risk-reward ratio.
Next, consider the fundamentals and capital flow. The core logic of ZEC has not changed; the anticipation of the NU7 upgrade remains, and the reduced block time is a tangible improvement to network performance. Privacy assets still hold unique allocation value under the current strong regulatory environment. Recently, whales have been aggressively accumulating at the bottom, and the main funds are not so easy to withdraw. This recent sell-off is more about clearing out high-leverage floating chips.
My order strategy is very clear. Enter directly near 1088, with a stop loss tightly set just below the 1000 whole number level. If it effectively breaks below 1000, it means the major support has completely collapsed, and I will unconditionally admit defeat and exit, never holding the position. The initial target is 1180; if broken, then look at 1250 or even higher. At 1180, I will close half of the position to lock in principal and some profit. The rest will let profits run, raising the stop loss by 30 points for every 50 points the price rises.
Position size should be controlled at 10% to 15% of total capital, and leverage should not exceed 3x.
#OpenAI valuation downgraded, AI giants face intensified funding competition
The hype in the AI circle is finally being cooled down by capital. OpenAI's pre-money valuation target for the new round of financing has been slashed from 1.4 trillion USD directly to 1.25 trillion USD. Even Middle Eastern tycoons and the UAE sovereign wealth fund had to think twice before leading the investment.
Looking at Anthropic, which is preparing for an IPO, the data is even more alarming. Revenue in the first half of the year was 16.3 billion USD, but the net loss reached a staggering 80.7 billion USD, with potential computing power investments expected to burn through another 750 billion USD. This is not about advancing technology; it's clearly about running a money-burning machine.
These two pieces of news together send a very clear signal: the capital market's valuation logic for AI has changed, shifting from blindly suffocating for dreams to not betting without seeing results. Investors' money doesn't come from thin air, and seeing these bottomless computing power investments and losses, everyone is starting to push for discounts.
What does this have to do with our crypto trading? It matters a lot.
Previously, US tech stocks and the AI computing power sector could soar despite a high-interest environment, relying on expectations of unlimited financing and unlimited money burning. Now that financing is hitting obstacles and valuations are discounted, it means the capital expenditure expectations for the entire AI industry chain may cool down. If even the top AI companies can't get cheap money, the days for those small and medium computing power companies will only get harder.
For BTC, this is a short-term emotional suppression. $OPENAI
