Risks and Challenges: Overbought and Profit Taking Despite the strong rally, short-term risks cannot be ignored: · Technical indicators overbought: The 4-hour RSI has entered the overbought zone, and the ADX indicator is as high as 87.4, indicating that trend momentum may be facing exhaustion. · Profit-taking pressure: After a rapid surge to around 80,000 USD, the market has shown clear signs of profit-taking, with a drop of more than 3% from the high today. · Marginal weakening of geopolitical risks: The US-Iran confrontation that previously boosted safe-haven sentiment is losing its marginal impact on prices after the US Treasury's positive news has been digested. $BTC $ETH $CORE #黄金突破4600美元，债券避险地位受挑战

Eat instantly! $BTC $ETH $SOL #黄金突破4600美元，债券避险地位受挑战

The core contradiction The upward logic still holds — the shorts have not been completely eliminated, and there are still many stop-loss orders waiting to be triggered above 80,000. The downward pressure also exists — a 26% increase in a day, 4-hour RSI at 95, all textbook signs of a major pullback ahead. 72,000-73,000 is the central zone of this short squeeze rally, and 66,000-68,000 is the moving average area. If the rise is to continue, the price needs to hold above these zones. If it breaks below 66,000-68,000, the short squeeze logic fails. The current BTC looks more like a direct confrontation between bulls and bears at the 80,000 threshold. Whoever breaks through the other's defense first will win the home ground for the next phase. $BTC $ETH $CORE #海力士回购落地，三星股东回报待确认

Support Levels and Consequences of Breaking Them First Support (Immediate) $76,000-76,680 Initial holding zone after a rejection at 80,000 Core Support $74,000-75,000 First target zone for a pullback if the 80,000 rejection is confirmed Strong Support $70,000-72,000 Deeper pullback target; if held, the bullish structure remains intact Structural Support $66,500-68,500 If broken, the short squeeze logic fails $BTC $ETH $MOVE #Anthropic拟8月底公开IPO文件，募资或追平SpaceX

Resistance Levels Position Breakthrough Significance Immediate resistance $79,600-80,000 Today's high + psychological barrier, the most critical short-term resistance Next target $82,400-83,000 Logical target zone after breaking 80K Inverse head and shoulders target $85,000-90,000 Pattern measurement target + main supply zone $80,000 is a level that has not been reclaimed since January. Even a brief stand above it is enough to trigger algorithmic buying and short stop losses. But the price has fallen nearly $4,000 from the high, indicating that the selling pressure at this level is real. $BTC $ETH $MOVE #BTC加速拉升，资金还能继续接力吗？

Key observation: Up over 26% in the past 7 days, with an average daily increase of 3.7%, this is a typical parabolic rise. Historically, such extreme stretches are often followed by sharp corrections—not inevitable, but the probability is increasing. So far this week, ETFs have seen a cumulative net inflow of about $1.03 billion, indicating strong demand. However, Coinbase premiums remain moderate; the core driver of this rally is still short squeeze liquidations rather than an explosive return of US spot demand. $BTC $ETH $NOT #海力士回购落地，三星股东回报待确认

Daily level — Breakthrough of key moving averages, inverse head and shoulders pattern confirmed BTC has broken through the 200-day moving average (around $75,094) and the 120-day moving average, confirming the inverse head and shoulders pattern, with a target price pointing to $85,000-$90,000. However, the daily RSI has surged above 84, entering a severe overbought zone. The rebound structure since the June low of 57,808 is still ongoing, but a profit-taking pullback is inevitable after the sharp rise. $BTC $ETH $NOT #BTC加速拉升，资金还能继续接力吗？

Current core signals in the market 4-hour level — completely overbought, but still within trend inertia RSI(14) has surged to the 93-95 range, in an extreme overbought state — this is not just overbought, but the market is extremely stretched in a very short time. The price is testing the upper Bollinger Band (around $79,865), which coincides with the 80,000 level, forming a strong resistance zone. $BTC $ETH $CORE #Anthropic拟8月底公开IPO文件，募资或追平SpaceX

Lower support · $73,660-$73,700: Short-term key support · $68,900: Key support level; if broken, the bullish logic is questioned · $66,665: 4-hour EMA50, the first target for a deep pullback $BTC $ETH $MOVE #海力士回购落地，三星股东回报待确认

This volatility experience is no longer available $BTC $ETH $SOL #Anthropic拟8月底公开IPO文件，募资或追平SpaceX