Nancy🩶

Nancy🩶

OKX 2024最佳Builder Meme | 美股 | 宏觀 | 碎碎念 | DYOR

178Following
372followers

Feed

Pinned
Nancy🩶
Nancy🩶
哈啰大家好😊我是Nancy,喜欢研究市场,更喜欢透过故事了解企业一路走来的挣扎与选择,以及背后的酸甜苦辣,这里每天固定更新四个栏目,让你看懂今天发生什么、过去谁被时代淘汰,以及未来的钱可能往哪里跑 1.【本日快讯】 浓缩币圈、链上meme、美股与全球宏观,没时间刷一百条新闻,看这一篇先抓住今日主线 2.【差点死掉的公司】 拆解知名企业如何跌进谷底,又靠关键决策翻身。这里有危机、有豪赌,还有老板差点睡公园的商业故事 3.【消失的行业霸主】 回顾曾经统治一个时代,最后被技术、消费习惯与产业变迁而消失的霸主。透过研究谁消失,避免陷入危机而不自知 4.【下一张亿万门票】 寻找可能创造巨大市场的未来产业,从AI、能源、机器人到新金融 当然啦!关注Nancy不能一夜暴富,希望能在烦操喧扰的环境下留下一个让你阅读的小空间🩶
Nancy🩶
Nancy🩶
Vanished Industry Giants Vol.02|Kodak: Invented the Digital Camera but Lost to the Digital Era
In 1975, Kodak engineer Steven Sasson created a machine as bulky as a toaster. It had no film, used an electronic photosensitive element to capture images, stored photos on magnetic tape, and had a resolution of only about 0.01 megapixels. After taking a photo, it took more than twenty seconds to wait before connecting to a dedicated device to display it. This machine was later regarded as the world's first digital camera. At that time, Kodak was at the pinnacle of the global photography industry. It owned film, photo paper, chemical materials, cameras, developing equipment, and a worldwide sales network. Digital cameras seemed distant, expensive, and their image quality was far inferior to film. No one expected that the experimental product made by Kodak engineers would dismantle the entire film empire decades later. What it sold was never just a roll of film. In 1888, George Eastman launched the Kodak camera for the mass market. Consumers only needed to press the shutter and then send the camera back to the company for processing; Kodak was responsible for developing, printing, and reloading the film. Photography gradually transformed from a skill of a few professionals into a way for ordinary families to record life. The expansion of the global middle class in the 20th century created an extremely stable growth curve for Kodak. Weddings, travel, graduations, birthdays, the birth of children—every important moment required film, and each roll of film brought demand for developing and photo paper. Cameras were more like low-cost entry points; film, photo paper, and developing services were the long-term profit sources. This model is somewhat similar to later printer cartridges and coffee capsules: first get the device into the home, then continuously profit from each use. Kodak controlled the
Nancy🩶
Nancy🩶
Company That Almost Died Vol.14|How Ford Pledged a Blue Oval to the Bank and Borrowed Lifesaving Money Two Years Early?
Ford in 2026 is doing something very similar to what it did 120 years ago: moving mature manufacturing capabilities into a newly emerging large market. This time, the target is no longer limited to automobiles. In May this year, Ford officially launched Ford Energy, planning to invest about $2 billion to convert existing battery capacity in Kentucky into an energy storage system factory, with deliveries starting at the end of 2027 and a target annual capacity of at least 20 GWh. Customers include power companies, data centers, and large industrial enterprises. Subsequently, it signed a five-year framework agreement with EDF Power Solutions, under which the latter can purchase up to 4 GWh annually, with a potential total of 20 GWh over five years. AI data centers compete for electricity, and the global grid needs to absorb more wind and solar power; energy storage has transformed from a new energy accessory to a fundamental infrastructure for the digital economy. Battery factories, once burdened by electric vehicle investments, now have an outlet toward AI capital expenditures. Ford's revenue in Q2 this year was $48.3 billion, with adjusted EBIT of $2.5 billion, a 17% year-over-year increase; adjusted free cash flow was $2.1 billion, and total liquidity exceeded $43 billion. The company also raised its full-year 2026 adjusted EBIT guidance to $10 billion to $11 billion. These figures look like the normal financial report of a long-established industrial company. Rewind to 2008, Ford was uncertain even whether it could keep the blue oval trademark. The king of assembly lines was first trapped by its own scale. 1908
