BITWU
BITWU
Bitwu 星球唯一账号！ x.com/bitwux
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I bought NO on Netflix for this one;
Obviously, the odds for No are more reasonable. First, No only needs the actual probability of a decline to exceed 27% to have a positive expected value in the long run; Yes requires an upward probability exceeding 74%.
Secondly, Netflix's fundamentals are clearly under pressure. I specifically checked and found that Netflix expects about 12% revenue growth in Q3, but user engagement is slowing and content competition is intensifying, so the market still has doubts about the quality of growth.
Additionally, after the first three earnings reports in 2026, the stock price fell approximately 2.2%, 9.7%, and 7.3%, respectively, so I feel this time it’s hard to escape this year’s pattern.
PS: OKX's Outcome prediction event is a battle royale mode. Earn some points to play; if you keep winning consecutively, the final prize is 1wu!
I think I’m solid on this one, what do you think? @Mercy_okx @Haiteng_okx
BITWU
Tesla can really fly now, but the question is, can the upcoming earnings report fly?
OKX Outcomes' prediction market has also opened for this event!
This morning we were flooded with news; the new generation Tesla Roadster's reveal was stunning, flipping in the air with the help of SpaceX thrusters.
Elon Musk always manages to bring things that once only existed in sci-fi movies bit by bit into reality.
But as an investor, I’m more concerned about Tesla’s Q3 earnings report coming out on October 21, because Musk’s bold moves have always been many, but sometimes the stock doesn’t necessarily rise; sometimes it even falls a bit.
This is also what I often say:
A company’s future may be very promising, but that doesn’t mean its current stock price is necessarily cheap.
There is definitely a lot of disagreement here, so recently when OKX Outcomes Prophet Season 3 launched, it just so happened to focus on the US stock earnings season. Whether Tesla’s earnings this quarter will beat expectations is one of the prediction topics, and I’ve just placed my bet!
Just like the previous World Cup gameplay, you can use free XP points to express your judgment, and there’s an independent leaderboard for the earnings season.
Making a clear judgment in advance and then waiting for the results to verify it is the only way to find out whether you truly understand the company or are just believing in a story.
I think it’s a really fun thing and can be done continuously.
Recently, many people have been very fearful about the claims of cryptographic attacks on bitcoin:native made by Brother Sun @justinsuntron and Xiandao during their interview!
The interview video is here for everyone to watch:
I won't interpret Brother Sun's other views in the interview; here I mainly want to talk about quantum attacks and Bitcoin risks.
As a BTC MAX, this is a core topic I constantly pay attention to, and it is also central within my core circle of focus:
The core of Bitcoin's quantum resistance lies in "technological breakthroughs + legacy coin issues + coordination difficulties." Actually, what I agree with most here is: Bitcoin cannot treat "having quantum-resistant algorithms" as "quantum risks already solved."
So Brother Sun's concerns are indeed necessary. Regarding Bitcoin's upgrade and asset migration speed not keeping up with the advancement of cryptographic attack capabilities, this is a very real issue. With AI developing rapidly, this is possible.
But at the same time, there is currently no evidence proving that Bitcoin's elliptic curve signatures have been practically broken, nor can we determine solely based on these breakthroughs that BTC will face a quantum security crisis in 3, 5, or 10 years.
Moreover, some large institutions completely do not understand this area, which is questionable.
Therefore, I believe we can continue to learn, keep updating, and prepare seriously, but we should not equate scientific progress directly with the formation of attack capabilities, nor should we worry unnecessarily about the Bitcoin network collapsing at this time.
Below are some reasons why I think it might not be so bad:
Suddenly realized that the four intensive security incidents this month have covered the entire stack of attack surfaces——
Ledger / CryptoBilis: physical supply chain
XRP: protocol-level payment code vulnerability (discovered by AI)
Cysic Bridge: cross-chain bridge verification and minting authorization
Qubic: private key generation mechanism
We have always pursued Trustless, but many trust relationships in reality have not disappeared; they have just been transferred to places users are not easily aware of.
Moreover, the emergence of AI will further amplify this problem. Those old protocols that have been running for years without major security incidents may gradually face scrutiny.
It feels like Crypto's security model will sooner or later undergo a significant shift.
Looking at it this way, there might not even be truly secure “mainstream coins,” except bitcoin:native?
Today's focus:
1️⃣ BlackRock has applied for a new Bitcoin-related fund, aiming to provide some downside protection, but it also limits upside participation and clearly states that protection is not guaranteed.
2️⃣ Additionally, Mesh announced a partnership with Visa, planning to enable crypto asset balances in wallets to be used for everyday payments.
The usefulness of Grokbot lies in its almost seamless integration with X. Besides gathering information from X, you can entrust it with managing your direct messages.
It can not only assist you in business negotiations but also, according to your choices and needs, help you agree to or reject matters that are completely unsuitable for you.
Moreover, it is quite sensitive to risks; without verifying the situation or obtaining my permission, it will not open any files sent by others.
Recently, it has managed my X direct messages very well, providing me with a regular report every day about who I talked to, which conversations are beneficial to me, suggestions on what I should do next, as well as which are unsuitable and pose risks to me, explaining the reasons, and then letting me make the final decision.
I think if this form continues to develop, humans will find it hard to do without such Agents.
I really don't understand the extent of consumption downgrade in the country now.
After the 9.9 yuan for three jin grilled fish, now there's 9.9 yuan for 70 minutes of 8 beauty treatments!
Is it only the crypto world that is still living in luxury? 😂
I have a feeling that we might not be far from the time when 99 yuan can get you a full commercial K experience!
