Made two trades today, both lost. The $HYPE short lost 40 points, entered at 69.4, stopped out at 72.2, the rebound immediately wiped it out. The $BTC short lost 375 points, entered at 74,478, stopped out at 76,890, 100x leverage couldn't withstand this strength, it was pulled up straight to zero. Both shorts got liquidated, lost everything again tonight. $BTC took the hardest hit this time, chasing shorts at this position was indeed too aggressive, and the stop loss wasn't set properly. Taking a break tonight, will fight again next week.

When trading with small capital, do you value position control or execution discipline more? My view: execution discipline. The biggest misconception with small capital is thinking "since the money is little, if I lose it all, so be it," and then recklessly trading—overleveraging, holding losing positions, chasing highs and panicking sells. I went through that phase too; when I had just a few thousand yuan, I had no rules, thinking losing it all was just the cost of a meal. But after repeatedly losing and topping up, looking back, I gave away more than I lost during that time. Later I realized—it’s not about how much money you have, it’s about habits. When you have small capital, if you can’t control your impulses, you won’t be able to when you have large capital either. How much you lose doesn’t matter; what matters is whether you have rules every time you place an order. Now I have three rules for myself: · Always set a stop loss for every trade. No matter how little money, never hold losing positions. · Maximum 20% position size per trade. Don’t go all-in just because the money is small. · Stop trading after two consecutive losses. Don’t rush to recover losses. Small capital is meant to practice discipline, not to get rich quick. Once discipline is developed, the capital will grow sooner or later. Without discipline, no matter how much money you have, it will be lost. In your small capital phase, do you trade casually or with rules? Share in the comments below.👇#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到

Bitcoin finally moved, surging past $75,000 in one go. It had been hovering around $65,000 for the past few months, with volatility compressed to historic lows, and the market nearly asleep. On August 19, volume suddenly spiked and it broke through $75,000 at its peak, hitting a nearly three-month high. This surge directly crushed the shorts—about $3 billion worth of liquidations occurred across the network in 24 hours, with short liquidations accounting for over $2.7 billion, setting the largest single-day short liquidation record in Bitcoin's history. There were also long-awaited signs of capital inflow recovery. On August 19, the US $BTC spot ETF saw a net inflow of about $517 million, marking the third consecutive day of net inflows, with BlackRock's IBIT alone absorbing $285 million in a single day. The $ETH spot ETF also had a net inflow of about $189 million, totaling over $700 million combined. Institutional buying is indeed returning. But the problems are also clear. Exchange stablecoin reserves have dropped by $16 billion since the end of last year, down about 20%, indicating a contraction of on-exchange liquidity. The current divergence is clear: is this rally a short-term squeeze-driven acceleration, or a trend recovery brought by renewed ETF and spot buying? In the short term, a squeeze-driven rally comes fast and can retreat just as quickly. Whether it can hold above $75,000 depends on whether subsequent trading volume can keep up and whether stablecoin liquidity can improve. Without new money coming in, profit-taking at high levels will surge, and volatility won’t be small. #BTC加速拉升，资金还能继续接力吗？

BTC has hit 75,000, how are the bears holding up? 👊 BTC jumped straight from 68,878 to 75,770 today, now at 74,400, up 2.7%, with a trading volume of 180,000 and a turnover of 13.4 billion. This breakout was very decisive, stepping right over the 70,000 mark. Looking at the daily chart, STOCHRSI is at 100, so it's a bit overheated in the short term, but the momentum after a breakout usually can carry on for a while. The 15-minute chart shows sideways movement at a high level, bulls are digesting profits, it doesn't look like a pullback is imminent. I'm still holding my short position, let's see if 75,000 can hold first. Do you think this wave can push to 80,000? #波动雷达：币种异动观察

Made a trade today, a $BTC short position, and it blew up. Entered at 69,360, shorted but it kept going up, stop loss at 69,741, lost 105 points, principal completely gone. Lost for several days in a row, just recovered a bit and then lost it again, really exhausted. Not struggling anymore, taking a break tonight.

$ORDI fell from 97 to 4.3, and now it goes up 25 points and wants to trick me into getting on board? Today it rose another 25%, clearly a pump-and-dump scheme. Something that dropped from 97 to 4.3, and now it goes up 25 points trying to fool people into chasing it? Whoever wants to chase, go ahead, but I’m not falling for it. Back in the day, $ORDI was so glorious, the pioneer of BRC-20, the inscription craze that directly boosted the Bitcoin ecosystem, soaring to 97 dollars right after launch. The group chat was like a festival, shouting “Bitcoin ecosystem revolution” every day. If you didn’t buy some $ORDI, you’d feel embarrassed to talk to people. Now it’s 4.3, looking at the two-year candlestick chart, it’s like a slide with no brakes. Dropped 95.5% from 97, and now a 25% rise today trying to trick people into getting on board? It’s just dancing on the road to zero. Looking at the 4.3 price—buy? Buy what? Something that dropped from 97 to 4.3, if you buy it, you might see it drop to 0.43 tomorrow. I once thought it was a Bitcoin ecosystem revolution, but it ended up revolutionizing my life. 😅#波动雷达：币种异动观察

#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 When you judge the start of a trend, do you rely more on data or price movements? I look at price movements. Honestly, I can't keep up with data. On-chain data, capital flows, position reports—it's too much and too scattered. Even if I look at it, I can't piece it together, and it just confuses me. So I gave up and only watch the candlesticks. Price movements don't lie. When a trend is really about to start, the candlesticks will give the signal first—like a volume breakout at a key level, moving averages starting to diverge, or higher highs being formed. These tangible things on the chart are more direct than any data. Of course, I understand the data camp's thinking—they believe data can spot opportunities before price does. But this is as far as my skills go. If I can't even read the chart clearly, looking at data is just making things up for myself. Honestly watch the chart: enter when you should enter, cut losses when you should cut losses. Data is the bones left after others have eaten the meat; the chart is the meat itself. Whether you chew on bones or eat the meat, that's your choice. What about you? Do you look at data or charts? Let's chat in the comments.👇

The Fed's July meeting minutes are out, and the tone remains hawkish. Nine members agreed not to raise rates, while three voted against (Logan, Harker, Kashkari, all wanting a 25 basis point hike). Two others without voting rights also sided with raising rates. The minutes are quite straightforward—many officials feel that if inflation doesn't come down, policy may need to tighten further. They also specifically mentioned that AI stock valuations are too high, saying these companies' stock prices are built on expectations of "making big money in the future," and if those expectations falter, it could trigger a chain reaction. But the market isn't buying it much anymore. July CPI did come down, employment data softened, and CME data shows the probability of no rate hike in September has returned to over 67%. The minutes are hawkish, pricing is dovish, and the two sides are clashing. There are two small side notes: Wash proposed reducing the Fed's annual meetings from 8 to 6, but no change this year; the entire minutes never mentioned the word "rate cut." As for Bitcoin $BTC, the minutes are hawkish but the data is dovish, so the tug-of-war results in sideways movement. The Fed calling out AI overvaluation is worth noting—if funds really pull out from those crazily rising AI hardware stocks, they might flow into crypto instead. For now, let's see if 65000 can hold. #美联储7月FOMC纪要9比3，官员加息分歧仍在