Nancy🩶
Nancy🩶
Gm! 温柔和坚定是面对生活的两种姿态 1️⃣ 比特币突破7万美元,创6月以来新高,目前报73,643美元。约27亿美元加密空头遭到清算,创CoinGlass统计以来最高纪录,杠杆挤压进一步放大涨势,短线波动也可能随之升高。 2️⃣ Solana Meme板块整体回暖,总市值约30.09亿美元,24小时上涨5.4%,成交量约10.39亿美元。目前未出现单一重大项目利好,主要由BTC上涨与风险偏好回升推动。 3️⃣ 沃尔玛季度同店销售增长2.6%,低于市场预期的3.8%,股价重挫9.2%,单日市值蒸发超过800亿美元。连消费降级时通常受益的沃尔玛都开始放缓,显示高油价与生活成本正在挤压美国消费者。 4️⃣ 国际油价继续上涨,布伦特原油收于93.78美元,WTI收于87.83美元,双双上涨超过2%。中东局势与霍尔木兹海峡供应风险持续升温,油价若维持高位,全球通胀及利率压力恐怕还要延续。 $BTC $SOL
Nancy🩶
Nancy🩶
Next Billion Ticket Vol.01|AI Power: The End of Computing Power is Energy
Over the past two years, the whole world has been scrambling for GPUs. Tech companies are competing for chips, sovereign wealth funds are investing in data centers, and governments are incorporating AI into their industrial strategies. The capital market once believed that as long as you had more high-performance chips, you could secure a ticket to the AI era. As data centers are being built one after another, a new bottleneck has emerged: chips can be obtained, but electricity supply is not guaranteed. Training models requires electricity, inference requires electricity, and server cooling also requires electricity. How fast data centers can continue to be built now depends on local grid capacity, substation equipment, power generation structure, land, water resources, and administrative permits. The AI competition is expanding from a chip war into a global race for energy and infrastructure. A data center is becoming an industrial city. Traditional internet data centers mainly handle search, e-commerce, video, and cloud storage. With the emergence of generative AI, computing density has significantly increased, requiring a large number of GPUs to run continuously for long periods, and cooling systems must expand accordingly. The International Energy Agency estimates that global data center electricity consumption will reach about 945 TWh by 2030, exceeding Japan's current annual electricity consumption. From 2024 to 2030, data center electricity demand is expected to grow about 15% annually, a rate more than four times that of other electricity sectors. Among this, AI-driven accelerated server electricity consumption is expected to grow about 30% annually. The United States and China are expected to contribute nearly 80% of the global increase in data center electricity consumption. By 2030, data centers may account for nearly half of the growth in U.S. electricity demand. U.S. Department of Energy
Nancy🩶
Nancy🩶
Disappearing Industry Giants Vol.01|Blockbuster: 9,000 Stores Worldwide, Bankrupt in Six Years
In the 1990s, many American families had a fixed weekend routine: driving to the nearby Blockbuster, discussing what movie to watch tonight in front of a whole wall of videotapes, then taking home several boxes of movies. That blue and yellow sign was once as ubiquitous in cities as McDonald's. What it seemed to sell was movie rentals, but what it truly occupied was the gateway to home entertainment. By the end of 2005, Blockbuster had over 9,000 stores in the United States and 24 other countries. Its vast physical network, film inventory, and brand recognition made it the undisputed leader in the global video rental industry. Just five years later, Blockbuster filed for bankruptcy protection. How could an industry leader with global stores, tens of millions of customers, and a strong brand exit the market in such a short time? Blockbuster benefited from the boom in home entertainment. Founded in 1985, at that time, cable TV was just beginning to spread in the