$BTC $ETH $SOL Conclusion first We are currently near the end of the bear market. Even to be cautious, you should build a position of 30% Large funds prioritize BTC/ETH/SOL/OKB If you don't have much capital, you can lay in some quality altcoins like ENA/AAVE/PUMP Currently, I have opened a live contract trading on OK Planet, challenging to turn 10,000 into 100,000. Of course, I don't recommend everyone to trade contracts. My large positions are all spot. But without live trading, it's not as engaging. After all, talking is no match for actual operation I hope brothers can help by following me, I will definitely follow back Let's all get rich together

$BTC First, let's determine whether this unexpected rise is a trend reversal or just a rebound. The long-term moving average at 69000 can be seen as the bull-bear line; the price crossing it from below indicates a shift to an uptrend, with the target at the upper limit. The long-term liquidation pain point at 70594-70831 was decisively broken through and held, making this level a strong support and can be considered a trend reversal. The next target is around 75000, also indicating a trend reversal. The conclusions from both indicators are quite consistent: the trend has shifted from searching for a bottom >> building a base to rising, with the key points and support between 69000-70000. Next, where are the targets and resistances? The first consolidation zone is at 72182-72477; holding above 72477 will continue the upward movement, with the first target being the highest sell order at 73110. Breaking through this can lead to 75000. The 75000 level will face a real challenge, as both liquidation pain points and chip vacuum point to this level. Also, pay attention to the short-term 71800 level; if it is filled back, the short-term uptrend may temporarily end and enter consolidation. Most importantly, the 70000-69000 range is critical; if broken down, the entire trend may shift to a correction.

$BTC $ETH $SOL Speaking of US stocks and then about Bitcoin, the expected reversal at 3 AM to pick up people didn't happen. Bitcoin surged straight to the classic 72,000 level, which has blocked us for more than half a year into 2024. The 72k level is not only the EMA200 daily line but was also once regarded as a strong support after the 120k peak correction, holding high hopes. But as everyone knows, Bitcoin lingered around 60k for a long time and even once fell below 60k. From the crypto market logic alone, the repeated unsuccessful tests of 62k and the continuous macro easing indeed suggest it should rise. Moreover, once it starts to rally, the speed will be very fast, leaving most family members still playing in US stocks behind. After all, according to the altcoin pump-and-dump logic, the faster the pump, the more money saved—first, retail investors can't get on board in time; second, after chasing the rally, retail investors have high costs, which easily forms a chip peak at the high level, acting as resistance for the next rise or fall. Yesterday, from the contract perspective, I observed that open interest didn't rise but fell. Today's information shows this rally is led by spot trading. Generally, when the market is driven by spot, it tends to be more sustained and harder to fall. Also, there are no signs of exhaustion now, and below 80k, there isn't any significant resistance. So, provided the macro environment doesn't worsen (there's still about a week of time difference anyway), this round still has enough time and momentum to test the weekly EMA100 resistance around 75-78k.

$BTC Current BTC market situation, I still have remaining positions personally, and I plan to prepare for two scenarios: (1) STH-RP right-side confirmation: If BTC can hold above the short-term holders' real cost price STH-RP, then follow the trend on the right side. (2) After recently backtesting various data models, the reason I still have 40% of my position unfilled is: I can't let go of the traditional four-year halving cycle in my heart. In past halving cycles, the MVRV trend clearly overlapped. Currently, August 23 to the end of August is an important observation window. If BTC does not show a significant pullback during this period, it indicates that this cycle is deviating from the traditional four-year cycle structure. (3) Another important reason is that in the traditional four-year cycle, the time from top to bottom is basically one year. By this calculation, early October would be the BTC bottom. However, now that institutions have entered, the cycle rhythm may really be deviating from the traditional four-year cycle structure. By the end of this year, it will be clear whether this cycle has changed. (Purely personal crypto trading sharing, not investment advice, each responsible for their own profits and losses)

$BTC This wave surged, breaking through the short-term traders' cost line (currently at 72k) all at once. This is the third time in this bear cycle that the short-term traders' cost line has been touched; the previous two times it was pushed down. Those were at 98k and 82k respectively... Yesterday it broke through 67k, marking the third time, and currently there is a 4000-point margin between 71k and 67k.. It looks like the possibility of holding steady is pretty good.. So for now, short-term bullish outlook can continue. However, it is still some distance from the bull-bear dividing line of the long-term cycle (such as the 4-year cycle) TMM, which is currently at 76k.. If it can break through the 76k TMM like it did the 67k level later on, that might truly be the time to call a bull market return.

