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币多多超市
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这两天BTC的走势看傻了不少人,从6万多直接拉升至7.5万附近,累计涨了15%,波动相当狂暴。ETH也跟着起飞,两天涨超20%,站上2300美元。
行情背后是惨烈的逼空,单小时空头强平超10亿美元,创下2021年以来最大平仓潮。24小时全网爆仓超30亿美元,近18万交易者被清算,大量空单被洗出场。
但问题来了:这波拉升是新行情开启,还是空头平仓催生的脉冲?
资金面能看到机构回流。8月19日比特币现货ETF单日净流入5.17亿美元,创三个月新高,贝莱德一家就贡献2.85亿,三日累计流入接近10亿,这波不只是散户在炒作。
催化剂也扎堆出现:特朗普会见加密行业高管、监管传出松绑信号、美国财政部加大长债回购,多重利好共振。
不过风险同样突出。别看离2025年10月历史高点12.6万美元还有空间,短期暴涨已经堆积了大量获利盘。渣打维持年底10万美元的乐观目标,也有分析师认为这只是技术性反弹。
我的看法:短期还有惯性,但追高风险不小。行情能否延续,关键看ETF能否持续净流入,以及7.5万这个压力位能不能站稳。站稳了看向8万,站不稳就回到6.5万附近震荡。
仅市场观点交流,不构成投资建议
#Anthropic plans to publicly file IPO documents by the end of August, aiming to raise funds that could match SpaceX. My first reaction when I saw this news was: Here we go again?
Anthropic is going public, with the prospectus expected as early as the end of August, and they secretly submitted the S-1 in June. Their fundraising target directly competes with SpaceX—SpaceX just set a global IPO record of $86.2 billion in June this year, and this guy says they want to match or even surpass that.
The valuation is even more outrageous; the market is already talking about $2 trillion. What does $2 trillion mean? Coca-Cola and Pepsi combined don’t even come close. A company whose most famous product externally is a chatbot, valued at $2 trillion—I really start to question my understanding of money.
But you really can’t call them crazy. Q2 revenue was $11.5 billion, compared to only $787 million in the same period last year, a 14-fold increase in one year. Annualized revenue has already reached $65 billion, and Q2 even achieved adjusted operating profit for the first time. This growth curve is unmatched in tech history.
So the question is: Is this the biggest opportunity in human history, or the biggest bubble?
I tend to wait and see. Everyone knows how fast AI burns money; Nvidia’s GPUs are not cheap. Now with hundreds of billions in revenue, they dare to be valued at $2 trillion—what if growth slows down next year? Also, OpenAI is in line, and when two giants start drawing blood, whether the market can handle it is another question.
An AI company valued at $2 trillion sounds like a game of hot potato. What do you all think?
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