U.S., home entertainment demand outside of cinemas was rapidly growing, and VCRs were gradually entering middle-class households. Watching movies was still limited by time and space. TV programs aired according to schedules, cinemas had fixed showtimes, and consumers who wanted to decide when to watch had almost no choice but videotapes. Blockbuster transformed scattered small video stores into standardized chain businesses. With uniform storefronts, centralized purchasing, computerized inventory management, and opening stores in the growing suburbs. This model hit multiple trends in the U.S. economy at the time: suburban population expansion, mature car culture, growth in commercial real estate, and increased household spending power. The more Blockbuster stores there were
Nancy🩶
Nancy🩶
#美联储7月FOMC纪要9比3,官员加息分歧仍在 美联储7月FOMC以9比3维持利率在3.5%至3.75%,但三名官员主张加息25个基点,这场分歧透露出一个信号:美国货币政策的共识正在松动。 一边是CPI降温、就业和消费转弱,继续加息可能让经济承受更大压力;另一边是能源、关税与AI资本支出带来的通胀风险,让部分官员仍不敢放松。 回看2018年加息周期后段,美联储内部立场反复,曾让美元、美债和全球风险资产剧烈重估。如今相似的压力再次出现,美国利率只要维持高位,资金成本就会继续传导至房地产、新兴市场及高负债企业。 更值得注意的是,纪要首次将AI基础设施融资、高估值与美债波动放进金融稳定风险。AI热潮正在从技术竞赛走向资本竞赛,当大量建设依赖债务和长期融资,利率就成了决定估值能否撑住的关键。9月暂停加息概率较高,但全球市场真正要面对的,是高利率可能比预期停留更久。
Nancy🩶
Nancy🩶
Almost Dead Company Vol.13|Relying on Government Guarantees and Buffett’s Lifeline, Why Did GE Come Back to Life Only After Breaking Itself Up?
AI trading in 2026 is spreading from chips all the way to power systems. Data centers require gas turbines, transformers, transmission equipment, and a stable power grid. Traditional industrial assets, once shunned by the capital markets for many years, have suddenly taken center stage in the tech wave. In the second quarter of this year, GE Vernova's orders reached $24.2 billion, an 88% year-over-year increase; backlog orders rose to $176 billion, with electrification orders related to data centers exceeding $5 billion in the first half of the year, more than double the total for 2025. Meanwhile, GE Aerospace's second-quarter revenue was $13.3 billion, up 21% year-over-year, with orders increasing 17% to $16.5 billion, and free cash flow growing 43% to $3 billion. Both companies raised their full-year guidance simultaneously. It's hard to imagine that these popular assets were once packed into the same vast empire, which in 2008 needed government credit, Buffett, and capital markets to simultaneously bail it out. GE's turnaround is also quite special. It did not restore the original company intact but spent more than a decade selling assets and repaying debts, ultimately splitting itself into three companies. A name that has dominated American business history for over a century earned the qualification for renewed growth by ending its old era. From light bulbs to the world's largest market capitalization, GE once represented America itself. In 1892, Edison’s companies merged with Thomson-Houston to form General Electric. For more than a century thereafter, GE...
Nancy🩶
Nancy🩶
Gm! 生活的小确幸藏在早餐的热气里,藏在睡前的美梦里 1️⃣ 特朗普在白宫会见多家加密企业高管,敦促国会通过《CLARITY法案》,进一步明确数字代币的分类,以及SEC、CFTC之间的监管分工。消息推动市场风险偏好回升,比特币一度站上7万美元。 2️⃣ Solana Meme板块同步回暖,TROLL成为本轮资金焦点。币价约0.048美元,24小时上涨14.4%,市值约4,800万美元,成交量约300万美元。目前未出现明确的项目利好,行情仍以资金轮动与情绪推动为主。 3️⃣ Moderna与默沙东合作的个性化mRNA癌症疗法,在三期试验中达到主要目标。消息公布后,Moderna暴涨177%,默沙东上涨12.6%,mRNA技术的商业想象空间也从传统疫苗进一步延伸至癌症治疗。 4️⃣ 美国财政部宣布,从9月9日起将10至30年期美债单次回购上限,由20亿美元提高至至少40亿美元。长期收益率随即回落,暂时缓解债市流动性与融资成本压力,也带动美元走弱、黄金及加密资产反弹。 $BTC $SOL $ETH
Nancy🩶
Nancy🩶
#财报观察员:小米Q2财报出炉,是汽车救场还是手机拖后腿? 小米Q2营收1089亿元,同比下降6.1%;经调整净利润62亿元,下降42.6%。表面看是手机拖累、汽车增长,深层变化是全球制造业利润池正在重新分配。 手机收入下降7.5%,出货量减少26.5%,平均售价却提高25.9%。小米正收缩低价规模,用高端化对冲存储芯片涨价、消费疲软与激烈竞争。 汽车收入239亿元,同比增长15.9%,交付量增长28.2%。不过包含汽车、AI在内的新业务仍录得26亿元经营亏损,汽车目前更像第二增长曲线,还没有完全接过手机的利润任务。 2007年后,iPhone把电子产业的利润中心从PC推向智能手机;今天,智能汽车正在成为新的硬件入口。手机连接人,汽车还连接能源、AI、供应链与金融,资本投入也更重。 这份财报反映出,小米正在用手机积累的品牌、渠道和生态,为汽车时代购买入场券。短期利润会承压,长期成败取决于汽车扩大规模后能否守住毛利,同时稳住手机基本盘。 #小米财报 #智能汽车 #宏观经济