夏木KRIS
夏木KRIS
全市场分析，不受局限 提供真正有价值的投资建议
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I have always been committed to sharing trading knowledge to help everyone avoid high-risk trades and investment scams. All guidance is completely free, with no charges. I do not belong to any company, organization, or platform, have no partners, no groups, and will never ask anyone to transfer money to me.
I always advise everyone to keep their money in their own accounts, learn independently, and make their own judgments. When the market declines, you can focus on coins with real projects and long-term value, buy rationally, and sell at the right time after reaching profit targets.
Sharing knowledge is done out of goodwill, with no expectation of return. Protecting your own funds is more important than anything else.
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What supplements do super individuals need?
(Deep research version)
My combination is:
Anti-aging + High energy + Improve sleep quality + Build lean muscle strength
Basic foundation:
High-dose multivitamins
Fish oil Omega-3
D3 + K2
Nervous system & sleep:
Magnesium glycine
Anti-aging and antioxidant:
GlyNAC (NAC + Glycine) + Ergothioneine
Mitochondria & energy:
Coenzyme Q10 + PQQ
Brain & physical performance:
Creatine 5g
Core logic: supplement the foundation → antioxidant → repair mitochondria → enhance long-term energy and performance.
Also suitable for crypto community
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In the era of information transparency, is it really harder for financial crises to occur?
The reason past financial crises were easily brewed was largely due to slow information dissemination. Underdeveloped communication and low market transparency meant that information was held by only a few for a long time. Many risks could accumulate within the system for years, while most market participants remained unaware. By the time the problems truly surfaced, the market often had no time to react, panic spread rapidly, and it eventually evolved into a systemic crisis. Today's environment is completely different. Smartphones, the internet, and real-time information allow information to spread almost instantly worldwide. Macro data, policy changes, and market price fluctuations can all be captured by the market within seconds. Many localized risks are reacted to by the market before they have a chance to expand. From this perspective, the traditional type of financial crisis that relies on delayed information accumulation has indeed become harder to form. But things are not that simple. More information does not equal more understanding. When information spreads extremely fast, the market is also more easily surrounded by noise. True and false news mix, emotions spread faster, and market reactions are often amplified. Short-term panic, concentrated sell-offs, and instant liquidity contractions occur more frequently in modern markets. The early stage of the 2020 pandemic is a typical example. The U.S. stock market triggered four circuit breakers within just one month. It was not that the economic fundamentals suddenly collapsed within weeks, but that the market quickly formed a consensus panic under intensive information shocks. When everyone reacts in the same way simultaneously, market volatility is extremely amplified. A deeper problem actually comes from the increasing complexity of the financial system itself. The 2008 financial cri
The crypto market is about to see a stronger rebound!
Bitcoin has bounced back from around $81,000 to above $83,000. The US spot BTC ETF recorded a net inflow of about $527 million on October 19, marking the largest single-day inflow in nearly a month.
At the same time, the US tech stock sector has started to rebound, and oil prices and US Treasury yields, which previously suppressed risk assets, have also retreated.
Putting these changes together, the short-term market has improved compared to last week. I tend to believe that this rebound still has room to expand further. Especially for altcoins that have fallen significantly earlier, as long as $BTC can firmly hold above $83,000 again, market funds will have the opportunity to gradually spread to other coins. $ETH $ZEC
But if BTC falls below $81,000 again, the rebound momentum may be interrupted.
$BTC has climbed back above $83,000
The next step could be challenging $85,000!
Bitcoin has finally shown some more positive changes. On October 19, the US spot Bitcoin ETF saw a net inflow of about $527 million, with BlackRock's IBIT attracting about $665 million in a single day.
Although some other ETFs still experienced outflows, the overall capital direction has started to improve. BTC also rebounded from around $81,000, briefly breaking above $83,000.