$BTC We have repeatedly emphasized before that July to August is the last bottom-fishing period. According to BTC's decline pattern, after the previous rebound ended and the third wave of decline, a strong rebound broke through 68,000, proving that the crypto downtrend cycle has ended. Never try to catch the absolute bottom at a certain price point, nor try to short in the bottom range. The two most worthwhile things to do next are: one, how to maximize profits during the new upward cycle; and two, during all other times, participate in the opportunities of the AI great voyage.

$BTC Previously, we reviewed the big picture framework; now let's look at the short- to mid-term trend expectations. The Gamma Exposure of $BTC is densely concentrated around 70K, and the price has already started to repeatedly test this level. My subjective feeling is that it will "break through". 1. If it truly breaks through, it will simultaneously break a larger timeframe downtrend line, with the target being the next key resistance level at 82K-84K. 2. If it's a false breakout, there will be a pullback to accumulate strength, possibly even a "final drop," which will again create opportunities for dollar-cost averaging and buying options. Below 68K is a very good zone for position accumulation, and dollar-cost averaging below 84K is also not bad. By the way, it's best not to believe their claim that "this round will top out at 200,000 at most."

$BTC 【BTC Weekly Review and Projection: Is the Current Breakout a Bull Market Restart or Another False Breakout?】 Reviewing the cycle trend from the 2022 bear market to now, the bull-bear transition band has always been the core benchmark for determining major trend reversals: Characteristics of a false breakout (red circles/red arrows): Whether during the 2022 downtrend or previous rebounds, although the price pierced the transition band, if it cannot effectively hold above it for more than 3 weeks, it is only a "bull trap false breakout" in the bear market, followed by a larger pullback. Confirmation of a true breakout (green circles/green arrows): A genuine bull-bear transition must meet the condition of strongly holding above the transition band for more than 3 consecutive weeks, and after a pullback confirmation without breaking below it. This signals the start of a major bull market. Current trend (blue circles/blue arrows): BTC strongly surged this week breaking through the transition band, but this is only the initial breakout stage. History does not simply repeat, but often rhymes similarly — I personally lean towards the main funds struggling to hold above the band for 3 weeks, with a high probability of a false breakout followed by another bottom test. Future trading strategy: Bull defense: Avoid rushing to chase highs! At least wait for 3 consecutive weekly closes above the bull-bear band and a confirmed pullback before adding positions on the right side. Short-term/swing: Treat the current position as a key resistance zone. If in the next two weeks there are long upper shadows or stagnation followed by a breakdown, consider reducing positions on rallies or strategically placing defensive short positions. Be patient, let the bullets fly for a few more weeks!

$BTC It's quite rare this time to simultaneously reclaim MA120 + MA200; The current real-time price is around $69,000, which means after the $69,300 close confirmation at 8 AM this morning, it has now immediately returned to near MA200 ≈ $69,031. This is a very good observation window: If: 69,300 breaks through → pulls back near 69,000 → holds → then continues upward, that is a reversal, not just a simple rebound; What needs the most attention right now is the obvious short squeeze within this big bullish candle. During BTC's rapid surge from about $64,100 to $70,000, approximately $1.4 billion worth of crypto shorts were liquidated within four hours; My advice is: If you are a trend trader: buying now has good cost-effectiveness: The MA120 + MA200 signal is very strong, if not now, then when? But if it breaks down, be brave to sell, for example, buy 40% now, stop loss 20% if it breaks MA200, and another 20% stop loss if it breaks MA120 again. If you are a long-term holder, you need to clearly know whether you are suited for the left side or the right side. If you are not used to the right side, it might be better not to move now. If you fear missing out, there is now a clear right-side signal, so you can overturn your previous bottom-fishing plan and are recommended to buy a partial position for long-term holding.

$BTC Bitcoin Market Analysis: $BTC (2026-8-20) Last night, I gave a long position suggestion to the Bitcoin community before the launch, with a cost basis around 64920, and my advice was to hold for the mid to long term‼️ Currently, liquidity is returning, the nearly one-month bottom consolidation has ended, breaking out of the consolidation range. The possibility of a major pullback next is not high. Those who haven't entered can go long at the consolidation bottom or on a breakout📈 Trading Strategy: Currently leaning towards high-level sideways consolidation, then continuing to rally📈 Right-side trading: You can chase longs after breaking 69900, with a stop loss if it falls below 69000 Left-side trading: Go long near 69000, with a stop loss if it falls below 68800

$BTC #BTC Market Analysis 8/20 The daily chart level has already broken through the 67000 mark, with a converging triangle breakout and a high point breakout. The daily chart shows a standard upward structure, and the bottom can also be seen as a head and shoulders bottom pattern. 1) The support and resistance swap position is 67000; as long as the price stays above 67000, the bullish trend can continue toward the daily resistance near 72000. 2) The daily resistance range adjustment is a bearish OB: 72400-74200, where there is a risk of a pullback