Post

美股盯盘日记
美股盯盘日记
Show original
之前还写有可能是阴谋论,现在在看特别委员会都已经成立了,顺带手的已经在研究合并的可能性了 尤其是在两家公司的财报都公布了的情况下,就更有说头了 #特斯拉Q3汽车毛利率回升,自由现金流转正 SpaceX: · 营收145.8亿美元,同比增长161% · AI业务收入75.6亿美元 · 资本开支约196亿美元 特斯拉: · 营收280.5亿美元,基本持平 · 净利润7.87亿美元,同比下降43% · 自由现金流15.3亿美元 SpaceX增长很猛,但也是真的烧钱。特斯拉虽然盈利承压,好歹还有汽车业务持续贡献现金流。 如果两家公司合并,AI芯片、机器人、能源、航天和算力业务就能放在一起布局。 听起来确实很美好。 但有一个疑问,谁合并谁? 目前讨论的一种方案是SpaceX收购特斯拉。 这意味着特斯拉股东可能要换成SpaceX的股票,同时承担更多航天和AI基础设施投资的风险。 而SpaceX预计Q4资本开支还要达到350亿至400亿美元。 更好奇的是,马斯克究竟是在整合自己的商业帝国,还是想让特斯拉的股东一起为SpaceX的AI野心买单?
美股盯盘日记
美股盯盘日记
#SpaceX上市后首份完整季度财报将揭晓 A conspiracy theory: Is Musk playing a big game recently? Looking at recent events together, it's quite interesting. Two main threads: · SpaceX and Tesla merger? · Musk diving deeper into 🇺🇸 politics again? ① Technical collaboration → Merger expectations October 15: Tesla reintroduced the second-generation Roadster, highlighting technical cooperation with SpaceX. Mid-October: Barclays suggested that Tesla and SpaceX might merge by the end of the year, integrating AI, robotics, energy, and aerospace businesses. ② Capital layout → Political influence October 19: Musk proposed a plan to gift SpaceX stock to children across the U.S., involving amounts possibly reaching tens of billions of dollars. Coincidentally, this plan is linked to the U.S. government's Trump Accounts children's investment account policy. More interestingly, according to media reports, Musk discussed related arrangements with the Trump administration as early as this summer. ③ October 20 to 21: Earnings report relay SpaceX and Tesla successively released their Q3 earnings reports. Connecting these events: Technical collaboration → Merger expectations → Public shareholding → Earnings release On one side, the business landscape may be heading toward integration; on the other, building interest ties with more American families through equity. Is Musk hyping up the earnings report, or preparing to extend his business influence further into the political realm?

Disclaimer: OKX Orbit content is provided for informational purposes only. Learn more

Replies

No comments yet. Be the first to reply!