I believe the most critical point now is whether it can break through $85,000 again. If the ETF can maintain net inflows for several consecutive trading days, and BTC holds steady above $83,000, the probability of retesting $85,000 will significantly increase.
$ETH may see a catch-up rally
But currently, funds are still lagging behind $BTC!
Bitcoin has already started attracting institutional funds back in, while Ethereum has not yet shown the same trend.
On October 19, the US spot BTC ETF had a net inflow of about $527 million, whereas the ETH ETF actually saw a net outflow of about $103 million.
On October 20, the ETH ETF outflow was about $26.1 million, with a two-day cumulative net outflow close to $130 million.
ETH has currently rebounded to around $2450, but from the fund data, institutional preference for BTC remains clearly higher than for ETH.
In the short term, I believe ETH has room for a catch-up rally, especially if BTC can continue to rise and market risk appetite further recovers, ETH is very likely to challenge $2500 to $2600 again.
However, for a more sustained rise, the ETH/BTC rate at least needs to stop weakening, and ETF funds preferably need to return to net inflows.
Strive is aggressively increasing its Bitcoin holdings
Weekly purchase volume once again surpasses Strategy!
Recently, institutional buying of Bitcoin has intensified, with Strive starting to steal the spotlight from Strategy.
According to the latest disclosures, Strive bought 4,045 BTC from October 12 to 16, spending about $335 million, with an average purchase price of $82,803.
Currently, Strive's holdings have reached 36,818 BTC, surpassing MARA to become the world's fourth-largest publicly listed company Bitcoin holder.
More notably, Strive has accumulated 7,356 BTC purchases over the past two weeks and plans to continue expanding its reserves through a $630 million preferred stock financing.
However, these purchases mainly rely on equity financing, which increases the number of shares while increasing BTC holdings. For shareholders, total holdings growth does not equate to a proportional increase in BTC per share.
Institutions are still willing to invest hundreds of millions of dollars to buy Bitcoin, but where exactly this money comes from is equally important. $MSTR $BTC $ETH
#Strive大额增持，Strategy回购规模超买币
Bitcoin has recently rebounded
But the fund flow of spot ETFs remains an issue to watch.
If the price rises while ETF funds continue to net outflow, it indicates this rebound may be driven more by short-term buying and short covering rather than large-scale re-entry by institutional funds.
Currently, I am not pessimistic about the short-term rebound, but for the market to rise further, it is best to see ETF funds turn back to net inflow. Especially if BTC price keeps rising but ETF funds do not return, one should be cautious of selling pressure re-emerging after the rebound.
Whether Bitcoin can continue to rise depends not only on the price but also on whether the funds keep up.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#ETF持续流出，BTC反弹能否延续？
The crypto market has been continuously adjusting recently, and the movement of institutional funds is more worth paying attention to than short-term price rebounds.
If the market begins to stabilize, I am more inclined to believe that $BTC will be the first to see a return of funds. Bitcoin has a more mature institutional allocation base and better liquidity, making it usually the preferred choice when funds re-enter the crypto market.
For $ETH, we need to observe the flow of spot ETF funds and whether the ETH/BTC exchange rate can stop falling and rebound.
If Bitcoin stabilizes first while ETH/BTC continues to weaken, it indicates that funds may still be concentrated in Bitcoin and have not truly spread to other crypto assets.
At this stage, rather than guessing who will rise first, I care more about who can first show sustained net inflows of funds.
$ZEC
#机构资金转弱，BTC与ETH谁先迎来回流？
The market may be about to see a rebound!
After a period of continuous decline, the market has released a lot of selling pressure, and the prices of some assets have returned to relatively reasonable ranges.
Currently, I am more inclined to believe that there is an opportunity for a short-term oversold rebound in the market. Especially for altcoins that have fallen significantly earlier, once Bitcoin stabilizes, the rebound could be more pronounced.
However, a rebound does not mean the trend has reversed. At this stage, I will choose to build positions in batches
$BTC $ETH $SOL