Upper Resistance Resistance Level Position Breakthrough Significance Immediate Resistance $78,800-79,500 Today's high rebound area, short-term ceiling Key Psychological Threshold $80,000 First challenge since January 2026, breakthrough will trigger a short squeeze Strong Resistance $81,736 Bollinger Band upper band $BTC $ETH $MOVE #BTC延续强势，资金流能否持续？

Order book depth is extremely unbalanced The buy-sell ratio is only 0.10, with the total volume of the top 5 sell orders being 10 times that of the buy orders. This means the selling pressure on the order book is extremely heavy, and the resistance to a short-term upward surge is very strong. $BTC $ETH $CORE #三星股东回报落地，最高约800亿美元

Technical Structure: Pullback Pressure from Extreme Overbought Conditions 4-Hour Level — ADX at an Extreme 87.4, Historically Overbought This is the most important current technical signal. The 4-hour RSI remains in an extreme overbought zone, with the ADX indicator reaching 87.4, a historical extreme, indicating that the trend momentum is extremely overextended and facing exhaustion. The 4-hour RSI(14) reading is still above 80, a typical historical overbought signal. The price is near the upper Bollinger Band, with EMA50 (around $69,000) and EMA200 (around $65,500) far below the current price, showing a significant divergence. $BTC $ETH $MOVE #财报观察员：泡泡玛特增长换挡，多IP能否接力？

Risks and Challenges: Overbought and Profit Taking Despite the strong rally, short-term risks cannot be ignored: · Technical indicators overbought: The 4-hour RSI has entered the overbought zone, and the ADX indicator is as high as 87.4, indicating that trend momentum may be facing exhaustion. · Profit-taking pressure: After a rapid surge to around 80,000 USD, the market has shown clear signs of profit-taking, with a drop of more than 3% from the high today. · Marginal weakening of geopolitical risks: The US-Iran confrontation that previously boosted safe-haven sentiment is losing its marginal impact on prices after the US Treasury's positive news has been digested. $BTC $ETH $CORE #黄金突破4600美元，债券避险地位受挑战

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The core contradiction The upward logic still holds — the shorts have not been completely eliminated, and there are still many stop-loss orders waiting to be triggered above 80,000. The downward pressure also exists — a 26% increase in a day, 4-hour RSI at 95, all textbook signs of a major pullback ahead. 72,000-73,000 is the central zone of this short squeeze rally, and 66,000-68,000 is the moving average area. If the rise is to continue, the price needs to hold above these zones. If it breaks below 66,000-68,000, the short squeeze logic fails. The current BTC looks more like a direct confrontation between bulls and bears at the 80,000 threshold. Whoever breaks through the other's defense first will win the home ground for the next phase. $BTC $ETH $CORE #海力士回购落地，三星股东回报待确认

Support Levels and Consequences of Breaking Them First Support (Immediate) $76,000-76,680 Initial holding zone after a rejection at 80,000 Core Support $74,000-75,000 First target zone for a pullback if the 80,000 rejection is confirmed Strong Support $70,000-72,000 Deeper pullback target; if held, the bullish structure remains intact Structural Support $66,500-68,500 If broken, the short squeeze logic fails $BTC $ETH $MOVE #Anthropic拟8月底公开IPO文件，募资或追平SpaceX

Resistance Levels Position Breakthrough Significance Immediate resistance $79,600-80,000 Today's high + psychological barrier, the most critical short-term resistance Next target $82,400-83,000 Logical target zone after breaking 80K Inverse head and shoulders target $85,000-90,000 Pattern measurement target + main supply zone $80,000 is a level that has not been reclaimed since January. Even a brief stand above it is enough to trigger algorithmic buying and short stop losses. But the price has fallen nearly $4,000 from the high, indicating that the selling pressure at this level is real. $BTC $ETH $MOVE #BTC加速拉升，资金还能继续接力吗？

Key observation: Up over 26% in the past 7 days, with an average daily increase of 3.7%, this is a typical parabolic rise. Historically, such extreme stretches are often followed by sharp corrections—not inevitable, but the probability is increasing. So far this week, ETFs have seen a cumulative net inflow of about $1.03 billion, indicating strong demand. However, Coinbase premiums remain moderate; the core driver of this rally is still short squeeze liquidations rather than an explosive return of US spot demand. $BTC $ETH $NOT #海力士回购落地，三星股东回报待确认

Daily level — Breakthrough of key moving averages, inverse head and shoulders pattern confirmed BTC has broken through the 200-day moving average (around $75,094) and the 120-day moving average, confirming the inverse head and shoulders pattern, with a target price pointing to $85,000-$90,000. However, the daily RSI has surged above 84, entering a severe overbought zone. The rebound structure since the June low of 57,808 is still ongoing, but a profit-taking pullback is inevitable after the sharp rise. $BTC $ETH $NOT #BTC加速拉升，资金还能继续接力吗？